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All Forum Posts by: Jose Goncalvez

Jose Goncalvez has started 5 posts and replied 15 times.

Post: Am I overthinking this deal?

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10
Quote from @Erik W.:

Sounds like a lot of risk with no much reward. Why not just invest in S&P 500 Index and make 8-10% annually with zero hassle?
.
I want my real estate deals to be KILLER. Not just "meh" or "kinda okay." There are tons of risks and hassles; whereas if you "bet" on the S&P 500 you're basically showing that you are confident in the American economy as a whole. While there is possibly the chance of losing money, the S&P has returned a year over year annualized rate of return of about 10.7% since 1972... that's a 50 year track record. And if the S&P 500 goes to crap, a four plex isn't going to help you. There will be rioting in the streets daily and you'll need gold, guns, and food stocks.
.
This to say: I don't think the US economy is going in the toilet anytime soon. I prefer real estate to the stock market, but when the margins are as thin as what you're describing that takes the luster out of it, and I'd just take the easy route and get checks in the mail and/or reinvest via DRIPs.
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ALWAYS factor in Property Management. If you get sick or are otherwise out of pocket, you must account for those expenses. Otherwise, you've just bought yourself a volunteer job. Other investors will value the property based on having professional management in place.


Thanks Erik!

I'm already invested in index funds and a few individual stocks. It is definitely a better way when it comes to truly passive investing. 

Just trying to diversify.

I agree the numbers are super tight. I may need to restructure this deal in some other way or just let it go. 

Post: Am I overthinking this deal?

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10
Quote from @Caroline Gerardo:

Do you have a real quote from an insurance company for coverage?

Cost to evict tenants $140000 if they fight you. I would not buy with existing tenants who likely do not pay.

You cannot and should not do any upgrades with existing tenants paying below market.

How much cash reserves do you have to carry this limping along?

Put 35% down and does it cash flow? 


I requested insurance quote, should be getting it soon to have a clear picture on that. 

I agree regarding inheriting tenants, landlord does not want to take them out before closing. I am still pushing to get them to agree to that. 

Reserves would not be an issue, enough to carry for a few years. 

At 35% downpayment the property would be $195 negative with current rents, and around $1,255 positive after raising rents. 

Thank you Caroline! 

Post: Am I overthinking this deal?

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10

Hi everyone, 

I would like to get an opinion on a deal I have under contract, I have been a bit hesitant due to the interest rate that I am getting on this deal. I may be overthinking too much, feel like I'm stuck on analysis paralysis, so any input I can get will be helpful. 


This is the property info:

Located East side of Hollywood, FL

Fourplex consisting of (2) Studios and (2) One Bedrooms

Property is in good shape but outdated, needs: (4) new bathrooms, fresh paint, maybe windows 

Current rents are $4,150 total

Market rents are $5,600 total (Conservative) 

I would be inheriting tenants, so I would have to go through the process of vacating the units, renovating, renting. 

Purchase price $655,000

Loan terms: DSCR with 20% Downpayment at 8% interest rate

I estimate insurance to be around $4,500-$6,000 / year

Taxes around $10,000-$11,000 / year 

Based on this numbers, the property will not cash flow on day one. After raising rents at conservative numbers it will cash flow about $500-$600 total per month. 

I am not even calculating for vacancies, management, etc. Not to worried about it because I will be self-managing and I know I can get them rented pretty quick on that market. 


I think the numbers are not super attractive, nor terrible, and what keeps me engaged is the future appreciation and rent increase over the years. 

My plan with the property is to hold it as a rental but would like to recover as much as possible from the capital invested while keeping it cash flow positive. 

I have experience investing in condos but I feel those are pretty straight forward and easy to do, this would be my first time getting into this type of deals. 

Any thoughts on this? 



Post: Finding A Brokerage

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10

@Tony Iwen

Unpopular opinion, but still here it goes.

Instead of focusing so hard finding the “perfect” brokerage, focus on finding who the best agents and teams in your area are.

Try to meet with them, maybe go to their open houses, see if you can bring value to them, etc etc.

Find an opportunity to work with/for a highly successful agent/team in your area.

Compensation may not be the best, but still is better than zero. And the real value to you will be skipping on YEARS of learning, frustrations, etc etc etc.

Post: Housing crash deniers ???

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10

@Greg R.

I don’t believe real estate can be discussed or analyzed as simple as this. Specially with all the craziness we saw during 2020 and 2021.

In my opinion, in order to properly discuss the possibilities of what could happen, we must identify the market that we are talking about.

Which area? What type of property? Within what price range?

Take a look at the macroeconomics, what’s happening in that specific market? Why it is where it is today? What would make it “crash” and what won’t?

Etc etc etc

Post: Housing Bubble? Looking for advise on Miami real estate

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10

Reality is that there is not a black or white type of answer. Usually people follow whatever they see on the headlines, but reality is that the data we hear about is way too broad and general to be used as a determining factor.  

When it comes to evaluating the market that we are interested in, it is important to define what market are we talking about? Which area? What type of property are we looking to invest in? What is the projection? Understanding the trend and macroeconomics of that particular area, etc. Real estate is hyper-hyper-hyper local! 

All these factors combined with our own very specific situation. What are we looking for as a result of this investment? Are we looking for cash-flow? Appreciation? Short or long term investment? What's our exit? What is an acceptable return on investment for me specifically? 

In terms of the general market dropping, does it really matter if it drops 10% if I already have a deal that works on my hands now? Is it worth the risk holding back to find out that the market does not drop but continues to go up? What is the opportunity cost? 

Something I see people never consider - specially when starting out - do I have the resources and aggressiveness to win the home-run deals when the market drops and a bunch of seasoned investors are all over the market? 

In my opinion, there is no such thing as a great/bad market, of course we can see general trends but it will come down to finding the strategy that works for you and the area were those opportunities can be found. 

Find properties, analyze them, run the numbers, evaluate the different scenarios, etc. Do the numbers meet my expectations? If yes, great! If no, then move on to the next one. 

If you need help with the Miami market, I'm happy to assist! 

Post: Central A/C Install Cost - Miami

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10

Hey @Shawn Bhatti thanks a lot for your response! For some reason I must have missed it. 

That's somewhat around what I had in mind for both units. I also thought about the mini-splits but considering that these units may be converted into 3 bedrooms each + living space, not sure if the cost difference would be that big. 

I will definitely send you a message to continue the conversation. I appreciate your reply!

Post: Central A/C Install Cost - Miami

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10

Hello everyone!

I have been following BP for years but I believe this is the first time I post in the forum.

I am under contract for a Duplex in Miami. I am planning on doing major renovations because it is completely outdated.

I do have a ballpark idea of most of the costs on the things I am planning on doing, except one - central A/C.

This duplex has wall units and I am contemplating the idea of installing central A/C on both sides, but have zero idea of the cost when it comes to “building” the ducts, finding the place for the system, etc.

Each side is just below 1,000 sq ft, 2 bedrooms + 1 bathroom. There is space for a 3rd bedroom on each side, which I am also considering doing.

Hoping someone expert on this field can provide at least an idea of the cost of this job in general terms. And if you are local and would be interested in providing a more exact estimate to do the project, even better!

I am also in the look for contractors that can take the project. Property is located in 33161 and some of the things I have on the list are:

- New kitchens

- Bathroom renovations

- New flooring

- Other general cosmetic work

Thanks!

Post: Buying condos in Miami

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10

Hey Pedro!

Can you be a bit more specific with your question? Are you looking to buy your client’s condo?

Let me know, I am an agent in South Florida and I can help out.

@Pedro Small

Post: newbie from colombia

Jose GoncalvezPosted
  • Realtor
  • Miami, FL
  • Posts 15
  • Votes 10

@Juan Pablo jaramillo ormaza

Grande Juan Pablo! Cualquier ayuda que necesites aqui estamos 👍🏼 Yo vivo y trabajo en Miami! Saludos