Quote from @Paul Azad:
Quote from @Nick B.:
I invested in a new apartment development in DFW at the end of 2019.
Then Covid happend. The prices of everything went up. The project was delayed and re-budgeted. Then interest rates went up...
Long story short, it was foreclosed in the beginning of June this year resulting in a total loss to investors like myself.
Hi Nick, I've been reading for a year now that multifamily new construction has ground to a halt due to rapid increases in construction costs, insurance costs, financing costs and also due to mass overbuilding in 2019 to '23, causing huge supply in 2024 and 2025, which is now putting downward pressure on rent growth? and that the relative supply will drop precipitously, after '25 leading to a new golden age in multifamily by 2026 and 2027. What have you been hearing or reading? and have you invested in any MF recently. I want to invest in MF syndications but not too soon at high current prices. thankyou
Hey Paul,
last time I invested in MF syndication was in 2022.
I paused after that because any "deals" that came to me did not look like deals at all. They were based on assumptions that low floating rates would stay low forever and so would cap rate compression. Even when the rates went up higher, many syndicators still anticipated for them to go down in a year or so.
I don't expect things to change for the better any time soon.
People who buy now say that the market has bottomed but I don't believe them.
So, I stay out of any new MF deals for the foreseeable future.
Of the deals I invested in 2021-22, at least one is heading for foreclosure and 3 more are getting close to the rate cap expiration that may trigger a foreclosure as well.