Quote from @Ken Boone:
On the other hand, differing from what @Robin Simon said, invest in the luxury instead of the average value range. I could be dead wrong, but my theory is that the average value range is going to be what is hit the most and that is where the largest ADR drop will occur because that is where the most competition is going to be. Whereas, the folks that rent the luxury type places, are not hurt near as much in a recession, and still take their ($500+ per night) vacations. Don't know if I am right or not, that's just my theory ;)
Agreed. Our cabin has a bit of your strategy and Robin Simon's: Luxury and in the Smokies. I just see a ton of folks jumping into the STR market and may not be thinking about the part of the cycle we are in. Sorry to say, but anytime there is this much FOMO for something, many that didn't buy right (financing, uniqueness, etc.), could wash out in a few years. I am excited about this space, but don't want to be one of them.