@Jay Hinrichs I get what your saying but even if you assume zero for vacancy, capex and maintenance, I still don't get to his number.
Also, I get that capex, vacancy and maintenance are not static/known but shouldn't any investor factor something in for those regardless of how small they may be? assume $1,150 rent as indicated above, a 1 month vacancy due to turn over has an impact of -$96 per month spread out over the year. I think its unreasonable to forecast zero vacancy for any property since we know its a matter of when not if there will be a vacancy. even maintenance as another example, do we know what will break, no, but we know something will break or need to be replaced/updated. so we should put something in to account for it.
I'm a firm believer that anyone presenting financials should account for the unknown. As far as I'm concerned if I purchased a TK property and there was no forecast in the financials for vacancy and a vacancy occurs, the TK provider should be reimbursing me for my loss due to their failure to adequately account for it.