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All Forum Posts by: Account Closed

Account Closed has started 4 posts and replied 2025 times.

Post: Tenant not paying I will buy your house ( as heard on radio today

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331

Jay,

Not quite the same, but we recently bought a SFH in Oakland with an inherit paying tenant at a good discount. The seller was having a tough time selling it as-is with the in-place tenant. It fell out of contract a few times.

During the due diligence process, we had a talk with the tenant and understood their situation. He helped them find a new house to rent, gave the new landlord first month rent plus deposit, and also gave the tenant $10k in moving expenses. Voila!

Everything in life has a price. We get paid to be a problem solver in this biz. 


Post: Local meet ups near me?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331

Try meetups dot com Brandon. Due to covid, all meetups are being hosted online the last few months. My friend @Account Closed hosts an online meetup regularly. I believe it's called Everything REI.

Good luck. 

Post: California condo depreciation

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331

Look up your property tax bill. A portion of it is allocated for land, and a portion is for improvements. Depreciation the improvements over 27.5 years.

If you rent out the condo say October 1st, your depreciation for this year is only 3 months. Then it will be the full year next year. Your CPA should know this if you have one. 

Good luck. 

Post: Best Northern California/Bay Area Cities to Flip?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331

Stephanie,

I asked you to go and check out this flip while we were working on it a few months ago. Not sure if you had a chance to. Anyways, we did well with it. It was an MLS deal, and it was on the market forever too.

@Jerry Chan, we borrowed 85% LTV + 100% rehab loan from Lending Home on this flip. Just be creative in your thinking. It's possible

https://www.redfin.com/CA/Oakl...

We made a run on a fixer-upper in Castro Valley recently. It was listed at $400k.

@DG A., Juan Diaz got it at $625k. I hope he’ll do well. Too aggressive of a pricing for us to chase. 

However, we’re in contract on another house. We’ll share when done if anyone is interested. 

Post: How do investors even cash flow in NYC or SF Bay Area, CA?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331

Susan,

We cash flow all day, everyday just like other investments. My group of friends, about 10 of us, own investment properties from San Jose to Mountain View, Redwood City, San Mateo, San Francisco and all the way to the East Bay like Hayward, San Leandro and Oakland. Some of them actually post on BP, but they don't raise their hand and say "here I am."

Investing in high COLA is a competitive sport. It's not for the weak. My neighbor, a hi-tech couple, accidentally found out I invest in real estate here at home. They own a handful rentals in AZ before they know this. They hung out with me to learn the rope. I do volunteer work with the husband. Shortly after, they bought two buildings, totaling 16 units. Within a couple years, they're looking at a minimum of $1M in equity. $1M in equity at a 4 cap rate = $40k/year in income, not including their ROI. The deals they did were just slightly below market value. In fact, I passed one of the deals to them. Within a year, their cash flow has more than doubled. After 3 years of ownership, their cash flow has tripled. Lol! So much for no cash flow in the Bay Area and speculation, blah blah blah.

Another friend bought an 8-unit building in Oakland for $1.25M late last year. Appraisal came in at $1.6M. When he's done stabilizing it, we're looking at a $2.3-$2.4M value. How many rentals do we have to buy OOS and cash flow to get this kind of equity? The kicker is he will cash flow it massively. I used to invest OOS too and learned it the hard way. Then he sold all of his OOS rentals. 

Don't listen to the people who haven't done it, or don't know how to do it. If you want to be part of the 1%, start to think like the 1%. 

Have fun figuring it all out. It's a rewarding journey.

Best of luck. 

Post: southern california investing

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331
Originally posted by @Khushbu Shah:

Hi, I am a small investor looking for some insights and opinions on following two questions

1. what are your reasons for investing in southern california or california in general given very minimal cashflow, rent control and higher property cost in the area. 

2. What are your criteria in a property apart from needing rehab for appreciation 

Khushbu,

I'm saddened to hear this false narrative being repeated over and over again on BP while the turnkey marketers/providers keep piling on and selling crap rentals for the "perceived" price of gold with their OOS stuff to CA suckers, I mean CA investors. 

To answer your question, it's more profitable to invest in California for the same amount of efforts. Rent control can be a blessing in disguise if you're willing to put in the effort to understand and navigate the regulations. Higher property cost is due to higher demand and desirability. Everything in life has a price. Something is cheap for a reason so is something expensive. 

I don't discriminate whether or not a property needs rehab. If someone wants to sell me a turnkey property at 70-80 cents on the dollar, I'll buy it. I don't have to wait for any market correction. At the same time, if I have to put in the effort to rehab a property to get my 20-30 equity, I'll do it. No one is going to give us their equity. We have to earn or pay for it one way or another. Of course, equity can be had under the right acquisition circumstance such as "distressed or inherited sellers".

Let's lay out a couple of examples: 

1) A $100k OOS flip to make $20k, or a $1M flip here in NorCal or SoCal to make $200k. Very similar effort but the reward is 10x. Do you want to flip 2 properties a year to make $400k, or do you want to do 20 flips to make $400k/year?

2) Learn to scale and look at multifamily rather than single units in our market. Every $1,000/mo increase in NOI is equivalent to $300k gain in equity on a 4 cap (our market). OTOH, every $1,000/mo increase in NOI is equivalent to $120k gain in equity on a 10 cap (cheap market).

Same effort with 2.5x rewards on example 2 above. Scale it up to 10 units and you're looking at making 7 figures/year in value-add. Scale it up to 100 units and you're looking at 8 figures. 

I have done the above so I'm speaking from personal experience. I don't have a job; I don't have anything to sell; and I don't have time to meet anyone for a cup of coffee or lunch except some close friends. I've learned to value my time and share it with whom I deem worthy.

Our time on this earth is finite so the more value we put on our time, the faster it helps us to get to our destination. Then we can enjoy life while we're still young, healthy and can do adventurous stuff. Steve Jobs realized it too late. No amount of money could buy him more time when his time on this earth was up.

Have fun figuring it all out. It's a rewarding journey I promise. In the meantime, stay safe and healthy.

Post: How you can profit from a Big Mortgage

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:
Originally posted by @Justin Tahilramani:
Originally posted by @Andrey Y.:
Originally posted by @John Collins:
Originally posted by @Andrey Y.:

 I am actually cash flowing AND profiting in Hawaii specifically because rental income growth goes hand in hand with appreciation.  I would STILL profit even if my rentals were unoccupied. You cannot say the same thing.

The reason I can cover missed rent payments is because I focus on profitable markets, not to be confused with "cash flow" markets on paper.

What the hell are you talking about? You can cash flow without rental income? At what price point, what mortgage did you take out and how much interest are you paying on it? Simple math is all I ask for.  

 Very simple example. An investor owns a $800K home in a city in California. They earn $60K per year appreciation over the long term (which is $5K per month), which the Turnkey operators will tell you you should accept a $250 per month "cash flow", more than half of which will go to fixing up your boiler, or roof down the line, while the property value doesn't even keep up with inflation.

Do you think @Account Closed @Matt R. @Jay Hinrichs @Amit M. (investors who invest for PROFIT) are worried about their tenant not making the April and May mortgage payments? Because all of the people I see worried on all the threads popping up, are not invested in profitable markets. They are invested for "cash flow" because that is what they have been hearing and reading about for the last 10 years.

This is intended to teach, so we can all learn from something like this. At the end of the day, we are all trying to become better investors. Leave the advertising to those who are trying to sell you something. 

This is total BS speculation. Homes in CA do not appreciate long term at the rate of $5,000/month. You are out of your mind if you think that is the normal rate of appreciation. You are the one that is going to get hammered when tenants cant afford to pay their high dollar rents. Also - you are WAY off base about cash flow rentals. Affordable housing is probably the #1 issue facing America today. There are 1000 Americans that are barely able to keep up and need affordable housing for every 1 American who can afford to live in a HCOL area. You can have your own opinion, but dont share it in public forums like its the gospel. 

Well lets look at a real life example 684 Encina Grande Palo Alto CA  one of the highest cost per sq ft in the country .. I bought it in 85 for 180k  I think it peaked at 2.5 or a little better.. lets say in 2019  so in 35 years it went up 2.315 million.. and of course rents at what I paid would have by the mid 90s given me massive cash flow of 3k a month easy on that one house..   2.315/  35X12  =  420 months/ 2.315 = 5,511 per month of appreciation gains.. add in 3k a month for Positive NET NET NET cash flow for say 25 of those years or 300 months X 3,000 = 900,000 in positive cash flow over that time.  for a grand total of 3.215.000 gain on a property bought in 1985 at fair market value and just a basic 1400 sq ft rancher on a 6k sq ft lot.. And now you know why I cant even think about why I sold that house for 500k in 91.. 

So total net gain in this real life home in the SF bay area and not even the BEST part of Palo Alto ( Barren Park)  saw a return if I had kept it and rented it starting in 95 for the 5k a month it would have rented for then.  my monthly gain would be 7,654.47 PER MONTH.. 

So while the statement that not all of CA grows at 5k a month over time is certainly very true.  there are parts that have and do and have done better.. but its a long game cant take a snap shot.. like if you bought in 07 peak and sold in 2011 probably lose money you bought in 2011 for the 900 or 1 mil would have sold for then. you make massive gains the last 9/10 years. 

its kills me to write this out and the shoulda woulda coulda just comes screaming back.. And I owned another one in the same neighborhood I built as new construction and was all in at 700k and today that one is easy 3.5 mil.   

Any way back to the appreciation versus cashflow regularly scheduled thread. 

If I lived in another part of the country and I did the same thing started as an agent at 18 and a broker at 20 and the play was to stack cash flow rentals because appreciation is gambling etc.. that's what I probably would have done and would done.

Keep in mind in the 50 60 70s and into the 80s people got started in real estate buying cheap land all over the country as an investment

it was not until about 2001 2002 that smart folks said hey CA real estate is sky hi lets start selling mid west rentals to CA people and other high priced markets.. that's how the turnkey industry or OOS investing industry started.. No one was rushing to Memphis in the 90s to buy rentals from CA. for an example.
 

Jay,

We don't have to go back 35 years to find $5k/mo of equity growth. I have a SFH where I bought in 2013 for $440k with 25% down. Rent at the time was $2,600/mo. Currently in the process of doing a cash out refinance. Value is around $950k-$1M. Current rent is $3.6k/mo. When I bought it during the downturn, it was worth around $650k so I didn't care too much with the cash flow. 7 years with $500k in equity. Not too shabby just on one property. My partner and I have more than a couple handful of 6-12 unit buildings where $800k+ equity were gained within 5 years or less.

We just bought a 5-unit building in November 2019 for $1.225M. Our neighbor just sold his 5-unit building for $1.8M that is 1,000sf smaller. I understand there's no cash flow in Bay Area. Sheesh...... 

Post: How you can profit from a Big Mortgage

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331

Andrey,

To steal a few lines from the 3 contributors below. These individuals summed up MY investment approach. We need some form of cash flow to service the debt while let time do the heavy lifting with rent growth, which translate to equity growth and higher cash flow on the back end. Initial negative cash flow is fine as long as we know when we can turn the corner and have the asset sustains itself. The asset doesn't have to pump out a ton of cash flow. I'd rather get $200k in equity upfront then $1k/mo of positive cash flow. 

Did some turnkey provide/marketer take you to the cleaner with a few OOS rentals? As Bill alluded to, cheap assets with the 1-2% rules aren't all they are cracked up to be. Everything in life has a price. These cheap rentals are cheap for a reason. It's unfortunate, but it seems like every wo/man has to learn his/her own lesson. 

@Joseph Cacciapaglia, Many investors are just looking at their year 1 cash flow, but if you're looking at your average cash flow over your holding period (with your expected rent growth), you will make much different decisions. Areas with lower initial cash flow, but stronger rent growth suddenly make a lot more sense.

@Natalie Schanne, both sides are correct.

@Bill F., Big takeaways, Cash Flow and Appreciation both contributed positively to total return, with Appreciation being a big larger.

The most negative contributor to Total Returns: High Rent to value ratios. ie the 1% and 2% rule aren't all they are cracked up to be.

Be greedy when others are fearful. Opportunities are abound right now. Stay safe and healthy everyone.

Post: How Much Do You Have In Reserves?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331

Now, that our governor Gavin Newsom knows landlords in general have at least 6 months in reserves, he’ll grant a 6-month rent cancellation to all tenants of our CA state. Thanks for starting this thread @Mindy Jensen. You’re exposing us for the socialist-in-charge to take advantage of the landlords. Sigh.... 🤦‍♂️

Post: Auction.com Memo today important info for those that bid

Account ClosedPosted
  • Investor
  • San Jose, CA
  • Posts 2,097
  • Votes 3,331
Originally posted by @Jay Hinrichs:

and if you buy one from Auction .com there will be a stip that you cannot start eviction for at least 60 days.. this is going to hurt their business no doubt.. also a few other tidbits.. do check if your a bidder on their site.. Although if you are you probably got the same  e mail I got.

Jay, sounds like a great opportunity to pick up some properties at a great discount. Price in 2 months of loss rent or debt service plus some buffer. Be greedy when others are fearful, but that’s just me.