Quote from @Jose Alejandro Hernandez:
Quote from @Randall Alan:
@Jose Alejandro Hernandez
One sort of hidden feature of Zillow I do like is that you can go to the map within a listing, click on the "Lot Lines" tab, and see all the houses around your target house you are looking at that have sold recently, or are for sale. You have to greatly temper all that by date sold... but it is a convenient feature to start evaluating pricing on a broad scale for the area.
As for the 50% rule... You can pretty much throw out all the percent rules since about mid 2022... at least until interest rates drop back down to the 4-5% range. Pretty much none of them are going to work. Mostly because the Fed wants investors on the sidelines so they aren't eating up housing supply. The goal is to drive housing prices down. But most sellers are handcuffed by the low rate they currently have on their property and don't want to buy back into a high rate environment, so are staying put. So the Fed's attempt to increase supply is somewhat hamstrung because the regular flow of new inventory from sellers isn't hitting the market like it did when rates were lower. This leaves only new home listings to try and help drive up supply beyond the reduced rate of people listing their owned properties... which is a slow process. All of this translates to: Now is a tough time to try to buy into the real estate market. But real estate is cyclic. The deals will eventually return.
All the best!
Randy
Thank you for affirming the state of the market! It’s beginning to become more clear to me that this is not how it was back when many of these investing books were written. I’m wondering if putting a higher amount down payment might help. I’m talking 50-75% down. I have a good amount of capital saved up between 100-200k.
@Jose Alejandro Hernandez
You are essentially describing buying in cash. Keep in mind you pretty much won't find a lender that will loan just $50-75,000 usually. Maybe some will, but they will throw on fees to make it worth their time. Point being... if you buy with cash, obviously you bypass the downfalls associated with high interest rates. But the downside to that is that you have WAY more invested in the property.
From a return on investment perspective, you lose that way. Case in point: $200,000 to spend. You can perhaps by one - $200,000 house, or if you use financing, buy four $200,000 houses (with 25% down).
Let's just take the example of one house for ROI purposes.
Let's say at the end of the day you net $300 in clear profit per month after principle, interest, property taxes, property insurance, and a maintenance reserve. On a yearly basis that is $3,600 profit (albeit before any income taxes, capital repairs, etc)... but we'll keep it simple for the moment.
So if you financed and put $50,000 down on your property, your ROI is $3600 /$50,000 or 7.2%. But the same scenario where you paid cash for the house would be $3,600 / $200,000 or 1.8% ROI. See why financing is the better way? (at least until the rate is 7-8%... then you do the smart thing and say, "I'm going to wait a while for these rates to settle".) At least that is my perspective. Real estate is a long game. Realize you are at a high point in the market. It's not the best time to be buying.
All the best!
Randy