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All Forum Posts by: Greg Weik

Greg Weik has started 9 posts and replied 241 times.

Post: The best investment property type (and why).

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320
Quote from @Leo Walter:

HI Greg,

I love this post you put together with sage wisdom! I'm an engineer, so I loved and followed the math. I literally joined Bigger Pockets today. To say I'm putting my toe in the water would be going too far. I am more like standing next to the swimming pool reading and listening to books. I live in Arvada, so followed all the specific locations you highlighted.

I am 66 years old and had somewhat of a "forced semi-retirement" in November of 2023. I was a high-tech strategist director, market and business analysist (ROI, etc.), project manger for the last ten to 20 years of my career. Frankly, I love market and data analysis, even built my own excel VBA (4000 lines) ROI mode that I started this week converting to a real estate investment model. So as to not re-invent the wheel, I have started to see what is already out there, thus I will check out the BP model on this site when I can.

Regardless of model, I am interested in SFR investing. My wife is from Michigan. We purchased a second home lake house in northern MI (outside of Charlevoix) in 2022. I have had fun and great success doing STR and mid-term rental with it. I say "success" as I am close to positive cash flow now in my third year, have had numerous shoulder season days there enjoying the property personally, and have seen it appreciate about 6% per year, which is respectable.

As far as my overall cash flow, I tried some tech business consulting with a seasoned consultant friend, but it didn't go anywhere through Jan of this year. So I have been applying for tech jobs with, getting interviews, but no luck. (Ageism?) 

I think with my drive to dive into numbers, perform deep dives into markets and business cases and love of talking with and helping people, I would do well in SFR investing. My problem is I do need to get a cash flow going to slow the drain on my retirement savings. (A large alimony payment for the next 3.5 years from my first marriage is the big boat anchor.)

So your comment about improving wealth but not cash made sense as I already was doing a lot of looking at the numbers even before reading your post. I certainly see the appreciation of both our homes improving our wealth position. Luckily, my wife works and she was able to eek out a new $120k HELOC, in which we transferred about $80k from one we closed on the same property in Arvada. I can't get to the lakehouse equity ($140k) because of our poor DTI with no income from me.

Even so, it would nice to (realistically slowly) build cash flow from SFR's...

So that's my story as of today, but I am determined to keep moving forward, wherever forward ends up being. I would love to talk with you sometime to get your thoughts on the above and how I might actually look at getting in the pool IF that's is even wise for me to do at this point in time.

Thanks,

Lee Walter

719-494-3974

Hi Lee, nice to meet you and I'm glad you found value in the post!

I'd be happy to be a resource for any questions you have about jumping into this market. If your next career chapter happens in the upcoming six months, and you find yourself in a position to acquire a local SFR, I suspect there will be some incredible deals to be had.

The sales market is in the tank, and sellers are having massive anxiety over their days on market (DOM) and either slashing prices drastically or turning to property management.  

We always joke around here that all roads lead to RES.  :)  

But for those sellers who can't/won't rent out their properties, there are going to be some fire sales in the next six months; at a time when rents are stable and up with most SFRs. 

The biggest challenge right now is actually legislative in nature.  New laws are being passed in rapid succession, all of which aim to put the thumb on the scale against the landlord.  We are constantly updating demand notices, lease terms, process, and procedure - probably at a 10x (or more) clip than I've ever experienced in almost 20 years in business.  

Anyway, best of luck!

Post: Activity in Denver Metro

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320

Hi @Kerri Shaffer, long-term rentals are doing well.  Prices are mostly stable, and in some areas slightly up year-over-year. 

We are experiencing high demand for our competitively priced units. Attractive units (SFRs in the suburbs) typically rent in 1-2 weeks. 

Also re: long-term rentals: many buyers are sitting out this year and renting, which means we have even more 800 credit score applicants to choose from.  

The sales market is at a standstill.  Many of our new clients this year have been frustrated sellers who have given up on endless (pointless) open houses and who know renting their property will at least bring in revenue. 

Over time, many of those reluctant landlords will become excited landlords and even buy additional rentals. 

Selling is cash today.  Renting is wealth for the future. 

Post: Looking for guidance

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320

@Robert Smith, is the inclination to purchase multi-family based on your available capital? 

I would discourage:

-Multi-family

-Out of state

I wrote a lengthy post recently on the various rental property types and why I try to steer my clients to SFR and away from MF/C/T.

https://www.biggerpockets.com/forums/517/topics/1243229-the-... 

Post: Would you do it

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320

Hi @James Holmes those rents for each side sound really low - do you mean $1400 for each side, $2800 total? 

I would want to know more:

-How long have the current tenants been in each unit?

-What is the credit score/qualifications/risk profile of each tenant? 

-Is either tenant behind on rent, chronically late with rent, etc. 

-Is either tenant on Section 8?

-Age of major systems: furnace, hot water heater, roof, etc.  

It sounds like it could be a good deal, but the details really matter on a deal like this. 

Post: Mid term, keep short term or long term

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320

Hi @Erika Martinez, we have some experience with furnished and MTR. 

We currently have a smaller home (2/1) listed in the Hale neighborhood nearby as furnished.

It's been sitting for awhile, mostly because the landlord had it booked on AirBnb up until just recently and we've been working around that.  We have two showings today, so it will probably be rented today.  651 Holly St. 

The MTR market is not a large one, and a lot of what I see on the market has been sitting for some time (45-60 days or more.) 

One of the keys to making MTR work is to ensure it's all-inclusive.  Utilities, lawn care, etc.  Many of the listings that I see sitting, fail to understand the mind of the MTR tenant - they don't want to deal with setting up utilities or handling any lawn care. 

That said, I think your best strategy overall, is to list it as "negotiable" with regards to furnishing. This is an option in the MLS and I believe you could offer different price points and lease lengths depending on the tenant.

IMO, long term, unfurnished is worth leaving money on the table because you avoid so much of the hassle of constant turnover.  

Best of luck! 

Post: PM letting owner pick the tenant?

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320
Quote from @Greg M.:
Quote from @David Walton:

This is something we have avoided as I have always been taught that we are the experts in the field and should be placing based on the rental criteria we have setup. Our criteria says we will screen up to 3 applicants at a time and the first applicant that is fully approved will have the option to move the process forward and put down a deposit. 


Experts? 🤣🤣🤣  Working in the industry does not equal being an expert. 

The rental criteria is a minimum list of requirements to be considered for the unit. It is not a pass this before another can and it's yours. By rushing to install a tenant that just made the cut, you're potentially passing up more qualified tenants and therefore harming the owner. 

The attitudes of PMs in this thread are exactly why I'd never want to use one. They put themselves above the OWNER of the property. They seem to forget who pays their salary.


 Working in the industry does not make someone an expert - I 100% agree with this. 

That said, I am an expert.  My clients hire me because I have knowledge, experience, and judgment that far surpasses theirs when it comes to the world of property management. 

Clients don't hire me so they can tell me what to do.  Clients hire me to do what's best for them, in my expert opinion.  

Even in your example, more context would be required to determine if "approving" or "waiting" is the better choice once a tenant has passed what you call the minimum requirements.  Questions need to be asked and answered: "What's the context of the listing," "How long has it been on the market,"  "Is there other interest,"  "Are there other showings," "What are the area tenant demographics likely to yield in terms of additional applications," etc. etc.  

You're doing your client no favors if you cost them an additional month of vacancy, and no one else comes along who is better.  

If you believe the application is marginal, and if you have written qualifications that are not fully met, sometimes the best course of action is a conditional approval with a larger deposit.  It all depends, and this is where expertise and experience come into play, and it's why individual landlords would be out of their depth trying to make a decision. 

Post: The best investment property type (and why).

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320

What I've learned since 2008 while managing properties: Those who can buy long-term SFRs (Single Family Residence) as an investment vehicle, buy them.  

SFRs are expensive. You need a lot of cash to make it happen. Underwriting guidelines require 6 months' reserves for all of your properties (yes, including your primary residence), plus at least 20% down on the rental, plus a favorable DTI. Banks don't make it easy to buy an SFR rental.

I see many BP posts dismissing SFR purchases as "not good enough" in terms of ROI, cash-on-cash return, and other excuses. This is all noise. If you can buy them, you buy them.

The surface-level challenges to successful SFR ownership are, however, true: SFRs in the broader Denver market "don't work" (in terms of positive cash flow) on paper in most cases with 20% down, especially if you are hiring a PM (which you need to do). 20% down and you'll still likely be in the red each month. In most cases, you need to put closer to 30% down on the property so as not to be in the red every month. More on this, with a real-world example below.

When you buy your next SFR rental, hire RES to manage it, and we will be even for all of this free information. :)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Why SFR is superior to other options:

1) Liquidity. Ultimately, you'll probably want an exit strategy. SFRs (particularly the right ones) are the most liquid type of real estate. Your market is the entire home-buying public. Instead of dealing with spreadsheet investor buyers, your SFR buyer is likely to "fall in love" with a home. It becomes an emotional purchase. A place they can picture raising their family. If you keep it in excellent shape, you will have no trouble achieving a top-of-market sales price (and in some cases a bidding war) when the time comes. HELOCs are easier to come by, freeing up some equity for the next investment. More details on why this is the case are below.

2) Stability. Often undervalued in the investment community, is not having turnover at all.  SFRs attract tenants with children, and those families value stability.  They want their kids to grow up in the same neighborhood, go to the same school, make solid friends, etc.  The tenants for SFRs often stay put for many years.  This means zero vacancy costs, year after year.  Vacancy is the #1 killer of a rental property. 

3. Amortization paydown = wealth accumulation. SFRs are more expensive than other types of rentals. In the Denver market, you'll likely be paying $700k to get a good SFR. That's a tough pill to swallow. The good news is that every month you collect rent, you are building equity quickly, relative to other investment types. If your tenants are paying $4k/month or $48k/year, your equity builds at a nice, steady clip. Taking down your mortgage balance by large chunks at a time makes securing a HELOC in a few years an easy proposition, should you choose to go that route.

4. Revenue to expense ratio. RER. I'm not sure if I've coined this, but I've never seen anyone else talk about it. If you have a high-end SFR renting for $4k/month, that SFR has 1 of the following (in most cases): -Refrigerator, -oven, -dishwasher, -microwave, -hot water heater, -disposal, -HVAC. So that's $4k/month relative to the KNOWN likely expenses down the road. Contrast this with multi-family. If you have a duplex with $2k/month per side, you now have TWICE the anticipated expenses for the same revenue. This is some of the math most investors don't understand or choose to ignore.

5. Appreciation. You never know what your appreciation will be, so this has to be considered a bonus. However, in most economic conditions, an SFR in the right place is going to appreciate steadily, relative to multi-family. This is part of why SFRs are so expensive to get your hands on in the first place. The hidden story here is that you have a larger tenant base as a result of the high cost of acquisition. Many qualified renters can't swing buying the house they want, where they want, but they can rent it. Which leads me to...

6. Tenant quality.  Another often overlooked part of owning rental properties is understanding who is likely to rent them.  If you come to me with a $5k/month rental in Downtown Denver, I can tell you with relative certainty that your tenant will most likely be A) Young professional roommates or B) An affluent family new to the area.  If you come to me with a four-bedroom house in Highlands Ranch, it will be a family with stable income and decent (or better) credit.  If you come to me with a 4-plex in Denver, I will say good luck. 

7. Mitigated impact of anti-landlord legislation.  The truth is that being a landlord in Colorado is getting riskier and more challenging.  Just cause eviction legislation, the prevalence of ESAs, eviction timelines, eviction hoops/paperwork/mediation and costs, inability to use credit scoring as a metric to evaluate a tenant's risk profile if they have subsidized housing, portable tenant screening reports (PTSRs) which make evaluating the authenticity of a credit report dubious, and on and on.  Legislation on the horizon may limit landlords' ability to collect a security deposit entirely at move-in.  With SFRs, you're more insulated from these concerns than with other types of properties, because your tenant base tends to be more qualified to begin with.  

8. Move-outs. Another thing new investors miss when determining what to buy is the future turnover condition of the property. Good SFRs have good turnovers. A typical SFR turnover is both a move-out inspection and a move-in inspection at the same time, because the property is already move-in ready.

9. Cashflow. I put this here because it's sooooo misunderstood (in the context of long-term rental ownership anyway, which is my lane). Example property: $700k SFR. 20% down ($140k). 6.25 interest rate. 30-year fixed mortgage. Rents for $3400/month. Mortgage payment is $3500/month. Management fees are $200/month. Let's assume you're out of pocket $400 every month. Obviously, put more down and you're break-even or in the black, but for the sake of running the numbers, I'll prove how "losing" $400/month is the best investment you'll ever make.

If it's $400/month that you're subsidizing your mortgage, you're still winning.  By a lot.  (Just not on BP).  In the real world, however, you're bringing in $40,800/year towards your mortgage.  The way an amortization schedule works is that, with each passing year, more and more of that payment is allocated towards the principal.  Think of your negative cash flow as a payment on a used Kia.  

After 5 years of $3400/month in rent collected, that's $204,000 paid towards your mortgage.  It's quite likely this was all during a single tenancy, and you have not even had turnover yet.  After the first 5 years, you've paid nearly $40k towards principal (based on how the amortization table works on the data provided above).  

If that SFR appreciates at a conservative 5%/year, that means your $700k SFR is now worth $895k at year 5. So that's $195k in appreciation and $40k principle paydown, or $235k in wealth you created -in 5 short years- by paying $400/month out of pocket for your SFR.

More math: $400/month is $4800/year or $24,000 over 5 years, you would have paid out of pocket. 

If that $24,000 you paid out of pocket yields an INCREASE to your wealth of $235,000, is it worth it? That's nearly a 10x return (on the monthly subsidy, not taking into account the 20% you put down to buy the SFR). Feel free to check my math.

More math (sorry): If you include the initial $140,000 you put down to buy the house (your 20%) and you include $24,000 you paid over 5 years, that's $164,000 total you paid out of pocket to increase your net worth by $235,000. While I realize that the picture may be less rosy, keep in mind that my numbers are conservative, appreciation could be higher, and you still have MANY other financial benefits (such as the HELOC opportunity).

Those numbers are all pretty conservative. The rental rate on a $700k SFR could be more like $4k. Appreciation could be 7-9%.

-------------------------------------------------

Using those same 9 points for non-SFR rentals, specifically multi-family, condos, townhomes (MF/C/T):

1. Liquidity. Multi-family is not liquid. When you want to sell, the buyer will be an investor, and they will twist your arm. There is not a huge pool of buyers for multi-family to begin with, so selling will take more time and more effort. Condos: ubiquitous, which also makes them hard to move. Same thing with townhouses, and both condos and townhomes often have HOA fees which drive buyers away.

2. Stability. MF/C/T are far less stable investment vehicles. Tenants are more transient.  Vacancy times are longer and more frequent, killing the bottom line. 

3. Amortization/paydown. Less money each month means less towards the principal. You need to buy more MF/C/T units to compensate, and that compensation is still thoroughly watered down by all the other points listed above and below. If you want a HELOC, it's more complicated and less accessible, as you have nickel-and-dime equity spread across a less-attractive and lower-appraised portfolio. You can't access your wealth nearly as easily with MF/C/T.

4. Revenue to expense ratio. RER. MF/C/T's rent at a lower price. $1500/month, and you still have 1 of everything to deal with replacing... and if you scale up to 5 or 10 units, now you have 5 or 10 of everything to deal with replacing.  These costs are death by a thousand cuts and it's what happens with a MF/C/T portfolio. 

5. Appreciation. Again, unpredictable, but when you have a ubiquitous commodity, such as a MF/C/T, you're going to be hammered by supply in the area. SFRs (especially the right ones) are in areas where there is not much open space to build, and they consequently see great appreciation.  

6. Tenant quality. MF/C/T tenant quality can be fine; it all depends on the unit and area, but it's not going to be as consistently high-quality as SFR tenant quality. Any investment property can have duds who make it through screening, but a nice SFR will result in many quality tenants to choose from.

7. Mitigated impact of anti-landlord legislation. Much of the anti-landlord legislation is directed at MF/C/T landlords and properties.  SFRs in 'The Burbs are largely out of the Colorado legislature's crosshairs.  

8. Move-outs. MF/C/T move-outs can be great (all depends on tenant placement), but generally speaking, there will be far more issues with damage, new flooring needed, new paint needed, junk removal, etc., on any non-SFR property. Security deposits may cover some of it, but you're still dealing with contractors painting, replacing flooring, repairing damage, etc., etc., at many turnovers.

9.Cash flow.  This is a generally misguided consideration without taking the other 8 points into account.  
----------------------------------------------------------------------

The bottom line is that all rental properties come with risks.  They all come with expenses.  It's not a passive way to increase wealth, and it's the classic conundrum of "it takes money to make money."  Many MF/C/T investors I work with underestimate the 8 points mentioned above at their peril.  There's only so much we can do as a PMC to mitigate those factors.  If you're going that route (MF/C/T), please take those 8 points to heart.  

I strongly urge anyone seeking to throw their hat into the world of real estate investing (particularly buy-and-hold) to make their money in the real world and THEN buy rentals.  In my experience, rentals don't make you money - they cost you money.  They build wealth, but you can't spend wealth.  

Post: property manager / Colorado Springs

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320
Quote from @Venka Pulla:

I'm currently in the process of finding a reliable property manager, and I’m reaching out to see if you might be willing to share your experience. If you've worked with a property manager you’d recommend—or even one you’d suggest avoiding—I’d really appreciate your input.

Any names, contact info, or general thoughts would be super helpful.

Thanks so much in advance!

 @Venka Pulla , I would be happy to chat with you to see if we can be a good fit for your property or properties in CS. 

We have a strong presence in CS, and I do believe we are industry-leading in the categories that matter most to our landlord clients:

-Pricing.  No hidden fees, no maintenance revenue streams, no monthly tenant fees. 

-Marketing/leasing. Pro photos, video tours, responsiveness, in-person showings, high-level of showing flexibility, showings 6 days a week. 

-Communication. Easy to reach, highly responsive, and highly professional communications. 

-Statements. Easy to read, easy to understand.

Please check out our website and reach out if you would like to discuss further. 

Post: PM letting owner pick the tenant?

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320

Hey @David Walton, there are definitely a lot of ways to do PM wrong. 

Letting the landlord choose their tenants is certainly on that list. 

Keep in mind, however, that a lot of PMCs have a Tenant Locator (TL) side of their business.  With TL, the PMC is only marketing and showing the property, screening tenants, and possibly having tenants sign a lease. With TL, the PMC is out of the picture once the lease is signed. 

For TL services, the landlord has to be the one making the call, IMO.  Any other approach would be a major conflict of interest. The key with TL is to make sure the application is presented along with options for the landlord in a manner that makes it impossible for them to violate Fair Housing.  

Post: How are mid term rentals doing in Colorado?

Greg Weik
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 253
  • Votes 320
Quote from @Marissa Negley:

We have a house we flipped in prime location in Denver. It has been on the market for far too long long, and now we are considering changing it to a mid term. 

what are your tips for setting up the property for mid term for a newbie? How do you market? And how do you get into the traveling nurses and travel physical therapist network to fill these home? 

 @Marissa Negley I would add that if you believe the home won't sell for what you need it to now, a MTR is probably not the best solution, as you will likely not want to sell the home in fall or winter.  

If your numbers are such that minimizing the bleeding is your only play, do a LTR.  Find great tenants (800 credit score), which should be relatively easy to do, and they will take great care of it.  Hell, they might even buy it at the end of the lease. 

If you're in a position to lose some money or a lot of money, choose losing some money.