Skip to content
×
PRO
Pro Members Get Full Access!
Get off the sidelines and take action in real estate investing with BiggerPockets Pro. Our comprehensive suite of tools and resources minimize mistakes, support informed decisions, and propel you to success.
Advanced networking features
Market and Deal Finder tools
Property analysis calculators
Landlord Command Center
$0
TODAY
$69.00/month when billed monthly.
$32.50/month when billed annually.
7 day free trial. Cancel anytime
Already a Pro Member? Sign in here
Pick markets, find deals, analyze and manage properties. Try BiggerPockets PRO.
x
All Forum Categories
All Forum Categories
Followed Discussions
Followed Categories
Followed People
Followed Locations
Market News & Data
General Info
Real Estate Strategies
Landlording & Rental Properties
Real Estate Professionals
Financial, Tax, & Legal
Real Estate Classifieds
Reviews & Feedback

All Forum Posts by: Neel Jain

Neel Jain has started 5 posts and replied 47 times.

Post: Is San Francisco Housing Market topping?

Neel JainPosted
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 9

Too much inventory building up?

Post: Is San Francisco Housing Market topping?

Neel JainPosted
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 9

Thank you all for your responses.

It is indeed cooling.

Post: How to read a CAFR for Out-Of-State Investing?

Neel JainPosted
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 9

Today news came out that NYC owes health benefits to its retired employees to the tune of ~99B!  The source was the CAFR:

New York City Owes Over $100 Billion for Retiree Health Care

(Bloomberg) – New York City faces future health costs for its retired workers of $103.2 billion, an increase of $40 billion over a decade. It has about $5 billion set aside to pay the bill.

The so-called “other post-employment benefits” liability was disclosed in New York’s comprehensive annual financial report released by the city comptroller’s office Wednesday. The city’s $98 billion unfunded liability for retiree health care exceeds the city’s $93 billion of bond debt and $48 billion pension-fund shortfall.

“The numbers are huge,” said Maria Doulis, a vice president at the Citizens Budget Commission, a budget watchdog group funded by the business community. “If you’re looking at the big three liabilities, this is the one that’s problematic, because there’s nothing set aside to address this and there’s absolutely no strategy on the part of the city.”

I went looking for NYC CAFR and started perusing it when I blanked out!

Question: How does one figure out such key information from the CAFR?

I looked at the 'Introduction', 'Financial' and 'Statistical' sections but only when one looks really hard, does it come across as something is not right, for e.g.: "As of June 30, 2018, the most recent actuarial measurement date, the funded status was 4.6%. The total OPEB liability for benefits was $103.3 billion, and the plan fiduciary net position was $4.8 billion, resulting in a net OPEB liability of $98.5 billion".  

Question: So, what are the key numbers in the CAFR we need to pay attention to when narrowing down on a city for Out-Of-State investment?

Post: Is San Francisco Housing Market topping?

Neel JainPosted
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 9

I had reached out to a realtor around 3 weeks ago for a prime location apartment in an apartment complex.

He called me again yesterday.

Are we topping?

Post: NEWBIE - Help me analyze this deal

Neel JainPosted
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 9

Too close to call.  There is cash flow, but is it really worth going through all the trouble?  if this is a house hack, then it could work out  simply because you will be there to monitor - but very tight.

@Mayer M. You are getting a million dollar property with a positive cash flow by just putting $10,000 - if you can pull this off, sure, go ahead.

Having said that, the Cash on Cash ROI is 37% with next to nothing Cap Rate.

Post: Best Cities to invest in under $100k

Neel JainPosted
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 9

@Alan Reza - going back to our earlier discussion about cash flow, I just found out the 'disconnect' between my economic numbers and why those places are not discussed here.

We all need to keep in mind that growing economy, population and income is not the only factor when analyzing cities - how they go hand in hand with each other, is what matters.

Take for instance Midland, TX.

It is #1 on the 'Employment % Change' from March '17 - Aug '18 as per the latest BLS #s.

It is also right up there in '% Population Change' during the same period as per the Census #s.

But here is the kicker - the Population growth (22%) far outpaces the Employment growth (12.2%) - nearly double!   Is this a healthy scenario for one to invest for a rental?  Doubtful.  For a flip? - doubtful again, because with economy growth rate half of population growth rate, how can anyone buy something. 

I think there is no dearth of calculations and research one can perform but just looking at those numbers should give us an idea.

@Michael Zuber @Ali Boone @Alan Reza- Prop 10 is very likely to get passed

Post: Best Cities to invest in under $100k

Neel JainPosted
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 9

Thanks, @Alan Reza for the tip - it makes sense.

Post: What data points do you like?

Neel JainPosted
  • San Francisco, CA
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 9

@Account Closed - one of the things I have 'marinated' upon is, what is my answer to the questions, "will I be comfortable living there?" or, "will I recommend the place to friends and family even if it is temporary or if they were going through a rough patch?".   'Rough patch' part is for neighborhoods that could be a bit iffy.

Other than that, all the millennial stuff like whether there are new cafes, the kind of crowd that is hanging out, foot traffic, etc..but then depends also on type of property and neighborhood I am looking at - if it is an industrial-type city, then I'd look at Fire and Police Department numbers - their expenses should be consistent and low over the years indicating less drama.