This is a good article pointing out the illusive obvious that job growth alone cannot predict absorption (rental demand) of apartment units.
For example, job growth in Dalas has been strong and will likely continue to be strong for years to come.
However, I believe (and this is why I have exited this market - selling nearly 300 units) that this market has reached its peak in Multifamily.
Dalas currently has historic low vacancy, and trades at a historic low cap rate - but I believe this trend will reverse and cap rates will rise over the next few years.
Here is why:
18,000 new apartment units will come on line in that market this year. New construction - that really has not been present for several previous years - will increase supply to the market in a big way.
New home construction in the suburbs will also compete for occupants - and there is a seemingly endless supply of land to develop as the population grows as there are no barriers to entry.
As home loans become more attainable, more people will likely buy rather than rent.
While I believe Texas in general will continue to lead job growth in the US, Dalas apartment investors should be cautious of a rapid over supply in the market.
Remember: Buy low. Sell high.
I tried it the other way one time and it didn't work so well.