Scott,
My answers are in bold. I still have the "meat and potatoes" questions #5 to answer. I will be calling GC's and insurance agents tonight.
1. Purchase price is 1.3MM for the land plus the condo approvals? Reason for asking, if luxury condos sell for 120k, then the 1.3M purchase price is 54k per door just for land, which is nearly 50% of your cost basis. This sounds very high. We like to underwrite land on for-sale homes and condos somewhere between 20% and 25% of revenue. So if you sold units at 120k, 20% would be 24k. Remember, you have to pay for land, const. costs, soft costs, interest carry on your loan, permit and development impact fees, your profit, and fit that all into 120k per door on the unit sale (BTW, 120k per unit walking distance from Chesapeake Bay sounds cheap, but I'm not familiar with the market). Purchase price is for the land and condo approvals. I would still have to get a GC into to demo the 7 units on the property. You were right, luxury condos go for a median price of 220k and higher depending on amenities. I am not a condo person, but I am a commercial buyer.
2. Has the developer done any construction drawings beyond the condo approval? Yes, proof of concept (POC), and architectural drawings were done due to the airport close by, and flight/height restrictions all approved in 2008.
3. Has the developer completed all the legal and technical parts of the subdivision for city of Norfolk or state of Virginia subdivision requirements? Subdivision is approved in 2008 by the City of Norfolk development board.
4. Will the architect who did the design for the project approvals stay on board to do the CD's, and what is their charge for that design? The architect will stay onboard, but did not give his fee for the design.
5. Have you run any numbers on the deal? I always run numbers very first thing, to see if the deal even works at all in the beginning. You'll have to ask around for hard costs and fees, but most land brokers in your area should have some guidance on this for sites that they've sold recently. You can also call local small and midsize GC's for their budget guidance on hard costs.
Still working on this answer. I do have a local broker that is running the numbers.
You can do a very simple proforma as follows:
Revenue from sales
Less
Broker fees for condo sales, closing costs for unit sales, warranty costs for units sales
Land, closing costs for land, broker fees for land
Soft costs, architecture, civil eng, MEP/S engineering, soils report, Phase 1 if needed, developer insurance, prop. taxes during const., marketing, subdivision costs, HOA formation and reserves
Hard costs - GC contract costs, overhead, profit, insurance
Development impact fees, permit fees, school fees, park fees, etc.
Loan costs for const. loan, interest carry, loan fees, appraisal costs, lender legal, funds control
Developer fee
Equals (what's left) - developer profit, normally shared between equity investor and developer.
6. Why is the developer selling? What's wrong with the project that they want to sell? Maybe nothing is wrong, but you ALWAYS want to ask yourself this question. What issues does the developer avoid if he sells to you? Permit issuance constraints/lottery, soft market, lack of const. loans or equity, condo defect liability (maybe more of a CA thing), or whatever else. You don't want to be the greater fool.
The developer had it rezoned in 2008 (then the crash hit), he did not pursue the land conversion, and just built two duplexes and a triplex within walking distance of the beach. He knows it is a good sell, but does not have the equity for a year long project. Once I figure out most of question 5, I will know if I am able to possibly execute the buy and hold until the units come online.