Looks like I missed a whole second page when responding with my last post.
@Scott Trench I love the detailed response. Your cap rate comparison is a great analytical tool for first pass comparisons. I think it also helps explain why I had initial hesitation on whether I should sell or refi. If I were to stay in the same area based on your cap rate comparison refi may make sense, if I go out of state in a less expensive market it I should sell hands down. I do believe that the SD market will continue to appreciate and rents are currently still climbing, but with my goal of cash flow, I'll need to sell and find the markets with the higher cap rates. Thanks for the feedback!
@Dawn Brenengen Interesting thought. I may explore that option just for kicks. (still planning on investing OOS)
@Dan H. It's always difficult to follow your own advice isn't it? In this case I'll take yours. :)
@Ola Dantis That was my initial thought. But even with the potential of appreciation, right now I want to focus on developing good investment fundamentals. In the future when I've reached my cash flow goals, I'll start looking into potential appreciation more. Gambling is more fun when you have money to loose don't you agree?
@Ryan E. Most of the feedback I've gotten has taken into account the appreciation. But as you mentioned because the "profits" are on paper. This means it's sitting idle doing nothing for me and can potentially be lost. With the numbers you assume: NOI $6K/month for a $800K property gives you a cap rate of 9%. Pretty sure that's not too difficult to hit in some markets outside of CA.
@Jeshua Patrick Not trying to convince myself of anything. The property is appreciating and rent is increasing, but I don't know for how long. Mainly I was trying to get a full picture from those with experience to make sure I was on the right track. But I agree, holding on to the property would be gambling and as you've pointed out in your calcs, probably not a good gamble.
@Shiloh Lundahl agreed.
@Jay Hinrichs you make notes sound very enticing! I've purchased some through lending club but returns weren't so great. I'll have to do some more research on that and listen to your podcast before I ask any questions to make the most of your time. Any pointers for reading material is appreciated.
@Dan H. Some great points. I don't mind a little work if it pays off.