@Todd Rasmussen
Thank you for the feedback. I hope you're right, but I don't follow how you arrived at 2nd and 3rd year returns. And that's exactly my question. As an investor, do I think of this as a one-time gain, or is there additional financial gain in holding the note?
If it were a rental, there would be a return each year as in your first year calculation [annual net cash flow/all-in cost]. The net cash flow may vary in subsequent years, but my all-in cost stays the same, and importantly, I still own the asset at the end of the day.
If I sold the asset for 100K cash, I would have a one-time return of 25% that I could reinvest in another property.
But isn't a note simply a (discounted) stream of payments with a present value equal to the amount financed? So if I exchange the asset for a future stream of payments of equal value, isn't that the same as selling for cash except that the cash is not available to reinvest right away?
As I think it through, it seems like it's a one-time gain of 25% with the proceeds reinvested at 5% over 10 years. And a 5% gain on 100K is equal to a 6.25% gain on 80K. So my hypothetical would be like getting a 6.25% annual return on the original 80K investment. Is that right?