Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
@Joe Bertolino
What happens with this out of state buying phenom is the what I call
GET YOURSELF STARTED IN REAL ESTATE syndrome....
Jay I agree with all of your assessment and this thread is debating: "is cash flow or appreciation more important."
My question is why not both?
You refer to the gentrification of downtown Sacramento, have you looked at the gentrification of downtown Detroit?
My personal opinion is Detroit reached the very bottom in 2010 and is coming back way too fast!
Downtown has 98-99% occupancy rate. Dan Gilbert has invested about $2 Billion in the past 5 years.
When I was in school in Santa Clara (San Jose) lots of areas of Oakland scared me more than Detroit does today. I've not seen it but I'm told it's coming back.
You refer to out of state want to be investors and when people approach me on BP and other contacts I insist they have to come up here and actually see what is happening. But there are many many properties where they could give away 80% of the deal and still make a fortune.
People in this thread talk about 11% gains for year over year for long spans of time. My neighborhood has done way better and I expect it to continue for years to come. Bought my house for $16,000 when it was worth $75,000. Six years on it is worth $225-$250,000 today.
1800 Sq ft Wood frame house in my neighborhood just sold for $219,900. Mine is 4700 Sq ft built out of 500lb quarried stones. But people laugh at my valuation because it's Detroit. (Over built? yes but still a great value)
Metro Detroit has problems, Yes, But it also has SF homes that would sell for $10,000,000.00 in today's down market.
Detroit was about 60% auto industry now is rebuilding as about 9-10% dependant on auto. Like Pittsburg shed its dependance on the steel industry.
My personal prediction (I'm no expert) is Detroit will see double digit appreciation for the forseeable future. Much better than most other markets.
Detroit needs the the money changers /HML to come back.
I started with $150 (I had good credit) and now have $750,000 in Equity.
Appreciation OR Cash Flow?
Why not BOTH?