Originally posted by @Bryan Hancock:
Yes, there are over 200 platforms and I stand by my statement that almost ALL of them are run by people with very little experience in the industry. These platforms wouldn't know what good underwriting is because they've never done real estate deals before and don't know what to look for.
I was sent an apartment portfolio package from one last week that was littered with poor underwriting. When we pressed them for more information they had to go back to the sponsors to get it. Any platform with decent underwriters would have had this information readily available. Unfortunately this is very common in the industry.
Venture funding is also a large part of the problem. The platforms are built to sell instead of built to hold. This didn't work out so well during the mortgage crisis and I don't expect it to work out well in this industry either. Venture funding masks fundamentally poor business models in the industry. In fact, one of the industry leaders has exited the typical industry model entirely. This is after a crusade about wishing to have people invest in their communities. Broker-dealers have historically avoided the part of the industry currently being served by the platforms as well because it is extremely hard to make any money there with all of the regulatory burdens absent some sort of RIA co-investment type model that is supplemented by other sources of revenue. A strictly brokered model doesn't work well.
I might have a little more respect for the experience than Bryan but it is clear that the great shakeout that many of us anticipated has already begun. The news yesterday regarding Lending Club will only accelerate the flight of capital away from the marketplace sector. Investors are starting to rightly question the underwriting standards of this emerging business, and we're determining that the algorithms aren't working the way we thought. Imagine how bad this would be if we actually were in a recession!
Until this shakeout is complete, I think we're going to see the traditional players utilizing crowdfunding as a side business to complement their traditional capital raise.