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All Forum Posts by: Account Closed

Account Closed has started 2 posts and replied 31 times.

Post: This house has no takers

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Eddie Memphis:

People that can only afford $575 are very unlikely to have their own refrigerator or dishwasher. 

Why $862? That is an unusual number for a security deposit.

I would tend to agree put in the appliances - make it easier for a tenant to move in - Looks like a nice enough place, no one lives on top of you and you have a yard for the kids and dog - 1st 3 months rent free with security deposit up front with 18 month lease - I was poor once and every $$$ counts when you can't afford new purchases 

Great backyard for an illegal global warming bonfire, with the family, on holidays

In Arizona the owned media have made it their mission statement to make it illegal to have a backyard bonfire on every official federal holiday.

Post: Investing 40k in flooded homes Baton Rouge denham Louisiana

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12

OK as a quick flip money investor I can understand that you want in and out quick - Crap if I was rehabbing a floodplain house I would want in and out fast as well

Actually I don't think that I would ever want my name on the property deed like ever - However if there was ever a way to make a quick buck this may just be the way without risk especially if you were using an out of state corporation like Nevada as your flow through 

Post: Would you buy a $150k church in France?What would you do with it?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12

I heard they are turning them into mosques or houses of prostitution.

Maybe just bulldoze it and turn it into a hotel or a franchise restaurant location if it has a great traffic count with little competition.

I guess you could try the Boutique Air B & B route

Post: How did the 2007 housing bubble affect investors of buy and hold?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12

Save up your money another downturn is coming.

Automation and the internet are gonna kill a lot of jobs and entire industries, A lot of people are entirely dependent upon their stock market 401K or pensions (Some of the funds will never be able to pay up) for their income, the country is $20 Trillion in debt and no one can agree on anything, the healthcare system is in a state of complete debacle, we have recently seen 3 major disasters hit our soil (Houston, Florida and Puerto Rico - Puerto Rico was already broke and now they need more money because they are even more broke than they were before) - Our government and most of it's people are still operating on an economic system which was designed 90 years ago (3 generations) which will no longer function as we go forward -  Interest rates have to go up eventually which means more expensive money, Let's not forget the tax thing (We had a 94% income tax rate and they confiscated gold during the great depression)  etc, etc, fill in the blank

Now I don't want to be a Negative Nancy or a Debbie Downer but someone has to survive the next downturn to pick up the pieces. We'll survive and be stronger afterwards but still the collective willpower doesn't seem to be there.

What does your gut tell you ???

Save up your cash and be ready to prosper during the next cycle.

Good things come to those that wait. Perseverance, Patience and Cash are King.

Post: What types of Apartment Complexes Weathered the Great Recession ?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Mark Allen:

Dallas-Ft. Worth wasn't hit hard by the recession but the bank/servicers were still taking back properties. My Managing Director was one of three brokers who worked exclusively with all the special servicers and he made a good amount of money selling apartments during the recession. I believe he helped sell ~11 class B/C apartments/year for 3 years. With 3 brokers working with the servicers, I bet there were 85+ REOs during that time period which is closer to 8% of the available product (~1100 apartments in DFW at that time).

Going through the list of apartments he sold between 2010-2012, they were mostly in C areas. Investors were most likely leveraged at 80% and the properties were poorly or self managed.

Interesting I've recently (Like within the last 12 hours) come to realize (Unrelated to this post) that there may be more money than smart people living in Dallas.

Post: What types of Apartment Complexes Weathered the Great Recession ?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @David Thompson:

Hi Ken,

@Mike Dymski mentioned one solid data point.  Worth repeating, during the last recession, MF mortgage delinquency rate was 1% (take out speculative markets like Vegas, Phoenix and Miami, and it was almost nil) according to my friend@Paul Moore who did some great research when putting together his excellent book on MF investing.  SF homes were running about 4-5% in contrast.  

Here's some practical experiences.  We had a property mgt company in Houston that had 10 + value add B/C properties when oil fell from $100 barrel to $50 barrel (a significant local economic shock due to its dependency on oil related jobs) and their occupancy stayed steady at 92% and even tailed up a bit to 93% during that timeframe while class A fell from 95% to mid 80s. The service jobs in staid industries that make up the demographic tends to hold up better than the $100K oil jobs that went fleeing and favor class A apts.

Secondly, I had an investor recently who wanted to know what the average occupancy was in Richardson, TX (a Dallas suburb) at the worst point in the last recession, where we were acquiring one of our four apartments there.  Worst year was 2009 at 85%. We compared that with the sensitivity analysis on our deal where we could still be making a positive return at 81% and B/E was going to be 75%. That was a comforting data point to share with him.

 Honestly I don't have a clue what any of that means David.

I'm just a dumb guy that goes to work everyday.

Some investors laugh at me, some think that they are better than me, some are scared of me, some are terrified of me and others see no value at all in me.

That's my current perception, right or wrong. That's how I see landlords right now.

Post: Multi-Family Investing Assumptions Challenged

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Todd Dexheimer:

@Account Closed it is all in writing and very detailed. 

 Maybe that's really the best way.

I've been operating on a wing and a prayer for so long even I believe my own lies and promises.

Post: Multi-Family Investing Assumptions Challenged

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Todd Dexheimer:

@Account Closed no I do not own the neighboring property in the case I was mentioning

 Interesting.

So you found a buddy with a neighboring apartment complex and you were able to come to an amicable agreement to share his resources.

A sub-contractor for apartment management.

That's really fascinating actually.

Is that a handshake deal or is it in writing ???

I have a handshake deal with my sub-contractor right now, but he is currently mad at me. I know he'll overcome it and that we'll work through it so that we both prosper but I have already made provisions so that I can't be held hostage going forward.

Post: What types of Apartment Complexes Weathered the Great Recession ?

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Todd Dexheimer:

@Account Closed shining up a B will only hurt an A. If A residents are wanting cheaper rent and find a B area with a renovated property for cheap, they are more likely to make that step down. 

But A level has already built an apartment complex with it's own bowling lanes and movie theater.

And if they haven't then they aren't really my competition now are they.

Their just people born with a silver spoon in their mouth.

Post: Multi-Family Investing Assumptions Challenged

Account ClosedPosted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • Posts 47
  • Votes 12
Originally posted by @Todd Dexheimer:

For the on site part, I have teamed up with a neighboring property to split those costs. On-site is important for 50+ unit properties, especially in C areas

FICO scores are less important in Multi-family period, even under 100 units. You will still have it looked at and will have red flags if it is under 650

As Nick said loans over $1M that are 90% occupied could qualify for non-recourse even under 100 units

 Do you own the neighboring property ???