I appreciate your perspective on the unpredictability of cash flow in rental properties. It's a reality that amplifies the importance of conservative underwriting.
In the last few years, the market became so competitive that many investors resorted to aggressive underwriting to justify their deals. This approach can be risky, especially when unexpected expenses arise, which they inevitably do. Proper planning for these uncertainties is essential.
During your due diligence period, it's important to thoroughly assess the condition and age of all major systems and components in the property. Understanding the remaining life expectancy of these items and reserving funds for their eventual replacement or repair.
Insurance costs are another significant factor. While some increases can be anticipated, the recent spikes in interest rates were unforeseen by many. This has affected insurance premiums and, subsequently, cash flow.
If you are conservative with your rental projects, you won't need to push rents as high which means you'll likely have lower vacancy.