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All Forum Posts by: John Martinez

John Martinez has started 6 posts and replied 41 times.

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20

I truly appreciate everyone that has responded and provided guidance on this post! So to not hold anything back I will put the numbers to gauge what you think, I would like to get your feedback on the numbers. 

P.P.: $150,436

Remaining Balance: $142,905

Area Stats: 

27% Median Sale Price Growth Since Purchased

Typical Homes Sold within 30-45 days and HOT homes sold within 18 days. 

5% YoY Growth in the city

Estimated Home Value = $196K

Here are the numbers I have calculated so far: 

Potential Rent: $1,500

PMI: $1,056

Vacancy Rate used: 5% = $75

Repairs: 5% = $75

CapEx: 10% = $150

Net Income: $144

Is there anything I may be missing in terms of calculations? Overall - I have made equity in the property and another options would be to sell the property and 1031 into an investment property utilizing the entire profits, essentially providing me a higher cashflow but at a higher interest rate as well and paying a higher price for another investment property. 

Please keep in mind, I bought this house with a no money down VA loan. So far I don't have any money into the property but to get the property rental ready I would estimate to spend approximately $6,000 - $7,000. Therefore, in 1 year I would receive potentially a 25% CoC return, 3 year - 74%, 5 year - 123% and 7 year hold will provide a 172% CoC return.

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Bob Stevens:
Quote from @John Martinez:

Hello everyone - I just had a general question. As the market is changing and I am seeing in my market more house producing lower cash flow - what would be your minimum cash flow you would like to see from your investment. I know there is a lot to consider but if Cash flow is King, would you be okay with $150 a month cash flow in a growing metropolitan area? 

 1k per SF,  ( typically not less the 20% net ) I never finance. Ex. All in PP 75k, rent 1400. All in 85k, rent 1800.  I would never do a deal where I take home $150 

 @Bob Stevens thank you for your insight. Question: In this current market, are you still finding deals like that? I know many have referenced the 1% rule but you are more leaning towards a 2% rule? By you never finance, meaning you buy cash at all times? How do you suggest someone who doesn't have the cash to buy a property outright structure a deal to best serve potentially the 2% rule? 

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Zane Cress:

The answer should be, whatever you are comfortable with. I think 5-10% cash on cash return is decent. But if you can cash flow anything in an appreciating market then you are doing it right. Only question is does that $150/month cover all the potential fixes you will have to do? Does it buffer for a month or two of no tenants? If you can appreciate 50k in a few years it's acceptable to break even on the monthly cash flow. Some people would even take a small loss if they knew the appreciation was going to be there.


 Zane, thank you for your perspective, the $150 calculation is net income. I calculated for 10% Cap Rate and 5% vacancy rate and 5% taxes, after which I have the $150 net profit. 

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Becca F.:

@John Martinez

I just put in an offer on a SFH In Indianapolis metro area and that will be my likely cash flow, $150 a month. It's in a growing area. I have another SFH rental that was cash flowing over $400 a month but I bought it 10 years ago. It's now cash flowing about $162 a month - my property taxes went way up since I lost the homeowner exemption when the county figured out I was renting the house (I used to live there). I chose not to sell because it's in a Class A suburban neighborhood with a great school district and is appreciating in value. I have a low interest rate 3.875% and the tenants are paying down my mortgage.

I look at the economic growth in the area and appreciation. If I was strictly looking at cash flow, I would have sold that suburban house but then I'm looking more expensive homes with a much higher interest rate. In California it's negative cash flow at these high prices, so I'm buying in the Midwest. I'm not sure where people are finding properties, SFHs specifically, that are cash flowing $300 to $500 a month right now...send me those listings :) 


 Becca - thank you for sharing your experience and perspective. I am also looking into another area, I am looking into 3 primary market areas that I am familiar with and that are in growing areas. If your open to a phone call to talk more please let me know. Would love to hear about how your RE investment experience has been going and what the future looks like for your investment strategy. 

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Bill B.:

I agree with @Dan H. about cashflow not being guaranteed. Although rents skyrocketed in vegas during the Great Recession which helped me expand. I could have been wiped out during the pandemic if I had the wrong mix of tenants. The only tenants I lost had been with me for 7 years. But they owned a trucking company serving the casinos. They went from making a couple hundred thousand per year to unemployment with no signs of when their income would return. 

Appreciation of rents will solve cashflow problems but the returns from property appreciation is where all the wealth is made. Especially as a return on cash. If you need the $100/$200/mo cashflow to survive I don’t think real estate is for you. It can go away with one ac unit or new roof. But it is the key building block to getting wealthy. 


 Bill, thank you for sharing your insights, I wouldn't need the cashflow to survive so it is really not a determining factor. I suppose potentially selling the property and flipping the proceeds into a 1031 investment. 

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Henry Lazerow:

I would want atleast $400 for a multinunit. For a condo maybe $200. For a house $300 these are after assuming vacancy etc

That would be great cashflow - thanks for sharing. I'm looking but haven't found to many potential deals that would meet that criteria in the market I am looking into right now. Maybe I will have to spread out from my market area to see numbers like that in the near future. 

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Nicholas L.:

@John Martinez

correct, you force equity in the form of renovations. and yes, there is risk involved, as you're taking an educated guess at what it will appraise for. i am working on a BRRRR now that i think is going to work out pretty well.

the point i was making was not that this is better or guaranteed - just that it's an option.

It makes sense - that sounds interesting. Would you be open to talk, I would love to hear what it is your doing to force the appreciation and what made you go that route. 

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Henry Lazerow:

Interesting how responses on here have changed from 3 years ago when real estate was supposed to cashflow. I would never recommend a deal with $150 a month net that can easily be wiped out if taxes go up, bigger repairs, etc. 

Exactly why i wanted to ask people's opinions. What would be your magic number that you would want to see in cash flow? I understand the flexibility in today's market but I also feel that if the property is not cash flowing then you are taking a risk, as you mentioned - taxes go up and you were cash flowing $0, now your paying out of pocket and hoping for appreciation. 

From my understanding, Cash flow is King and appreciation if it happens is just a perk of it. 

Prime example is 2008 housing crisis, home values dropped. So appreciation is not a guarantee. 

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Dan H.:

For me cash flow is not king.  I am about total return.  If I am not producing $1/month per unit of total return, then I would be disappointed in my RE investment.

Cash flow is taxed in the year earned (at least cash flow beyond depreciation).  Value adds and appreciation are taxed at sale if not 1031 to another investment.  If you die, the RE gets a new baseline and the taxes from appreciation are never paid.  Equity paydown is similarly never taxed.

If you need the cash flow to pay the bills, you have less options to returns other than cash flow.  If you have the assets that cash flow is unnecessary, you can concentrate on total return without needing to focus on the cash flow.

Good luck

I'm curious, so if you are looking at total return. I am assuming appreciation, tax benefits, once you 1031 to a bigger property, with that do you base your RE investments on total return and not necessarily the immediate numbers? 

Quick example, buying a property with $0 or negative cash flow but in a an area that is primed to appreciate over 2-3 years? How do you justify the deal, because if something may happen, big expense or Fed raises rates higher for example, now you are loosing money right? 

Just curious on learning more of RE investors thought process when looking at deals. 

Post: Minimum Cash Flow???

John MartinezPosted
  • Homeowner
  • Texas
  • Posts 48
  • Votes 20
Quote from @Nicholas L.:

@John Martinez

I'll do $0 in cashflow if I can force a big amount of equity.  But I wouldn't recommend this to someone buying their first property.


 Interesting, I am assuming forced equity in the form of renovations? How would you I guess guarantee it will appreciate, this is risky isn't it?