Originally posted by
@Ray R.:
Lots of comments on this thread on the death rate.
If you have damaged lungs, such as due to pollution (Wuhan) and smoking (60% of Chinese Males smoke), CoronaVirus is much more deadly. Plus the Chinese hospital system is under developed, compared to other countries. I have a feeling that Italy also has issues with their hospital system.
South Korea has a very low death rate. Their smoking rate is around 23%.
My guess is the US death rate will be closer to South Korea, or even lower due to treatments that were discovered to be effective.
Two treatments seem to be effective on dealing are Remdesivir and
Chloroquine:
http://abriefhistory.org/?p=71...
A big difference between Italy and South Korea has been their approach. Basically South Korea tested everyone, and Italy only did selective testing.
Italy seems to have large Chinese population, 500,000, that works in the Luxury products industry in Northern Italy. And they had direct flights to China that were not stopped, until it was too late.
There also seems to be a huge correlation between temperature and CoronaVirus, this makes me very hopeful.
https://www.calculatedriskblog...And as the temperature increases in Wuhan, the number of cases is going down. Or, the Chinese Government has done an amazing job of stopping the spread of the virus. Or both.
https://www.travelchinaguide.c...I am surprised at the speed of a CoronaVirus Vaccine being produced. One in Israeli may finish clinical trials in 3 months. Another one in the US is starting clinical trials next month.
https://www.americanthinker.co...The Roche Testing mentioned in another blog comment is very exciting.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news...My biggest frustration was the SNAFU in Testing, where the US was far behind other countries, due to NIH (Not invented here) Syndrome and Empire Building by the CDC and FDA. NY Times has good coverage explaining what happened.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/0...Darpa (US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency) is working on a short term therapy that would give time for a vaccine to be produced:
https://www.wired.com/story/da...