Quote from @Dan H.:
Quote from @Ken M.:
Quote from @Dan H.:
Quote from @James Wise:
Quote from @Dan H.:
Quote from @James Wise:
Quote from @Dan H.:
Quote from @Jonathan Small:
You've raised some valid concerns about California, and it's true that the state faces significant challenges. However, dismissing it entirely based on these issues overlooks several factors that continue to attract people and investment:
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Diverse Economy: California boasts a massive and diverse economy, far beyond just Hollywood. It's a global leader in technology (Silicon Valley), agriculture (Central Valley), international trade (ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach), and tourism. This economic strength creates job opportunities and attracts talent from around the world.
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Innovation and Entrepreneurship: California has a deeply ingrained culture of innovation and entrepreneurship. It's a hub for startups, venture capital, and cutting-edge research. This attracts ambitious individuals seeking to build the next big thing.
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World-Class Universities: California is home to some of the world's most prestigious universities, including Stanford, UC Berkeley, UCLA, and Caltech. These institutions attract top students and faculty, contributing to the state's intellectual capital and driving innovation.
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Natural Beauty and Diversity: While you mentioned the weather (which is undeniably a major draw for many), California's natural beauty extends far beyond sunny beaches. It encompasses diverse landscapes, including mountains (Sierra Nevada), forests (Redwoods), deserts (Death Valley), and national parks (Yosemite, Sequoia). This offers a wide range of outdoor activities and recreational opportunities.
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Cultural Hubs: Cities like Los Angeles and San Francisco are major cultural centers, offering world-class museums, theaters, music venues, and diverse culinary scenes. They attract artists, creatives, and people who appreciate a vibrant urban lifestyle.
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Real Estate Appreciation (Historically): @Dan H. points this out with his bathroom addition. While recent years have presented challenges, California real estate has historically seen significant appreciation, particularly in desirable coastal areas. This has made it an attractive investment for some, though high prices and increasing interest rates are currently impacting affordability.
Addressing your specific points:
- High Taxes: Yes, California has high taxes, particularly income tax. However, many high-income earners are willing to pay these taxes for the perceived benefits of living and working in California, such as access to opportunities, infrastructure, and services.
- Crime and Homelessness: These are serious issues in some parts of California, particularly in major cities. However, it's important to avoid generalizations. Crime rates vary significantly by neighborhood and city. While the homelessness crisis is a complex problem, it's not unique to California and is being addressed through various initiatives.
In summary: While California has its problems, it's not a simple case of "everything else sucks." The state's economic dynamism, natural beauty, cultural attractions, and educational institutions continue to draw people and investment. Whether these factors outweigh the challenges is a personal decision.
San diego, los angeles, and san Francisco violent crime rate is low compared to most large cities outside california. The 3 of them are below Cincinnati, cleveland, and toledo.
The lowest city on the list on wikipedia for violent crime is irvine, CA
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities...
Any violent crime is too high but i travel a bit. I feel far safer in the roughest parts of San Diego than i do in many large cities outside CA.
People seldom look at actual crime numbers. What they see is what their media presents to them. A crime in a low crime area may be media worthy but the same crime in a high crime area may be just another day.
in my neighborhood (poway), kids playing doorbell ditch or riding 3 on an electric bike warrants posting on social media and dozens of comments (no exaggeration). Must be nice that those “crimes” deserve so much attention.
It is my belief that most RE investors are best served initially investing near their home. After they have some experience they can decide if other markets are likely to suit them better. I believe this is true for high price san Francisco and lower priced detroit and most markets in between.
Best wishes
San Diego, Los Angeles, and San Francisco having a lower violent crime rate than Cincinnati, Cleveland, and Toledo is not an accomplishment by any means. You are comparing 3 cities where you pay one of the highest premiums in the USA to live to 3 of the cheapest cities in the USA. This would be like me telling you my Escalade drives better than your KIA. Duhhhh, of course it does.
The post i was replying to implied a serious crime rate in CA cities. That is not true.
i also do not associate crime rate with cost of living and find it interesting that you do. If you look at the list, there is not a strong correlation between price and violent crime rate but more important, the large california cities are lower than most large cities in other states. The stats seem to indicate there is not a violent crime issue in large CA cities that some people believe exists. They have that belief in large part due to media sensationalizing certain crimes. The violent crime stats tell a different story.
best wishes
What kind of person doesn't associate crime rate with cost of living? Of course one would and should assume that the cost of a property in a "safe neighborhood" would be more than the cost of a similar property in a "dangerous neighborhood." That's common sense.
I agree on a neighborhood basis. In general higher cost neighborhoods are safer than lower cost neighborhoods. Howevr, look at the stats on a city basis. There are LCOL cities with low crime rates and HCOL cities with high crime rates. There is not a tight coupling between price and violent crime rates. for example denton texas has one of the lowest violent crime rates. I highly suspect few people consider it a HCOL city. As indicated the correlation of LCOL cities having high crime rates and HCOL cities having low crime rates appears to not be strong.
Ca large cities have lower violent crime rates than many cities in other states that are a similar size.
California has the highest rate of investor homes in the nation because of the returns that can be achieved. There is nothing that trumps the return on why it has so many investor owned homes. Great appreciation, great cash flow on long holds, great value add opportunities, good tenants in most areas (my city delinquency and eviction rates are near the lowest in the country). There are lots of ways to make money in CA real estate for those that know what they are doing.
However, i recommend newbies start in or close to their home market. They need to identify the possibilities in their market. After that if they believe CA is the right market for them, they can join the plethora of investors that invest from all over the world in CA RE.
good luck
Hmm, me thinks a strong case can be made for "confirmation bias" here. "Since I invest here, there must not be any problems". ;-)
Let’s look at my claims:
- there is not a strong correlation between safety and cost of living of the city. Not sure how that is biased, but I also provided the link and an example of one of the safer cities on the list not having a high cost of living.
- California has highest investor ownership rate and I provided the link to the source.
- California has higher rate of return for the large coastal cities matches the stats case Shiller used to provide for total residential return for this century. The 3 top cities where all coastal CA cities but CA cities made up a majority of top 10 cities on the list with my market at number 3 for total return for this century. I will challenge you to find a single reputable source that does not show San Diego to have achieved outstanding long term return.
- I posted a recent rehab that I added half a bathroom out of existing space and the comps showed that half bathroom added $50k of value. Good luck getting such significant value add in a low cost market. This was in a property where the psf is over $1k.
- I pointed out that my market (San Diego) has one of the lowest eviction and delinquent rates in the country. I challenge you to find a single reputable source that shows otherwise.
I then advocated for all newbies start close to their home market.
I stand by my remarks and challenge you to show one statement to not be factual. Facts, no need for confirmation bias. In addition, I do not need to make more money so I am not needing to push CA RE. Not a realtor, not a mortgage broker, not selling any mentorships (my protégés do not pay but are a very limited group). I do not need to push CA RE and have little to gain which places me in a different category than many of the people who have posted on this thread including the OP who is a realtor, property manager, and sells mentoring (at what appears a reasonable price) in his Ohio markets.
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I simply notice that L.A. is burning because the mayor cut fire support by $17 million dollars, she wanted to cut it more. It's fire season and she fled the state. The fire hydrants don't work, the "water lady" who gets paid $750,000 a year to turn the tap on didn't do that, and on and on and on. (I feel sorry for those firemen trying to handle the chaos, they weren't told by the reservoir people they had drained the water) The money was diverted to DEI programs of which these characters directly benefited. Just watching the news.
That does not build confidence in investing in an area no matter how many friendly seals bark at you.
Do L.A. and California lose carbon credits for all the noxious smoke? (I know, San Diego is considerably south of L.A., been there, done that, nice place, but to most people in the U.S. and the world, L.A. / San Diego distinction is lost on them.
Now, if I was an investor in California, would things like L.A. fires, landslides, earth quakes, taxes, canyon fires, traffic, eviction moratoriums, etc worry me? You betcha.
I spend (not so sure how much now going forward) a fair amount of time from Santa Barbara to Laguna Beach. I love the ocean. Rarely is the beach crowded though, for such a large population. How many people pay for a gym membership that they never use. Same thing. High taxes, high rate of crime. Some violent, some not, still too much crime no matter what goes on in Detroit, Baltimore, D,C., Philadelphia and so on. Just because they have more problems doesn't make California desirable. That's called a straw man argument.
My only question is if property taxes are going to go up for the people of Pacific Palisades to cover the damage the People caused to the city. Strike, that, the damage the city caused to the people. ;-) But, the people voted for them again & again, didn't they? At some point, even the worst carpenter stops hitting his thumb on purpose, so he can experience how much better it feels when he stops.
Frankly I'm glad guys like you choose to invest where you do instead of adding yet more competition to where I invest. No harm, no foul.