Skip to content
×
PRO
Pro Members Get Full Access!
Get off the sidelines and take action in real estate investing with BiggerPockets Pro. Our comprehensive suite of tools and resources minimize mistakes, support informed decisions, and propel you to success.
Advanced networking features
Market and Deal Finder tools
Property analysis calculators
Landlord Command Center
$0
TODAY
$69.00/month when billed monthly.
$32.50/month when billed annually.
7 day free trial. Cancel anytime
Already a Pro Member? Sign in here
Pick markets, find deals, analyze and manage properties. Try BiggerPockets PRO.
x
All Forum Categories
All Forum Categories
Followed Discussions
Followed Categories
Followed People
Followed Locations
Market News & Data
General Info
Real Estate Strategies
Landlording & Rental Properties
Real Estate Professionals
Financial, Tax, & Legal
Real Estate Classifieds
Reviews & Feedback

All Forum Posts by: Herm M.

Herm M. has started 42 posts and replied 231 times.

Post: Mortgage Rates Historic Jump to the Moon

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43

I agree with you about 6% mortgage rates, I would say by the end of this year.

I think it is hilarious to hear people talk about whether or not appreciation is sustainable. Why would houses appreciate? Maybe people can't wrap their head around what 6% mortgage rates actually mean. The conversation should be about how much real estate values will drop.

Post: Where’s the Bubble?

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43
Originally posted by @Aaron Mazzrillo:

Pretender economists have been predicting the real estate market crash on here for YEARS. Always wrong. Always based on zero data. Always because they missed out on the unbelievable buying opportunity of 2008-2010 and they wish they could get those prices again. NOT GOING TO HAPPEN... 

 Pretender economists? Based on zero data? Go look at a graph of interest rates for the past 40 years and ask yourself why real estate appreciated the way it did for the past 40 years. The Fed has manipulated and leveraged interest rates for a long time in order to create wealth/equity so encourage people to spend money. You can't do that forever. Just because they've been doing it for 40 years, it doesn't mean that they can do it forever. When you can no longer lower rates, the only option left is to print ridiculous amounts of money to stimulate the economy. They've used up that weapon for the time-being. Not only have they used that weapon, they overused it and abused it, resulting in the highest inflation in 40 years. If we are pretend economists, why don't you tell us how they're going to pull a rabbit out of their hat? They're not. They've used up all their joker cards and now they have to reset the deck.

Someone in here said that it's not real estate that's in a bubble, it's the U.S. dollar that's in a bubble. I would say that interest rates are in a bubble, they've been manipulated for the past 40 years.

Post: Will COVID-19 Cause a Recession?

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43

let's revisit this thread, five months later.

Post: BRRRR Investing During the Pandemic

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43
Originally posted by @Jennifer Maldonado:

@Herm M. - For Cashflow properties or rehab, no way. If anyone finds those in here, please let me know.

However, I do develop 3-4 units in Koreatown specifically. I do buy single-family homes where I can knock them down and build 3 and 4 units. I'm using ARVs of those 3-4 units and then making my numbers from there. If it doesn't pencil out, I won't go for it.

If you are in the area, let me know and I will be happy to share some of those projects.

 I'm in northern California. Thanks for sharing the info. How much do you end up paying in construction costs per SF when you build 3-4 units?

Post: BRRRR Investing During the Pandemic

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43
Originally posted by @Jennifer Maldonado:

Hi Quinton,

- It is part of the journey to keep building relationships in real estate no matter what - before, during, and after all of this craziness. Just don't stop building relationships in any area.

- You can always get refinancing done. You might want to check the property value and speak with lenders to understand their underwriting criteria during these times. Of course, you always want to check if your strategy will support your refinance position. Numbers will tell you what's doable or not. Remember that there are multiple strategies and it is a matter  of what works for you and your lifestyle.I did a 2 video series with an amazing market and investor that might be helpful in evaluating your portfolio and what to look for. You can go to my YouTube Channel and look for Residential Real Estate Investing Strategies & Advice that works during the pandemic video.

- When they are talking about the seasoning when the property performs.  p

- Should you wait? This is a complicated question and it is a very personal answer. Some people decided to stand still and others to move forward and keep investing. Now if you keep investing, remember the principle of buying right. Personally, I'm discounting the actual ARV (after repair value) by 30% and I'm making my real numbers from there. Yes - I'm been super conservative. Of course, don't buy only one exit strategy - plan for the worst, expect the best.

I know some portfolio lenders but it depends where? and type of asset. Send me a private message and I can just connect you with them.

Hi Jennifer, you 're able to find deals in California even after knocking 30% off the resale value? How is that even possible?

Post: Is Rental Market in Oakland (Bay Area) Saturated?

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43
Originally posted by @Brian Garlington:

For years, the only tenants I will accept here in the Bay Area are tenants with a Section 8 Voucher. Guaranteed Money.......

 How's that working out for you?

If you closed escrow today on a property in Oakland, how long would it take you to get a section 8 tenant in there?

Post: Question about qualifying for an investment property.

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43
Originally posted by @Timothy Hero:
You might be better off going with a PML company, where they don't care about your DTI or income, but instead the focus is your credit and the cash flow of the property.

Where is the property located?

Located in Oakland, CA. I need a rate of about 3.5% and so PML won't work.

Post: Question about qualifying for an investment property.

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43
Originally posted by @Chris Mason:
Originally posted by @Herm M.:

Let's say a person makes 11k a month and his/her monthly credit obligations add up to 5k monthly (this includes three mortgages). This person is essentially tapped out as far as debit:income goes.

This person wants to buy a duplex rental for $550,000. With 25% down , the loan amount is $412,500. The PITI comes out to $2800. The monthly rental income is $5300. The lender will give credit for 75% of that, let's say $4000/month.

As far as qualifying for a conventional loan at 3.5% goes, which of the following is true?

a) The lender will say that the building is self-sustainable because the $4000 rent covers the $2800 payment. The lender will give you the loan.

b) The lender will say that you are signing up for a new monthly obligation at $2800 and so you need to meet 45% debt:income and so you need $5800/month in additional income in order to get this loan. They'll give you $4000 rental credit and require an additional $1800 of monthly income.

I have heard mixed things on this. If b is the case above, then that disqualifies this buyer.

 $5300 * 75% - $2800 = $1175.

No debt will be added to DTI.

$1175 will be added to income.

That is the calculation specific to the exact scenario presented. People think there is "the" way it's done. There is no "the" way, there are like 5 ways, depending on the exact scenario. Most loan originators don't really work with a lot of investors.

 This property is in Oakland. Help me with this loan. I'll send you a message.

Post: Question about qualifying for an investment property.

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43
Originally posted by @Paul Defngin:

@Herm M. most lenders who follow conventional (GSE’s) guidelines will go with a)


Interesting. Since posting this, I've called around and heard several people say that it's B. Now I'm even more confused.

Post: Question about qualifying for an investment property.

Herm M.
Pro Member
Posted
  • Real Estate Investor
  • NorCal, CA
  • Posts 273
  • Votes 43

help.