First off, I do not own any apartment buildings and do not play an apartment building owner on TV. However, I've been starting to follow the apartment building investing popularity, listening to some of the the gurus, podcasts, and the like and find the whole idea fascinating. So, I thought I'd poke around some hypothetical (or real) properties from Loopnet and see what I could learn. I'm still very much new at real estate investing with one 4-plex and 2-single-family properties purchased in the last 12 months.
I found this: http://www.loopnet.com/Listing/1764-Gowan-Dr-Memph...
I picked this one as an exercise because it needs a lot of work and is in a place I know nothing about. It is a significant learning exercise. It is 80% occupied. Some units are uninhabitable. Fire, mold, damage. Documents from the realtor are contradictory with the occupancy rate also being stated at 40%. OK, realtor which is it? Loopnet says this is a B-class property. I'm not so sure about that.
I looked at crime reports. The area has some crime. I talked to the local police department precinct involved in the area and the officer thought the right owner could raise the bar for the neighborhood and that the crime they investigate are the usual domestic disturbances or the occasional car break-in and that the neighborhood is pretty good. The city in general wants to see investors help turn the area around-- OK, does that mean the city is willing to help in some way? Maybe. The officer I spoke to had glowing things to say about Safeways http://safeways.org/
From City Data http://www.city-data.com/zips/38127.html the zip code has about 7600 apartments.
Unemployment is high for those over 25 which is pretty amazing to me living in Utah were the unemployment rate is very low. The area is below average for the state for income and many other metrics.
Speaking with some property management companies, one response I've heard is "We do not manage any properties in that zip code."
According to https://www.bestplaces.net/economy/city/tennessee/... Memphis overall unemployment is above the national average. Expected job growth over the next 10 years is over 34% but that is below the national expected growth. Population is declining in Memphis since 2013. http://worldpopulationreview.com/us-cities/memphis...
Rentometer says: median rent for a 2BR apartment in a 2-mil radius is $450 which puts this property right on the average.
Top employers are FedEx, the school system, the government, and healthcare.
IMHO, taxes are high for the sum of city and county taxes. Hey Memphis, think about that.
2017 "claimed" financials:
Total Income 376,572
Total Expenses: 227,348
Net Income: 249,223
Estimating a potential DSCR of 1.75 as-is.
The top expenses are management, taxes, and Utilities (gas, electric, water, sewer etc.)
Listening to people on BP talk about distressed or under performing properties, it sounds like the approach would be to cut expenses by passing utilities on to the residents. Getting separate meters or other means would potentially make the biggest difference. Seeking some tax incentives as well to bring up the neighborhood may also be possible, and certainly getting the property occupied. However for the latter with the declining population especially of this zip code even with the new Nike distribution center nearby may be a real challenge. With the lower income, raising rents may be a slog.
Now enough of that background and my opinions.
From the experts in the community, what kinds of things about this property would make you want to seriously dig in further or even pull the trigger? What additional data would you gather remotely?
What would cause you quickly pass this up?
Would you agree with Loopnet that is is a B-class property, or would you think C or even D? According to the documentation provided by the realtor, the property is "valued as-is" at $2.757M and $3.3M after renovation. Can this property really be over $1M below market priced at 1.7M? for an 8.8% cap.
From looking at what is published, what kind of renovation budget would you set aside for a property like this if all of the market forces were positive?
Anyway, thank you in advance for any thoughts anyone is willing to share.