Originally posted by @Joe Splitrock:
@Nathan W.it would be bad advice to tell you to do this. Your using flawed logic to argue. Saving up a down payment is NOT the same as financing a down payment over 2.5 years.
The purpose of a down payment are to secure the loan. It is unlikely a property will fall in value to less than 80% of what you purchased it for. The concept is if something goes wrong and you cannot make the payment, the bank should be able to sell your home for more than your 80% loan amount. There are exceptions, but as a general rule this works.
Once you take out a HELOC, you are guaranteeing the loan with your primary residence. The bank may not care because in the worst case situation, they just take your primary home and rental home.
Here is the worst case situation:
- Economy tanks and all of a sudden your tenant loses their job. They stop paying rent but don't move out.
- You lose your job. You have no money to pay your rental property mortgage and you have no money to pay your HELOC.
- Your rental property and primary home go into foreclosure.
- You lose everything, file bankruptcy and when you finally find a new job, your only option is to rent a house.
Maybe you doubt you could lose your job, but there are many people who lose jobs for unforeseen reasons.
The main problem is that this is a poor investment if it doesn't cash flow. Every property I have ever purchased could cash flow with 100% financing. Of course it cash flows more with a down payment.
Gambling on future value is risky and it is the main reason we had the last real estate market crash. I am surprised that your bank will even let you do what you are proposing. Have you told the bank this is your plan? They generally look for a down payment to be cash in the bank, at least for conventional financing in my experience. They will usually also want to verify you have a 6 month rent reserve (generally retirement funds qualify).
I hesitated to even respond to this thread after I saw your response to other posters like @Account Closed. Just remember the market goes up and down and it is up right now. I know people that lost everything in real estate several years ago. I am renting houses to some of them.
Hey Joe, thanks for commenting. I think you bring up very valid concerns that are worth taking a deeper look at. Fortunately, I have done this as part of my analysis.
In your worst case scenario, agreed that the potential is there that I lose my job and end up losing my home. I disagree however that this investment would have any appreciable effect on that. If I lose my job and am unable to find work for an extended period, I am going to lose my house anyway! My mortgage is a few grand a month--I see no situation where having a couple hundred a month outlay from the HELOC on top of that changes my consideration whatsoever.
So we have a few scenarios:
1) Tenant loses job and stays, and I keep mine. I am out the $550/month PITI on the primary and $250/month on the HELOC plus whatever eviction costs. As mentioned, I have $800/month savings potential, with no lifestyle changes whatsoever to compensate. That is exactly the loan amount. I either adjust lifestyle or leverage one of my other short term options (short term savings, selling stock, trading in other assets, PLOC, HELOC, credit cards, retirement savings) to cover this scenario. I am back on track after a few grand in eviction, rehab, and re-lease. I obviously still have my house.
2) Tenant keeps job and I lose mine. I have $220/month average coming in from tenant to work with. My total debt load for real estate is $2500/month mortgage + $250/month HELOC = $2750. Deficit then is $2530, just like it is now. I struggle to pay my mortgage and lose my house. However, if I am able to come up with $2500 through part time work or whatever , would I be able to find an extra $30 from the vehicles above, or from that part time work, to ensure I don't lose my house? Of course I would. All we are talking about here, as a result of the investment, is having to come up with an additional $30/month. If I can't do that I might as well go jump off a bridge.
3) Tenant loses job and I lose mine. The death scenario. I am out the $550/month PITI on the primary and $250/month on the HELOC (just like in scenario 1). I no longer have $800/month savings potential either, since that will be going to save my primary residence. A bad case indeed.
In this scenario, I let the bank take back the investment property (I'm not sure why you think this is tied to my primary residence, since I am not using my primary against that first loan) or try to dump it quickly at 80% LTV to pay off the primary. I take the credit rating hit if the bank forecloses. This sucks and sets back my investing life indefinitely.
I go to work saving my primary residence doing exactly what I did in Scenario 2 and find part work. Only now I have to come up with $2500 + $250 to cover both the mortgage and the HELOC. So I am looking at covering a $220 difference than what I think I can come up with from Scenario 2. I am desperate, and all of the bailout options above suddenly disappear all at once (and it is not Armageddon everywhere else for whatever reason)--I can take on a roommate or two at my house since it is more bedrooms ($800/month per bedroom). Other borrowing options may be available (Mom, friends, in-laws, etc.--after all desperate times call for desperate measures).
This is all until I find one of the thousands of employers in the Washington DC region who are looking for a Program Management certified electrical engineer with a systems engineering masters degree and 13 years experience in high profile DOD acquisition programs. Not to say it WILL happen, butttt.....
I like my chances. Especially since the most likely scenarios are:
4) Tenant keeps his job and I keep mine. We are back where we started, and I have a cash flowing investment after 27 months (likely sooner) instead of 31 months going the "conventional" route
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I'd also like to address a couple other points you made since you took time to write a few good considerations pertaining to the topic.
-The only reason I would consider this is because I am not finding the ones that cash flow with 100% financing. I believe this to be obvious. I'm sure they are out there, but they certainly are not in my market. Perhaps I could pound the ground and other things to find them, either here or outside my area--I am more interested in focusing on my day job, which pays me well, and setting myself up for the future to walk away from it, and the high cost of living in metro US, without focusing on real estate all the time. This is a personal preference, but if I can find a turnkey investment with the above criteria, which I know tons of people on BP would jump all over, I would like to take it. 10 of those and I can quit my job, live abroad in a low cost of living country, and enjoy myself.
So it's great that you are finding all these deals with 100% financing that put money in your pocket every month. Perhaps with more experience I too will find them, but I don't have them now and I am not interested in waiting around on the sidelines from them to materialize when I have investments that meet my long term criteria and needs in front of me, with very little searching on my part.
-I am not gambling on future value. I don't know where you gathered that from my posts. Was it mentioning the probable rental increases? I did not consider them in the analysis from a standpoint of anything other than icing on the proverbial cake. The value of the property does not have to increase at all to meet that long term criteria.
-Yes I have told the bank what I am doing. they have no problem with it. Why would they? They are in first position on the loan and it is my money. If this investment materializes, I am going to load it into my business account and let it season for 2 months and as far as they are concerned in underwriting it is already there. Only impact is my DTI ratio from the increased HELOC payment ($250/month) but I am far far far away from that being a disqualifier at the moment.
-I have a 6 month reserve in almost any asset class you look at (cash savings, retirement, stocks, personal assets, etc.). It is only $550/month PITI. Yes that is not even a remote disqualifier for me.
-I'll just let my post above stand for the way Bob acted in this thread, and my subsequent responses to him. I have tried to graciously thank everyone in this thread that attempted to put effort into answering the question and offering their perspective. I am not going to sit and be talked down to or trolled by anyone, their experience in real estate or "post likes" be damned. Maybe Bobby Boy was a good contributor to this forum once upon a time, but a quick search of all his most recent posts (excluding the three that were deleted from this thread because of their abusive/trollish content) in this thread and others shows that he really isn't here to foster a positive impact on the community. that is a shame.
I do sincerely appreciate you for weighing in--I think I have these considerations taken into account.
Cheers