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All Forum Posts by: Sean Bramble

Sean Bramble has started 49 posts and replied 198 times.

Post: Mid term rental revenue comping

Sean BramblePosted
  • Investor
  • United States
  • Posts 202
  • Votes 282

Hey BP - I've got a friend interested in mid term and am trying to help her underwrite her revenue projections. I'm an STR guy - rely heavily on Airdna and Pricelabs annual revenue estimates of nearby comps. Are there similar data providers who annualize revenue potential for mid term comparables? Trying to find a source that is more reliable than just looking at monthly prices on furnished finder, etc. Thanks!

Post: Anyone have a STR in Three Rivers, CA?

Sean BramblePosted
  • Investor
  • United States
  • Posts 202
  • Votes 282
Quote from @Paul Wolfson:
Quote from @Sean Bramble:

@Dawn Asher @Junee Gam ... and anyone else who operate STRs in Three Rivers, i have an underwriting/ financial projection question:

 I spoke to someone the other day who mentioned that Airbnb only recently (within the last year) started charging guests the 10% occupancy tax at checkout. Before this, it was up to hosts to pay up at the end of the tax year, which made their gross revenues look artificially high (because they were pre-occupancy tax). This switch creates an issue for me as I run financial projections on deals - I've been projecting based on specific comps using past 12 month data from Pricelabs/ Airdna, etc. who scrape the web for rates at the time of booking and combine them into yearly revenue totals. But if Airbnb only recently started collecting occupancy taxes from guests, it means the months before the switch shows revenue 10% above what they actually were after taxes. (My assumption here is that guests are only willing to pay so much, so if you're charging them directly they'll spend less from a daily rate perspective. 10% is a big miss in projections, so I want to be sure I'm factoring occupancy taxes in correctly.

Do any of you know exactly when Airbnb started automatically collecting occupancy taxes from guests in Three Rivers?

Thank you!

@Junee Gam


 Sean, regarding your question on the 10% occupancy tax, I do not see Three Rivers or Tulare County listed on Airbnb's website (Occupancy tax collection and remittance by Airbnb in California). See below. So I don't believe they are collecting the transient occupancy tax on your behalf. Please correct me if I'm wrong.

Occupancy tax collection

Unsure, but the best way to check is to try to book an Airbbn in three rivers and it will list the tax before final checkout 

Post: Experiences with large, high-end STRs

Sean BramblePosted
  • Investor
  • United States
  • Posts 202
  • Votes 282

Follow your heart. Don’t waste your life behind a screen. You only get to do this once… every moment is precious

Post: Are Hotels Better than Airbnbs?

Sean BramblePosted
  • Investor
  • United States
  • Posts 202
  • Votes 282

Airbnb or hotel? Fast food or fine dining? Beer or cocktail? Beach or mountains? Casual or fancy?

It all depends on the consumer’s needs in the very specific context they find themselves in when making the decision

It’s not an “or”.. it’s a “when”

Post: Zoning & Short-Term Rental Advice

Sean BramblePosted
  • Investor
  • United States
  • Posts 202
  • Votes 282

I wouldn't normally recommend this, but depending on the how many resources the county is devoting to stopping STRs, you may be able to squeak by for a few years under the radar. Many areas have laws that aren't enforced at all... but then others come down hard on those who break them

I'd recommend making your renovation decision based on ARV instead of the ability to STR it, and then make the decision to STR it or sell it weighing the potential upside vs risks. If you decide not to STR, waiting to renovate until right before sale is probably the best use of resources.

I am writing a biz plan for a "glampground" in an area that requires me to first rezone to be considered a "campground". Would like to build:

--- single family home on the site that I will use part of the time as a vacation home, but rent out while I'm not there (would like to use a DTI-based construction loan to fund this)

--- multiple studio cabin units for guests around the property that will be rented year-round (think tiny a-frames, etc. - will build in cash)

Question: can I use a traditional DTI-based residential construction loan for the SFH I'd like to build on this land? Or will the rezoning disqualify me? Should I consider subdividing?

Post: Tiny home/ landscape hotel permits & site planning

Sean BramblePosted
  • Investor
  • United States
  • Posts 202
  • Votes 282

I am considering buying land to put up several unique structures, but need to first understand the process of obtaining the appropriate permissions, and site/ infrastructure planning & underwriting for the entire development.

Anyone have experience with this? Would love to chat with you if so! Just trying to understand the process I need to go through

Thanks everyone!

Post: Things to look out for in a STR?

Sean BramblePosted
  • Investor
  • United States
  • Posts 202
  • Votes 282

Remember that every dollar you invest carries a unique ROI. Many agents will preach buying properties that come with existing furniture, or other ways of minimizing "costs" unrelated to the property down payment itself ... while this may boost the agent's commissions/ allow you to buy a higher priced property, in many cases this advice is wildly misguided.

Instead, the right way to think about the real estate purchase is that it is the foundation upon which you get to make even higher ROI investments into the hospitality business inside ... it's just the starting point.

You wouldn't start a restaurant and seek to maximize the amount you spend on rent, skimping on decor and ingredient quality. Nor should you buy an STR an underinvest in the interior aesthetics, outdoor experience and photos. It's true that in many cases you won't be able to use debt for these investment dollars, but they tend to carry a significantly higher ROI than dollars invested in the property itself which actually boost your return (not the other way around).

So beware. Treat the investment solely as a real estate purchase and you'll end up running a highly replicable commodity-like business that is at risk to new entrants and the next market shift. But if you invest your dollars wisely - in both the real estate, and hospitality business inside - you'll be able to compete for years to come. 

This is an entirely different business than LTRs, yet I see so many applying an LTR lense to what is really a hospitality business... and many of them are now complaining on social media of an "Airbnbust". Don't be one of them.

Quote from @Jon Martin:

The independent could still have a leg up with price, design and service. I look at this like the old faithful hole-in-the-wall mom n pop vs the investor funded celebrity chef restaurant. The independent investor that bought at the right time will probably have a lower cost basis than a well-funded new build. If you buy right and keep a lean operation you can weather the storm with lower prices, whereas a high dollar new build with high overhead will have a much higher cost basis per night and can only operate at a loss for so long. Then you have the inevitable homogenization that comes with scale, so the professional operation will either have to spend more to design and furnish their units uniquely or they furnish/design at scale for the cost savings and become just like the boring hotels that drove people away in the first place. 

This isn't to say that there won't be successful operations like you mentioned, because I'm sure there will be some. Question is will they really be much different than a bunch of ski in/out or beach condos or cabins that all look the same. We keep hearing about uniqueness being a selling point, which is where independents will always have a leg up IMO. 

All good points, and certainly true for those who bought over the last several years locking in to a better cost basis… but don’t kid yourself about mid-scale developers entering the space with better product custom designed with the end consumer in that geography in mind. I know of one in the Western NC & Great Smokies area who is building hundreds of units over the next few years, reverse engineering the perfect curb appeal, interior design and amenities that drive sky high revenues per sq ft. These are build-to-rent developments focused on ongoing cashflow (instead of a quick exit). 

will a few developers like this put everyone out of business? Surely not. But I definitely wouldn’t want to own a Plain Jain 3/2 next to a new development of 20 brand new modern A-frame cabins :)


if your property truly is unique or high quality, there is safety in that. But let’s be honest - most folks who bought over the last few years bought normal homes thinking the returns we saw during covid would go on forever 

this guy is a big influence of mine ... really thinking ahead to what the next generation of STRs will be

https://www.stompcapital.com/s...