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All Forum Posts by: Harish V.

Harish V. has started 3 posts and replied 183 times.

Post: Grocapitus - Anyone have experience with them?

Harish V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Fremont, CA
  • Posts 187
  • Votes 109
Quote from @Neal Bawa:
Quote from @Harish V.:

Anyone here invested in the project The Grid in buffalo NY with Grocapitus?

Was there exit for this?

Was the refinancing done and capital returned in year 3?

Was the brownfield credits distributed in year 4?

I want to know as the partnership is between same two parties Neal Bawa and Blackfish as Rails on Main project that I invested in with Financial Attenement.



Official answer from Grocapitus - The Grid in Buffalo is built, leased, refinanced with sub-4% interest rate and 100% of investor equity returned, and is cash flowing, for over a year now. We plan to hold for another 2 years, and expect to beat our proforma handily. Apartment.com review are 4.8 out of 5 - https://www.apartments.com/the-grid-buffalo-ny/px3dlet/
That’s very nice. There is hope for me yet. Though looks like the exit for this is delayed by 2 yrs. Trying to keep my hopes up.

Post: Grocapitus - Anyone have experience with them?

Harish V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Fremont, CA
  • Posts 187
  • Votes 109

Anyone here invested in the project The Grid in buffalo NY with Grocapitus?

Was there exit for this?

Was the refinancing done and capital returned in year 3?

Was the brownfield credits distributed in year 4?

I want to know as the partnership is between same two parties Neal Bawa and Blackfish as Rails on Main project that I invested in with Financial Attenement.


Quote from @Chris Seveney:

@Rob Block

Verifications should be done by the sponsor - they hire a third party.

99.9% chance none have done it because in the past they have not had too. Raising money was like picking apples and investors don’t care

Investors need to be more diligent going forward if they want to truly understand their risk

Could you suggest which third party companies are credible or well known?
is it like auditors for financial results?

Thank you for this line of thinking. Was not aware there was a something like third party verification company.
Quote from @Rob Block:
Quote from @Greg Scott:

I'm not familiar with these deals, but would be very careful when looking at historical results.   Anything that was purchased 2015 to 2019 was probably a home run by 2021.  Because of rising interest rates, returns have not been as strong on properties purchased 2020 to 2023

That's true.  But people have said on this forum that his track record isn't good, so I'm trying to find people who have invested in his full lifecycle deals to get more perspective.

The deal I mentioned has an assumable fixed interest rate (for 5 years) of 5.3%, so interest rate jolts are less of a concern there.  I have looked at the underwriting and it mostly looks reasonable.  But I'm not an expert and could be missing something.


 Interesting. How you want to look for good in evil. You are very positive person. Hope you succeed.

Post: Morris Invest / SDIRA Wealth

Harish V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Fremont, CA
  • Posts 187
  • Votes 109

Here is the whois database for this website/company:



Domain:sdirawealth.com

Registrar:GoDaddy.com, 

LLCRegistered On:2015-07-03

Expires On:2024-07-03

Updated On:2023-11-13

Looks fishy.

Post: Morris Invest / SDIRA Wealth

Harish V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Fremont, CA
  • Posts 187
  • Votes 109
Quote from @B Smith:

I know this is an old thread but I am going to have to pile on here.  Avoid Anything to do with Growth Equity Group or SDIRA Wealth as if your life savings depends on it.  I had a terrible experience with them, mostly because I missed/ignored all the flashing red lights.  For me, deal was... Purchase a multi unit building, managed by a management company.  The management company just happened to be hooked into the deal with Growth Equity group and they also provided the interest only hard money loan for the balance of the purchase price.  The kicker was, the purchase price was WAY over valued!  Which means, you are paying too much and barely covering your expenses.  By the time I got out of it I lost quite a bit but I was happy to free myself of the aggravation of doing business with these people.  If you are going to do this type of business make sure it is in an area you can visit or make yourself familiar with, you have someone that is representing YOU at the table like your Attorrney, and you don't make decisions based on "we need to wrap this up".  These are the type of tactics they use.  IMHO, avoid anything or anyone that was ever involved with Growth Equity Group or SDIRA Wealth.


 Now sdira wealth and Morrison invest are officially working together. I got emails as I was previous client, so they are active in selling. So may be worth while to warn everyone. Please do research before taking decision.

Post: What would happen to fixed-rate MF but market cap went 200bps ?

Harish V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Fremont, CA
  • Posts 187
  • Votes 109
Quote from @Henry Clark:

OP don’t need personal detail.  

But you stated your kids get free rent and free education. Your topic is about CAP rates and DCSR.

My point is I don't care about CAP rates. As an example is your situation above. I can change your personal cap rate very easily.

A. Get your kids to pay rent. That will increase your DCSR and DTI.

Pay your kids education and deduct it.  
Do they have a car?  Deduct it.

Now you might say the above don't make sense.  Or are not legal.   Talk with your accountant and understand how you achieve the above.  

Based on the above your view of a cap rate 1/2/4/6 becomes different than another investor.

B.  1031, downsizing 2 out of 5 primary, corporate or military move, fired and moving, married and combined income, etc.   Each persons view of cap rate is different.        

C.  As @Chris Seveney said a cap 2 isn’t a cap 2.  Could be from a capex standpoint, resale standpoint, property tax.  Again each persons view of cap rate can be different.

Plus who gave you the CAP rate? Do they even know how to calculate? Plus what can you do to value add the cap rate.

My point again is we don’t use cap rate.  The fun is what each of us sees in the deal and how we add value.  

Below is a storage property we just looked at in Pisa Italy.  Let’s say it is a Cap 4.  I am willing to pay a 5, because I can get an 8 value out of it within 6 months.  If 

I need a new accountant. @Carlos Ptriawan - can you refer. I will pm you. The one I talked to says all my RE activities are passive and cannot be used for these costs.
 

Post: What would happen to fixed-rate MF but market cap went 200bps ?

Harish V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Fremont, CA
  • Posts 187
  • Votes 109
Quote from @Christie Gahan:
Quote from @Chris Seveney:
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:

@Chris Seveney and @Henry Clark

Is the following statement true ?

So in markt cap rate going higher (eg: from cap 3 to cap 6) then the only solution is to refi because viable exit is not just possible except to accept to lose money ?


It is tough to say if that is true or not true. Two factors at play here - NOI and cap rate (cap rate of course is not end all be all as a cap of 5% that needs $5M in repairs is different than a cap of 6% with no repairs...) But assuming we are going off those two factors:

Lets use real numbers, lets say your NOI is $1M a year, at a 3% cap that property is worth $33,333,333. But your DSCR of 1.25% lets you borrower$17,000,000 at 4% and you have the balance in equity from investors.

If your NOI did not increase and your cap rate went to 6%, your value is only $16,666,666. If cap rates went to 6% lending is probably around 5% which means bank will only give you $15M. You have a $2M shortfall. In this instance you would just stay status quo until you pray you can have rent growth to bump up the NOI which would hopefully let you refinance BUT that just covers the bank loan - investor equity is destroyed.

This is what I think people are completely missing right now, even the fixed rate debt, your cap rate has gone up, so hopefully that sponsor considered selling at a higher cap rate otherwise even though they could be cash flowing - their valuations are blown.

So MF would be raising rents every year because they don't know how much they need to make? Because they don't know future interest rates or cap rate?  
In turn, does that slow down first time home buyers?

 Pretty much. Its already not good for first time home buyers unless they have lot of cash from crypto or stocks.

In San Jose, CA, the spreads are so negative. A 2M house, would have total costs of 12k+, while rent is 3-4K. The only buyers are ones with equity. Probably wanting to get away from possible rent increases in future.

Post: What would happen to fixed-rate MF but market cap went 200bps ?

Harish V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Fremont, CA
  • Posts 187
  • Votes 109
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:

for example is folks buy in that inverse U slope in 2013 and later 2025, your reward/risk is higher than those who purchase at 2019.

Also, CRE long cycle boom/bust cycle is every 14-15 years so this is pretty predictable. First is 1992 ; followed by 2008 and then 2022/2023.

What's very dumb in my opinion is that some CRE guru like Shumrock (read it at the real deal com) is instructing their student to buy using floating than fixed debt while rate is near zero but CPE is increasing. When M2 is being added in massive and CPE increases it would just means inflation 12 months ahed, so rather than buy fix or hedge the floating with swap, this guy is just buying with floating, hence massive foreclosure today.

Agree with your inference. I would like to add, if you are doing this for yourself, wait till you see the inverse U actually occur. You will always have enough time to profit from it. No need to rush. Anytime you have to rush into something, its most likely not a good deal.

Post: What would happen to fixed-rate MF but market cap went 200bps ?

Harish V.Posted
  • Investor
  • Fremont, CA
  • Posts 187
  • Votes 109
Quote from @Carlos Ptriawan:

the cap doesn't really matter but the slope of the cap that matters.

when we chase CRE basically we are trading the spread between 5Y bond and cap rate.

This is same like buying stock, buying at 40 or 300 doesn't matter if we don't know the context, so in stock going up is better; with CRE what matter is the width spread between SOFR/5Y and fair cap rate.

Yes that's my point. This difference should be 1-2%. However, if the 5y bond rate increases over time, then additional income will be required to compensate. Its instantaneous analysis vs projecting changes over time of holding. 

One extreme case to consider is if 5yr rates go to 10% and stay there for 10 years. Will you be able to hold. If yes, that's great, that's what one wants.