@Hattie Dizmond Don't think that I disagree with you in any way while reading this, because I don't. Slow, boring markets are normally the safest bet.
Now trying to figure out on what real estate appreciation is impossible at this time. Detroit at one time was a very safe bet, just like Dallas is today. Now look at Detroit. Actually if you invest in Detroit today, many will tell you that it is a risk to buy there, for numerous reasons. Really, however, when you can buy a property there, flip it and rent it, it may be the safest place to bet on for appreciation. Look at the property there, and what you can obtain for much less than a penny on the dollar. Of course there is risk of life and limb they claim, but really the crime rate has been falling. Would I do it? Not today, but who knows what the future may bring if I did? Really what is the worst can happen, I invest $50,000 into a property, get it insured, for $100,000 and it gets destroyed by gangsters? Face it, that is why you and I, and another 199,000 people that belong to this forum do not.
What am I out of, really I still profited at least with $50,000 and have the dirt to boot? You would have thought that the World Trade Center was a safe investment, I am sure, but look what happened. So, if you are betting on appreciation in any market, you are being misled.
Think of this, the only thing you can bet on is salaries paid to employees. Employees in Dallas, may be making good money, allowing them to buy nice homes, but believe me that could change. How about this for instance? What if you had the following happen? Lets say there is a women with a couple of kids that live in a Government complex in Dallas, and is basically get free housing, and rather than someone coming in that is making good money to buy a home, decides to live with her and pays the day to day expenses. That someone owns a farm, lets say in Houston for instance, and rather investing money in Dallas, they are investing there money back to their farm in Houston. Welfare rolls increase in Dallas, taxes increase in Dallas, and we can go on and on. Dallas eventually taxes the real estate so high, that no one wants to buy a home. Then what happens in Dallas, real estate decreases in value almost overnight? You may laugh and think this is a theory. politically incorrect etc... But this is fact.
Matter of fact, the cities in my area are tearing down city owned communities, and putting people on the street. Laws have been passed that a person or a family is not allowed to rent a motel room for over a month at at time, before they have to move on. The city in which I live, no longer has the budget to issue Section 8 vouchers. So, the people that do not have them, basically have to leave. The people that have received them, are renting private homes with them. Basically what the city has done, is to turn all of the poor over to the Federal Government, trying to keep the tax base down. Our city real estate taxes increased over 20% in one year. Many jobs here pay over $100,000 a year, so were are all of these people living that are making those salaries. I know we will soon find out. House values are slowly starting to increase here, but very slowly, and still there is much work that needs to be done.
Will in increase in population drive up the home values? No, that has been proven, over and over here. Will an increase of salary drive up the home values here? Something else that has been disproved. Will waterfront homes increase in value here? Well actually the values have fallen, due to the increase cost of flood insurance or having to buy basically risk homeowners insurance. Most large insurance companies refuse to insure home owners here. Consider this also, that this is the safest area to live in the country when it comes to natural disasters.
Speculate all you want, predicting appreciation is a myth, no matter where you live!!!
If, can and will come true, I live in a market that proves it. It happened.
I am sure I will get some hate mail on this.