Great guesses here, folks. Stay tuned in a week or two - we'll release some research showing you where we think the cash flow is. To some points on this thread:
@Matt Ward Not sure why that's so surprising that 90% are interested in 1-4 unit properties - most investors can easily qualify for a Fannie Mae loan on those, they can't on bigger property. It takes more capital, and most of our investors (85%) earn less than $200,000 per year. I'll see if we can spin something up to make those results clear. The financing is thee huge advantage that our investors have over institutions. Wall Street can't competitively finance a duplex, triplex, quadplex, or SFR.
@Steve Vaughan I think there's some truth to investing locally and the savings and opportunity that you get! If it's close, I'd go with the local market. However, for some, the cash flow just isn't there locally!
@Storm S. of course! I'm analyzing this based on unleveraged CoC ROI.
I think that many of you will be surprised when I wrap this up and release it! Cleveland ain't even in the top 50%. Neither is Detroit.
What the 1% rule and cursory reviews of rent to price ratios BUTCHER is the fact that many markets with 1% rule properties also have very high property taxes and insurance. For example, property taxes in Detroit and Cleveland are higher, on average, than property taxes in Washington, DC. Literally, the total dollars spent on property tax for owners of property in DC are lower than they are in Detroit and Cleveland, in spite of property values 2-3X higher. Insurance rates follow a similar pattern.
I think investors have been making assumptions that are wildly wrong about where the unleveraged CoC ROI is for years, and I will prove it to you in a week or so!