This is a copy of an email I plan to send to my partner and want to vet it through you folks here.
Does it look like I have it covered? Can you poke holes please? :)
---------------------
Here are my thoughts.
I still like (The dump). I don’t like it as a rental though because it ties up a lot of our capital and requires us taking on debt and makes the property negative cash flow.
I do however like it as a rehab straight flip using off the books financing (Outside silent partners).
So look at it like this. Houses in that neighborhood that recently sold are selling for 80-134K TODAY. As in the last sold I could find was 6/29/2009 for 134K. That neighborhood alone has sold well. 21 homes in the last 6 months. 12 homes in that neighborhood are for sale today ranging from 21K (Our little Westchester jewel) to 127K.
Requirements and caveats: FHA requires 90 seasoning of money so we wouldn’t be able to flip to FHA buyers for 90 days (Largest percentage of buyers).
I suggest we look at 1 lower end for sale (I’m betting it’s a rehab too.) and the 127 and the next closest 95K for sale to see what they offering (Granite, hardwood, et al.)
Doing the math – Low ball
ARV (After Repair Value) = 80,000.
Closing fee’s = 3,000
Commission of realtor = %6 = 4,800
Rehab costs = 30,000
Purchase price = 4,000
Capital Gains = 5,730
6% (Negotiable) return on rehab loan to investor = 1800.00
Home Staging for sale costs = 600.00
Potential Profit = 30,070.00
Minus any carrying costs while the unit is up for sale. However these costs should be very low and superficial since there will be no mortgage to carry. Just heat to keep the pipes from bursting again and power to show. Maybe even some staging furniture rental from rent-a-center.
Potential individual profit = 15K
Exit Strategies:
1. Major Rehab = Rent to own (Land Contract AKA Owner financing)
a. This will require the silent partner putting up the funds to agree to only be paid the return upon sale regardless of time frame.
2. Major Rehab = Flip out to FHA or Investor
This gives us two outs in the event things go tragically wrong.
I’d like to send this to Jeff and vet it through him and see what he thinks when he contacts us back?
My math all depends on getting an inspection of the property and ensuring there’s no game changers and then getting a GC out to the property to give an hard estimate on the rehab costs.