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All Forum Posts by: Jason Kudo

Jason Kudo has started 1 posts and replied 270 times.

Quote from @Thu Pham:

Hi community, I'm in the process of acquiring my first STR property in Joshua Tree and have met with a co-host that I really liked. I'd love to utilize their expertise when assessing a property since they are local but I'm not sure what the general expectation is when I don't have a tangible property and I have not entered into contract to work with them yet.

Some questions I have are: local regulations/permitting timeline, property's potential from their perspective, landscaping/amenities cost estimate (they also help facilitate this). Should I offer to pay them for their consultation, or are these types of questions common as part of the PM vetting process and is a "courtesy service"?

Any and all advice are welcome as this is my first time working with a PM/co-host. Thank you in advance!


Hi Thu, self-managed STR owner in the California High Desert and realtor who has helped several clients purchase properties for the purpose of renting on a short-term basis.

General questions pertaining to the overall STR landscape should not incur a cost when directed at a PM/co-host. If a co-host/PM is trying to charge you for questions that you definitely need to ask each potential candidate just to make sure they know what they are doing, RUN. Examples of general questions are local STR regulations, general expense expectations to run an STR, etc., expectations for the owner, etc. Basically questions that the PM/co-host need to be able to answer without having to do any deep-dive analysis.

Property-specific questions such as property improvement advice, revenue potential, etc. that involve deep-dive analysis might justifiably incur an up-front cost depending on the PM/co-hosts business model.

Post: STR Market Joshua Tree

Jason KudoPosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Pasadena, CA
  • Posts 274
  • Votes 255

I have a property in the Joshua Tree market and it's doing fantastic.

Quote from @Maddison Martin:

Hello!

A lot of these blogs I am reading are from out of state with very low cost of living so I think If someone from this area could answer this, it would be very helpful for me.

So my husband and I are currently living in one unit for the past 4 years that is part of a triplex/multifamily property in Belmont Heights in Long Beach, Ca. It is a very high cost of living and my landlord has been renting out the triplex for a little below market value for the past few years, however he is going to be selling the property ( all three units)

  (This area is considered very nice and "shouldn't" depreciate in value. )

I have been trying to deep dive into bigger pockets, reading bigger pocket books, watching videos but  a lot of the resources talk about multi-family properties as purely renting out all units and not actually living in one of the units.  I feel like all the calculations ( ex 4 square method analysis) and cash flow are going to be not reflective of out current situation since we will be living in one unit and renting the other two units. This is causing difficulty for me to understand if this is a good investment property or not when I do an analysis on this property.

We are getting a huge downpayment from our parents for a house. 

When I do the 4 square method just basing it on the other 2 rental incomes we have negative cash on cash return and negative Cash on cash ROI. We would be paying more monthly i we bought the place than we would be if we were just purely renting. However we would be "getting more house" ( access to a second back yard, tool shed, driveway, second storage unit, etc)

When I look at other houses in the area, with the intrest rates as they are, I don't understand why anyone would buy multifamily and rent it out when all of these calculations would be negative cash flow.

Is it just based on property appreciation alone and the hopes of mortgage percentages eventually lowering and slowly increasing rents?

If someone could help me understand or your thoughts would be great.


 Whether buying this subject triplex is a good investment will depend on what your goal is with buying real estate and what your definition of a good investment is. Not all investors share the same goal.

If it's strictly positive cash flow, you're going to have a tough time meeting that goal while living in one of the units these days in Belmont Shore.

Under the current economic decisions, if you're going to live in one of the units, a more realistic goal might be to subsidize your mortgage with the other two incomes to bring your mortgage payment down, build equity, ride the market appreciation, force some appreciation of your own, refinance when rates are in your favor to crush the mortgage payment down, and keep positive cash flow for a long-term goal.

Belmont Shore is a nice area where homes hold their value well and enjoy good appreciation as well as strong rents and in general, the type of renters landlords are looking for.

Belmont Shore is also a good area for short-term rentals and you may want to consider renting one unit as an LTR and the other as an STR.

Ultimately, your situation is going to dictate whether this triplex is a good investment for you and your husband but as a Long Beach resident, I know that Belmont Shore is an area that people aspire to buy a home in.

Post: Seeking Market Forecast for Buying in Joshua Tree, CA area

Jason KudoPosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Pasadena, CA
  • Posts 274
  • Votes 255
Quote from @Joanna Joy Seetoo:
Quote from Melanie P.

Real estate prices fluctuate, up and down. We are currently in a down trend that I expect to last three or more years. If you're building a commune complete with art installations, cabins, etc. whatever you're seeing in the market is totally irrelevant to where your project will be 10 years in the future, completed. 


 Thank you Melanie! I appreciate your reply. Yes I think the project I want to create is definitely a longer term project. I guess my question would relate to the wisdom of pulling the trigger now and paying more for a property that could well be purchased for significantly less in another 3-6 months or maybe even longer if the down trend is expected to last a few years. I can still build equity in my primary home in the meantime. 


 Hi Joanna, realtor here that does a lot of business in the Southern California High Desert. 

The reality is that homes appreciated very quickly in the High Desert and we are still, for the most part, in a correction. A lot of buyers in the past couple years purchased with the intent to rent their homes on a short-term basis (Airbnb) which caused prices to shoot up and for one reason or another, a lot of these buyers are deciding to cash out which is creating a large inventory of homes in residential neighborhoods and putting downside pressure on home prices.

We are definitely seeing home prices in residential neighborhoods coming down a lot and with the high level of inventory, there seems to be more room to come down.

Home prices on acreage in the more affluent parts of Joshua Tree and Yucca Valley (south of the 62 Highway) are slower to come down. I think mostly due to unrealistic sellers holding onto the home values of a couple years ago. We are still seeing many of these homes being listed for 100%+ over what they purchased a couple years ago.

As a buyer, the positive is that the good majority of leveraged Airbnb investors have moved on from Joshua Tree leaving mostly cash buyers and if buying now, you should have a lot of leverage to negotiate with since the competition has thinned out.

Mortgage interest rates move with the Fed and the general consensus is that there will be possibly only one rate cut this year in Q3 or Q4 with no more cuts until next year. With lower mortgage interest rates comes increased competition so the sweet spot may be sometime towards the end of this year.

That said, if you see a property you like, the best advise is to shoot your shot and submit an offer that makes sense to you and if they bite, you win and if they don't, you didn't lose.

Post: Best cities for year round ski/lake demand?

Jason KudoPosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Pasadena, CA
  • Posts 274
  • Votes 255
Quote from @Dan H.:
Quote from @Laura Yelin:
Quote from @Dan H.:
Quote from @Laura Yelin:

Hello everyone, 

I'm interested in starting my STR business. As I live in San Diego I'd to start in Southern Cali, at least until I learn the business.

I've looked into several markets and the dessert seems the more profitable. Specifically, I'm looking at Joshua Tree and Borrego Springs.

Does someone here have experience in these two markets? 

I'm curios to learn what's the occupancy during the summer. 

Would highly appreciate any help/tips!!!

Thanks!

Laura


 Have you been to ABSP (Borrego Springs) in the summer?   It is empty.  

I have not looked into it, but have you looked into furnished rental near Salton sea?  The reason I ask is that the mining of battery minerals is big there.    The workers need lodging.  Question is for how long?

Joshua tree, due to significantly higher elevation, does a little better in summer (but I have not been there in summer in my last 20 trips). However, Joshua tree area has lots of STRs and has become anti-STR. I was last out there just over a year ago (I usually go every February but missed this year). Near the visitor center was anti STR signage. I would avoid areas that are becoming anti STR even if it did not have a lot of STRs already. Once an area becomes anti STR, it is usually followed by anti STR regulations. I see this as highly likely in the Joshua tree area. The LTR rents are pathetic compared to current values, but maybe if STRs get banned the prices would fall. This could be a double whammy if you purchased to have an STR. I seldom sell, but if I had a Joshua tree property, I would consider selling it.

Good luck

Hi Dan,
Thank so much for your insights! You're right, Joshua Tree it's pretty saturated and Borrego it's just too hot during the summer. The upside that I see in  Borrego though,  is that the market is smaller and so it's easier to stand out. 
All the other markets in SD proximity are saturated or very expensive! Do you have any recommendations for a place around 1-3 hours from SD that can be interesting to look into? I've looked at Palm Spring, Lake Arrowhead,  Big Bear and Temecula. 
I also did look into Salton Sea for STR, it didn't look very attractive for STR. Maybe for mid term.
Thanks so much!
Laura 

Last I heard, which was ~6 months ago, Idyllwild had ~25 STR permits remaining. They have other rules including separation rule. If you enter that market, team with a RE agent that is intimate with the STR regulations.

IB has the water/sewer issue but it keeps getting more press/exposure.  This may lead to funding that can fix the problem.  It is also the cheapest beach property in the US for hundreds of miles.  

There are no perfect options.   I have 2 STRs in mission beach and 2 in pt loma.   There occupancy this off season was the lowest since the Great Recession   They are struggling compared to past years.

Good luck


Idyllwild currently has a pause on issuing STR permits. I would hold off on Idyllwild for now.

Post: Best cities for year round ski/lake demand?

Jason KudoPosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Pasadena, CA
  • Posts 274
  • Votes 255

Hi Laura, STR owner in the Joshua Tree area and realtor that does a lot of business in the area too. Regarding anti-STR sentiment leading to anti-STR regulation, this is untrue. San Bernardino county has some of friendliest STR regulations in Southern California. There is a small group of locals who are anti-STR but the good majority are pro-STR due the the fact that STRs bring a ton of revenue for local businesses and jobs for locals.

Regarding summers, the temperature is the hottest in August and can get up to 100 degrees so STRs with pools do better in the summer. Palm Springs can get up to 120 degrees so it is cooler than the low desert. However, the Perseid meteor shower hits the Joshua Tree area in August and this brings a lot of stargazers to the area in August because you can see TONS of shooting stars in August.

Regarding saturation, you want to avoid buying a property in a residential neighborhood and opt for something on acreage with good separation from neighbors and ideally south of Highway 62. The greatest saturation is found with STR in residential neighborhoods.

Summertime in Borrego Springs is similar to Joshua Tree in terms of temperatures and you need to be careful about floods in Borrengo Springs as the majority of the town is in a flood zone.  This is why you see most homes in the area surrounded by high walls to protect against flooding. The adobe-style homes with pools in Borrego Springs in acreage do well. Borrego Springs had an incredible super bloom this spring.

The Salton Sea area has an air pollution problem from chemical spraying from nearby farms and the town surrounding the sea is very run down. There is an effort to desalinate the sea but that won’t happen anytime soon. The area is popular for off-roading but these people bring their own RVs. I would avoid for STRs and even mid-term.

Let me know what other questions you have that I can help answer for you in terms of STRs in Southern California!


Post: Thoughts on Rent Controlled Areas in Los Angeles (Los Feliz)

Jason KudoPosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Pasadena, CA
  • Posts 274
  • Votes 255
Quote from @Franklin Marquette:

Hey all,

I am new to the forum and new to real estate. Currently looking at a ~$1.35MM duplex in the Los Feliz / Silverlake area. This area is pretty hot right now in my opinion given it is transitioning, but all of it is rent-controlled for older buildings. The duplex was built in 1936 so does fall under the rent control provisions. However, I will be moving into the property and doing a substantial renovation so can evict and reset rents to market.

My concern is not the short term risk of rent control as I have ways around that (mentioned above). It is more about whether I should be concerned about the long term. I am not that concerned right now given I think there will always be mechanisms in place to avoid it (move into one of the units as an owner, move a family member in, do another renovation, etc) but want to make sure I am not making a big mistake here.

Thanks all!

Franklin


 As long as you're looking at things in the long-term, screening your tenants thoroughly, staying engaged as the property management, and are diligent about increasing rents the maximum every year, you should be fine. The area between Los Feliz and Silverlake is very trendy and should only become more expensive over time.

Post: AirBNB/STR in Los Angeles/Playa Del Rey Possible?

Jason KudoPosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Pasadena, CA
  • Posts 274
  • Votes 255
Quote from @Adrian Jenkins:
Quote from @Jason Kudo:
Quote from @Chris Strandburg:

Hey everyone. I've followed BP for years but have become serious more recently. I've read multiple books and through some of the forums and blogs. I'm considering doing a short term rental (duplex) in the Playa Del Rey area. From what I've read in the forums, the consensus for STRs in LA seems to be "Don't do it!" 

I think I understand a few of the reasons why (and I'm sure there are many others), but I was curious if anyone is actually making it work. If so, is it sustainable for you? Are you hating your life? Since I've seen some STR listings in the LA beach areas, part of me thinks it might be possible. But I don't know how much pain those hosts are going through. I'd appreciate any tips or insights from anyone--thank you!

 @Chris Strandburg I have a contrarian take on this with a caveat. First thing to know about LA County, except for a few cities (Malibu, Topanga, Long Beach for example), only a primary residence can be utilized as a short-term rental. So, a duplex is not eligible unless you're living in it. If you live in one side and want to STR the other, that won't work because each unit is its own primary residence.

That said, I have clients who have successfully rented out a guest house/ADU in LA on a short-term basis and since they occupy the main residence, they are not bound by the 120 day limit to fulfill the primary residence occupancy requirements.


I thought LA banned ADU's as STR.


It depends. If the STR applicant can demonstrate primary occupancy of the ADU or if the ADU was completed prior to 2017 then the ADU can be used as an STR for 120 days and possibly longer with extended home-sharing approval.

Post: Is it all about the money?

Jason KudoPosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Pasadena, CA
  • Posts 274
  • Votes 255
Quote from @Lucas Moncada:

I have been searching for my first investment property and am now considering buying/holding and renting out. I live in Southern CA where cost of living is high as is real estate. So, I am considering buying out of state. 

Given that I have cash for a down payment and could get a loan for a "cheaper" house is it really the ability to come up with the money that holds people back?

For example, and this is picked at random, this house is $130,000 Kansas City.

- I could easily put down a cash down payment and given my wages in Los Angeles, if need be, pay the mortgage when it is not being rented.

- What are the potential problems other than not being there in person 24/7?

- Am I oversimplifying it? 

Thank you.


Before jumping into any given business, you need to figure out who your target customer is first. In real estate, the question is: What kind of tenant do you want to attract? This will inform your buying (and rehabbing) decisions. For example, if you want to attract a high-income earner, you can't, in general, buy in a low-income neighborhoods or rehab using low quality materials and finishes. If you want to attract high-income earners who are used to a certain quality of life and can't afford to buy in those areas, then look at your available options; house-hack, partner, buy a condo/townhouse as opposed to a single-family home, start with medium-income earners, etc.

Post: I Added 2 Bedrooms How can I reflect this in a sale or STR listing?

Jason KudoPosted
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Pasadena, CA
  • Posts 274
  • Votes 255

@Brook Bolger, to add to what Peter said, if/when your property is listed for sale, agents inevitably will ask why there is a discrepancy between public records stating your house has 3 bedrooms and also the square footage so you'll need to tell them that it takes some time for public records to be updated.

For the STR portion, when you apply for your permit and state that it's a 4 bedroom (or 5 or whatever including the ADU's bedroom count if including the ADU for guest use), the county may ask you the same question and you'll need to supply the permits and certificate of occupancy.