Originally posted by @Nnabuenyi Anigbogu:
Originally posted by @Michael Williams:
Originally posted by @Nnabuenyi Anigbogu:
Originally posted by @Jason R.:
@Nnabuenyi Anigbogu Congrats on your success and new marriage! I love hearing about the power of partners.
I agree with @Demetrius Gresham hopefully you'll be sharing your story on a future BP Podcast.
@Michael Williams One more thing to consider. You're comparing a compounded stock market return to a non-compounded REI return. If you want to make a better comparison, you should either factor out the compounding from the stock market calculation (and pretend the returns are used as income) or you should calculate the return on real estate if the cash flow and equity is reinvested. In your scenario, you're assuming that equity and cash flow are never reinvested, but that's not likely in the real world. Adding to what Nnabuenyi said, if you make it an apples to apples comparison, his ROI would dwarf the stock market ROI in your example.
Jason that is a good way of putting it. People i debate with often compare the non compounded return with a compounded one in order to show me how the ROI is better with the Stock market. I like the way you broke it down. For those of us investing with full time jobs, all the profit is reinvested and that should be factored into any ROI comparison to get a true picture.
Guys - do yourself a favor and game it out for 30 years. Don't just assume you make more in real estate! In my situation, where i have a bunch of cash already, there is no way I am able to create a spreadsheet that shows, over 30 years, even if I live off the interest of my stock market investments, will I instead make more money by investing in Real Estate. I LOVE INVESTING IN REAL ESTATE! It's fun! It's interesting! It's manly!! But it also loses me money. Are you really willing to bet the next 30 years of your life on something that you could evaluate in a couple of hours in Excel and *perhaps* discover that all that effort will just cost you money??
I double-dog dare you: post your Excel spreadsheet that shows how you make more money in real estate over 30 years, compared to 10% compounded in the stock market AND ALSO where you subtract out your living expenses from your stock market investments. You post yours, then I'll post mine. (I sort of already did!)
Hi Micheal, you may be right or wrong. Numbers can be manipulated to show whatever a person wants and im not here to convince you to change your investing style. I personally don't have a spreadsheet comparing the 30 year return in REI vs Stocks.
My only argument is that my specific situation with my Giddings property that you analyzed cannot be beat by the stock market in my opinion and here is why. I put down 100K to purchase a property and generate cashflow. In less than a year i am able to pull out 100% (some people pull out more) of my 100K. Now i still own the building, live for free and am making the 7% you had listed on your spreadsheet. The kicker is that im making all that money without any of my own money in the building. I am free to reinvest that 100k in the stock market and will only be 9-12 months of compounding behind someone who went straight to the stock market initially.
I fail to see how taking that initial 100K and buying stocks with it can generate more returns than this scenario. Please enlighten me.
I appreciate the success you are having -- rock on! But you are missing the point. Yes, you made a great return on that investment. But you are still alive. And we are all hoping you live for many decades more! You will NOT be able to do that deal, with every one of your dollars, for the next 30 years. IMPOSSIBLE. You will not always have that much appreciation. You will not always be able to take out money in the morning and then reinvest it in the afternoon -- there will be times when your money will sit in your bank account, and more and more so the bigger you get. You will hit many economies of scale -- you can't personally manage 1,000 rentals or 10,000 rentals all by yourself. You will need to pay lots of people to do this for you. You won't be able to find and buy enough properties to invest all your money into. Etc, etc. When you invest in the stock market, every penny is working for you every second of every day.
When you have say as "little" as $1 million you can not only live off your investments, but the money you don't live off of will grow faster than if you invested it in the real estate. This becomes more and more true if you have 2 or 3 million.
For your own sake, try this! Plug in numbers that make sense to you. But let's say you are 30 years old, want to live off of $80,000 per year, already have $2,000,000, want to retire when you are 31, want to live 40 more years (that's the max it will go), and expect 10% return on your investments (reasonable). Not only can you live off $80,000 per year (adjusting upward every year), but 40 years later you will have $50,000,000!
In other words, the day you achieve $2 million, you can easily retire, never work another day in your life, live off $80K/year, and have tens of millions of dollars to pass to your children, set up a foundation, give to charity, etc. Or if you don't have kids, you can crank that $80K number up and live an even more comfortable life, etc. without ever needing to work again.
This is just an example. Plug in your actual numbers and game it out.
And this is just one calculator. There are numerous others. And you can compare what you actually could achieve in real estate investing -- that's where I showed you earlier how it might look like a lot, but it turns out to only be 7%, which makes a MASSIVE difference over 40 years. Try it out in the calculator!