u finally nailed it -
"why would anyone ever sell their property 20% cheaper than it's inherent value unless they are really motivated and under duress? "
BINGO.
now, this deal - now you're saying it's 180 value and you got it for 157 or it's 162 value?
i'm still unsure of what you want to do with this property. if you're rahabbing it for 5000, thus putting yourself into it for 162 total then you're repair is increasing its value another 23k over what you're paying for it - sooo
then you're selling it?
or
renting it
or
living in it
the strategy i pointed out in last post is not by any means, my own. MANY re investors do that. in fact, i'd say that about over 50% of rei's that invest in SFH or some duplexes, triplexes - do it this way. over 10 years, they accumulate rentals, maybe they sell 1/2 of them off, use the profits to pay off the other half, thus reducing liabilities, or maybe they invest in more.
bottom line is, that's the bread n butter of rei. now on this little post, steps 1-9 seem cut and dry, but there is alot of analysis, work, sweat, and risk involved.
i mean, you want my opinion of this deal you're talking about - i'd say, from the little i know, pass on it. move on. it won't cash flow or it'll be super tight and there's just not enough margin there for you to make any substantial profit.
ARV = 180,000 X .70 - 5000 = 121,000 - you're paying 36,000 over that. from my perspective, you're paying market value. and even if you live in it, these things have a way of going like this:
projected rehab cost = 5000
actual rehab cost = 15,000
Especially, when you're first starting out and/or living in it. if you live in it after buying it at market value - okay, you do some improvements and it increases in value - good - now don't keep dumping money into it - STOP. be disciplined, keep it nice, and keep to your plan - then do whatever, refi, sell, etc. but that's not easy. it's real easy for the wifey to say, "oh honey, i want a new kitchen floor" 6 months later, "oh this damn sink and bathroom, i hate it" and 1 year later, "what if we added another room, knock this wall down, and buy a new refridgerator...."
get my point? i'm just trying to be helpful man.