Originally posted by @Tony Johnson:
I stopped by one of the friendliest mothers I've ever met today and I really want to help her out. She responded to a bandit sign and here is here situation:
- Loan Originated 2007
- Loan Balance $100k
- Interest Rate: 9%
- Original Loan $106k
- Appraisal Amount: $123k
- Estimated Repairs: $15-20k
- Monthly Payments: $1100
- Est. Rent: $1500
Can I make a deal out of this? They have been late on payments since about May or so and have about $7k needed to bring the loan current.
Let's crunch a few numbers.
- Loan balance + $7k in back payments = $107k. This is what the seller hopes to net in order to walk away free and clear, no short sale, no problems.
- 5% sales commission of $107k = $5,350. Add that to the $107k above and we have the sale price. $107k + $5,350 = $112,350.
- Let's take the high side of $20k (because it is safer to assume) for repairs. $112,350 + $20k = $132, 350.
- The ARV is $123k. This makes a net deficit of $9350 to the buyer who would hope to restore the house. This is no good for a fix/flip, and a tough MLS sale for home owner.
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If the market rent is at $1500, and the economy supports the rental market let's analyze this.
- $1500 per month as a percentage of $132,350 is roughly 1.1%. Could this make a rental for an investor? Possibly. Let's explore. HOA? Maintenance costs (regular)? Utilities to the land lord? County, city taxes? cost of management and a rainy day fund? Lets say all this comes down to %20...just a round figure. a Gross Scheduled Income of $18000 per year, minus these expenses gives us an idea of the Net Operating Income (this doesn't include cost of lending). That equals $3600 in cost to operate per year, (about $300 per month). $14,400 per year is left over...NOI. At a buy in of $132,350 we have...
NOI / total cost = Capitalization Rate
14,400 / 132,350 = .108 or 10.8%
Could you sell that? Possibly. Some investors prefer to buy rentals that they can liquidate later on...appreciation, or buying at below market value. Others care only about the cash flow and will forgive the negative equity. Could go either way.
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Let's envision taking over payments. It is possible that the owner fell behind and now is in a default APR.? It could happen. My first suspicion however, is that this is no 30 yr fixed. 2007 to 2014 = 7 years. She got in trouble in 2014, has a sky high interest rate and hasn't been able to catch up. This sounds a lot like a 5/1 ARM disaster (or something similar). If that is the case, no one will take over the loan, and the 9% interest isn't getting any better.
You have a lot of information left to gather to help this woman. Get some of these answers and we will help you make sense of it the best we can. Good luck.