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All Forum Posts by: Michael Randell

Michael Randell has started 4 posts and replied 13 times.

These recent forum changes are even more horrendous than the last..

Post: Hesitation with Property Built in 2008

Michael RandellPosted
  • United States
  • Posts 14
  • Votes 6

Apologies for the post guys. Just got an answer so I will be removing.

Hey guys, just a quick bit of food for thought and discussion.

I understand that screening tenants is crucial nowadays but I am starting to think that going with a month to month lease agreement for new tenants will be a good way to counteract the effects of COVID. The potential of renters losing their jobs and becoming delinquent is a huge concern for me as I am reading story after horror story of squatters, etc. There is also a good chance that dealing with the courts might end up being even more of a hassle when the eviction moratoriums end with backlog, delays, etc.

Then again, on the other side of the coin, I will probably be cutting my renter pool down because of the fact that the renter would not have the security of a long term lease in these times.

I might have just answered my own questions but you guys have any thoughts?

Post: NEXT Recession - Can't come fast enough???

Michael RandellPosted
  • United States
  • Posts 14
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Russell Brazil:

Of the 12 recessions since the Great Depression, real estate prices nationally continued to rise during 10 of them. In 1991, one of the 2 where they fell, they fell just $1500. 

So why then do you think there is going to be ample cheap prices abounding? Are you able to see into the future?

Hi Russell, I really appreciate your comments on these recession doomsday threads. If you don't mind me asking, I'm very interested in where you found this data, can you point me in the right direction?

@Mitchell Jaworski thanks for the response, I actually follow your blog scaredy cat guide as well! Really good stuff and I appreciate your work sharing. 

I have been just saving up money on the sidelines for a while at this point and am itching to get a deal but just have the feeling that waiting a couple more months to see what the next batch of numbers look like before diving into a deal at this point in the cycle might be a good idea. 

I'm planning on coming to the next Delray beach coffee with investors meetup! Any others you can recommend?

Hey South Florida people! Just trying to gather some thoughts and figured I wouldn't be the only one with this question on my mind so here it goes..

I have two deals under my belt and my feel/opinion lately, compared to last year, is that I have a tiny bit more confidence in the overall market down here in but honestly still have a good bit of above average hesitation when it comes to fully going through with a deal. I'm mostly focused in Palm Beach County multifamily 2-4 units but also sometimes expand my search into Broward but would be super interested to hear some thoughts from you any of you guys in the community here.

Side note: This might sound silly but I don't know if I have been scared off a bit because past 3-4 months I have been I following this alliedrealtygroup blog and while it does seem to be a bit on the doom and gloom side of things, the numbers presented in some of the recent posts are hard for me to dispute sometimes and I'm sure my perspective has been somewhat skewed since I started following and reading their posts. http://www.alliedrealtygroup.com/market-outlook ...

Anyways though guys, would love to share and see what's on your minds..

Thanks,

Michael Randell

Tags: Palm Beach, West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, Lake Worth, Jupiter, Palm Beach Gardens, Juno Beach, Tequesta, Riviera Beach, Royal Palm Beach, Wellington, Loxahatchee, Fort Lauderdale, Delray Beach, Boynton Beach

Originally posted by @Jon Huber:

@Mike Lorence  Welcome to the area. If you'd like to know more about that monthly meetup in Delray Beach, shoot me a msg. I'll have you added to the monthly email distribution. It's a great group... free to show... free of pitches... just collective minds discussing real estate.

  Hey Jon, can you add me to the email list as well? Thanks!

Post: Overcoming Fear of the Market

Michael RandellPosted
  • United States
  • Posts 14
  • Votes 6
Originally posted by @Mike Dymski:

Hey @Michael Randell.  A lot of investors are having a tough time with appreciation plays penciling out right now because (1) they feel that prices are elevated (2) their prediction for future appreciation is not as high or as predictable as it has been for them in the past and (3) the cash flow is low.

Real estate is local though and there are opportunities at every point in the cycle (#7 above).  I am re-allocating capital from appreciation plays into more cash flow plays but there are lots of ways to make a profit in real estate and only time will tell.  And I agree that real estate can be a flight to safety when there is concern over elevated prices in all asset classes (#10 above).

 Thank you for the response!

Post: Overcoming Fear of the Market

Michael RandellPosted
  • United States
  • Posts 14
  • Votes 6

hey @Mike Dymski, thanks for the post, good perspective. I have read a lot of your stuff here on BP, thanks. I'm curious though what you think when you say, "If you are a market appreciation only investor, ignore this post...that can require some market timing." 

Market appreciation, i.e. buy and hold real estate is my current strategy with a focus towards market appreciation..My idea is that long term buy and hold would be a "safeguard" against recessions.

Originally posted by @Holly Williams:

I've found that it's all about spending time, and most important, relationships.  To find good off-market deals, you need to know the big brokers in town, and have the reputation of following through with what you say you will do.  Because I have a full time job I don't have that kind of time, which is why I began investing passively.  Once I learned about that possibility it changed my life.  It's MUCH easier to get cash flow when you have 300 units vs. two.  Just my experience after several years of working this.  

Hey Holly, I'm curious as to what route you have gone with passive real estate investing...I'm in the same position working 50 hours a week at my job and my family's business. I have been looking into syndications lately and trying to research other passive options. Do you have any suggestions or tips you can share? Thanks :)