Originally posted by @Scott Passman:
@Jason D. Thanks for the reply Jason. I didn't do a great job explaining my thought process, it isn't that I'm assuming places with high property taxes won't raise them as much. In fact, I'm counting on property taxes raising pretty much every year no matter where I buy.
I guess another way to over simplify it would be i'm thinking of the monthly payment as two parts: loan repayment + taxes (forget insurance for now). If I buy high on the loan repayment side, I leave myself more exposure to more increases in payments because I'm already high on one side and now the other side (taxes) went up too. However, if I lock in a lower loan repayment then at least that is fixed at a lower cost, and then when the taxes do go up at least one half of the payment is "fixed" at the lower cost. Does that make any more sense or did I butcher it even further? The whole reason I am asking is precisely because I want to place myself in the best position possible to absorb future increases in property taxes.
I'm not sure you really have any control over this. The higher the price, the higher the mortgage, the higher the taxes. And, as you mentioned, taxes will go up every year.
It would cause you to start trying to look for a deal in a place where maybe the taxes don't go up as compared to other places. However, that also probably means the value of the property in that area won't increase much either. Better to just look for the best deal.