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All Forum Posts by: Matt R.

Matt R. has started 118 posts and replied 3803 times.

Post: Bitcoin is 10k again what are you going to do now?

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728
Originally posted by @Joe Splitrock:
Originally posted by @Matt R.:
Originally posted by @Joe Splitrock:
Originally posted by @Eric Carr:

Bitcoins market cap surpasses Tesla. Closing in on silver. 

 Sell it now if you are smart.

You might realize by now bitcoin tends to extra punish sideliners. $100k bitcoin by Dec is on average how this goes down next which is 1000% since post. However selling some now for 650% is hard to pass on too. Good luck! 

 So many things I could have purchased over the years that went up crazy in value. This one I feel the least bad about. Crypto is an artificially limited commodity that can be copied and the substitute is identical or even better. A 1000% and people want to hold on for what? At what point does this look insanely speculative? I think at some point you have to recognize you had a good run and take your chips off the table. Keep in mind that crypto has yet to feel the wrath of the US Government. As the saying goes, the house always wins...

 I hear ya. The copy part idk if it is possible to copy the liquidity in the 100s of billions of dollars. The code part is easier to copy but without the liquidity its meaningless. We are still early in the game so some are speculating on that part or some are speculating as inflation hedge or some just hold to collect the compounding interest. To sell now for USD alone idk if it makes a ton of sense unless taking profits off table to put somewhere else other than USD. Part of the picture for bitcoin is to hedge for what is happening to everyones dollars right now. Either way tons sell billions worth everyday. Crypto profits are already taxed just like everything else at this point. There is no pass on the taxes. However one could take a loan out on it and not pay taxes is what some seem to do. Good luck!

Post: Bitcoin is 10k again what are you going to do now?

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728
Originally posted by @Joe Splitrock:
Originally posted by @Eric Carr:

Bitcoins market cap surpasses Tesla. Closing in on silver. 

 Sell it now if you are smart.

You might realize by now bitcoin tends to extra punish sideliners. $100k bitcoin by Dec is on average how this goes down next which is 1000% since post. However selling some now for 650% is hard to pass on too. Good luck! 

Post: Bitcoin is $65k again but are you using it for REI?

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728

Every so often over the years I have taken a temp check on bitcoin with what we can assume are 99% REI folks. Wanted to check to see if anyone is actually using bitcoin/crypto in their real estate ventures. Previous posts I would get some of the I would rather rent to crack head type answers than take bitcoin for rent but that seems to be slowly fading. Recently the ETF was approved so more larger investors are coming in soon we can assume.

Are you thinking of using/buying bitcoin and or use in any REI capacity? If so how? For example like one BPer who uses spare room to mine bitcoin. I think it covers the mortgage or a portion.

thanks and good luck! 

Post: Kiyosaki has spoken - October economic crash coming!

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728

RK is usually a click bait dealio. Silver 10 year down 28%. Gold 10 year up 6%. Factor for inflation and opportunity cost I guess it lost money. Not sure there is much more real estate other than borderline hood stuff that is still under after 10 years. Bitcoin is a forgettaboutit calculator breaking if we are talking % returns. 230% annually compounded or 20,000,000%. Yikes. 

Post: House-hacking with a bitcoin farm

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728
Originally posted by @Joe Splitrock:

Here is a better idea. Rent space in a colocation data center and scale the operation there. Then rent your bedroom out to someone who needs housing. That would actually be considered house hacking and would help with our national housing shortage. 

The people telling you it isn't "house hacking" are not dinosaurs or computer illiterate. They just understand that house hacking involves renting space to humans, lol. 

The power demands of mining servers are pretty intense and residential grids are not designed for it. The whole crypto transaction is extremely wasteful. You can do a million credit card transactions with the energy it takes for one Bitcoin transaction. It is not scalable or sustainable. 

Wait until government here gets their teeth into it. What happened in China will happen here. The government wants a "central bank digital currency", so they can manipulate it. The biggest appeal of crypto is that it is NOT government controlled, so there is a showdown coming. 

Biden administration hates crypto even more than real estate investors. The difference is housing fills a fundamental human need. 

https://townhall.com/columnist...

I hear ya, definitely the tax man is coming. Today 55% of the worlds top 100 banks own bitcoin so maybe not chinese communist style regulations coming. 

As far as the mining and using payments etc, most the payment stuff today does not require mining so off bitcoin network as far as that goes. I guess that payment part quickly evolved more than some might realize.  Btc would only be used for the larger purchases today, not the cup of coffee stuff at this junction anyways. But new taxes coming is expected. I would say the space it is still very risky however one slices it. 

The total banning in the western world does not look very likely still. Its is easily farther along than legal weed at least. 

Post: Big Bear Lake Short term rental

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728

Big Bear was probably 20 years ahead of the str curve with all the reasonable regulations that keep the hood in order. Vrbo might be better or as good as abnb just speculating there as I rent Bbear off vrbo. So i guess use both. Good luck!

Post: House-hacking with a bitcoin farm

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728
Originally posted by @Ross Bowman:
Originally posted by @Matt R.:

I like the idea and also the heating house part from the other poster.  I wonder how the numbers and effort would compare to some defi staking. Are you saying the all in is 18k? 

 DeFi staking - different approach, but I get what you mean. I'm wary of that myself until the space matures (see recent hack). Mining is really just an alternative to DCA - you just pay for btc in electricity instead of cash, and get more of it long term. For example: for $250 in electricity, I get $1200 in BTC. Whereas if I paid USD, it would be $1200 for $1200. When DeFi staking matures, I'll do some of that too. I just don't really want my bag there, the way it currently exists now. 

18k - for me it was, yes. That's rigs plus paying an electrician to come optimize the circuits where I plug them in. You can't run them on regular 120v plugs.

Price of rigs varies a lot - I planned this out in advance and bought my rigs when bitcoin was "dead" during the last dip to 29k. That's when rigs get more affordable. When bitcoin is up, they can literally double in price (or more). Like most things, it's best to buy when other people aren't (if that makes sense). 

There's a lot of considerations to mining, but like real estate it can be very profitable if you know what you're doing. 

 Cool and I hear ya. Defi staking requires a certain level of applied knowledge to minimize 3rd party risk. Definitely not a whole bag deal. 

As far as numbers go it appears defi could earn upto 50% less vs mining on a monthly basis. Sort of anyways as you have to account for the defi principle being liquid somehow. And add variables it could be 10% or 90% monthly depending. 

I almost want to do an 3 year experiment 18k mining vs 18k defi. The defi is compounding daily or hourly in some cases. I guess the mining is not compounding although the new mining funds could be allocated to be compounded. 

I did well on the btc mining stocks. So there is that angle for comparison too I guess. None of these are either or we can understand. 

Lastly, how loud are the miners? Like a vacuum cleaner loud or? 

Post: House-hacking with a bitcoin farm

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728

I like the idea and also the heating house part from the other poster.  I wonder how the numbers and effort would compare to some defi staking. Are you saying the all in is 18k? 

Post: Selling Investment Properties to go Out of State

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728
Originally posted by @Rick Albert:

Keep in mind the biggest risk with negative cash flow is the struggle to scale. Lenders will take the total rents and only count 75% towards your DTI. Therefore your day to day job needs to be able to cover the difference.

LA Rents are expected to rise.  Regarding those with apartments, because they have the 50+ units, they are diversified.  If a few tenants aren't paying but the rest are, you can still manage.  Those with one or two single family homes are the ones that are generally struggling.  That's what I've noticed on my end and I manage a Facebook group of about 300 landlords in the LA/So Cal area.

How was the response on the adu? Awhile back I helped a friend do a fb marketplace for his adu. It was rather insane responding to hundreds of inquiries.  Just curious. 

Post: make your case: Stocks vs Rentals

Matt R.Posted
  • Sherman Oaks, CA
  • Posts 3,975
  • Votes 2,728
Originally posted by @Shiva Bhaskar:

I hate to not take a strong side, but what about both? Stocks, especially with index funds based on S&P 500, have been a historic long-term source of growth and wealth. I am not a fan of much active investing in stocks as I do with real estate, but if you let the market work, over the long run, it does deliver. 

Real estate offers leverage, tax benefits, and better cash flow than most stock dividends. Long term appreciation is strong, although there's not much real estate that is likely to zoom up the way some stocks, especially tech companies, have in recent years. 

I say do both. 

Probably most have or want both is the reality. Perhaps some have to consider a 3rd leg today in that now 55% of the worlds top banks also have bitcoin.