Here’s what I think will happen. Buyers offers will contain a contingency that the seller pays X percent to their buyers agent.
And the negotiations will go from there.
I do think real estate agents are over compensated. Heck, I’ve thought many times about becoming one because of this.
The barrier to competition has never been getting licensed. That is a very low bar. The barrier is the control of the MLS, and, in spite of assertions that compensations can be negotiated, that control coupled with collusion has created a sort of cartel effect.
What would be great is a national disruptor. A company that could offer a paid listing service together with 10 hours of training and a help desk. And maybe extra expertise for pay. Certainly saving potentially 10k or more would be worth the hassle to most people. A company like Zillow should be able to do this, to market intelligently, give people peace of mind, and have the data to back up that it works out better for the seller.
Real estate isn't rocket science, let alone and doctor level. And Realtors shouldn't be compensated like rocket scientists or doctors. Control over the MLS together with the anxiety that comes from a once in a lifetime huge transaction has allowed them to be.