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All Forum Posts by: George Bruton

George Bruton has started 3 posts and replied 10 times.

@Greg Dickerson -  Everything you are saying I understand and I would fully question AND DID but the the AVR and Rents, Values are correct.   I have had multple people and teams who run signicant portoflios run the numbers and they arrive at the same conclusion and they would never of thought the numbers would be possible.
I should point out that at this time  I'm not concerend about the Rents/Values etc.  I believe those numbers and I trust the people that confirmed them. 

What I'm doing here today at bigger pockers is further due dillegence to a new arena (real esate) for me.  And I want to hear/understand what others might do or see in this situation. No ones answer is wrong. 
And really it comes down to understanding what I feel I want to take on for risk tollerance.  I'm not afraid of risk by anymeans I just want to have a clear understanding of what that could entail and how others see it and would embrance/avoid it. 




Originally posted by @Greg Dickerson:

I agree with everything @Jonathan Bombaci said.

I would question your ARV assumptions regarding rents and values. If two contractors are telling you the building is in that bad of shape I'm not sure it will be worth twice as much without a complete gut and or rebuild. You may not be able to get the rents your projecting either as people will not pay a premium rent for a very old product with simple cosmetic repairs.

What are the age, type of construction and location of the comps? That’s a huge factor you need to look at. Sometimes even one block can make a huge difference.

@Jonathan Bombaci - Thanks for the input. Yes, we are looking at the insurance issues currently. We are seeing if we can take over the existing or just work with the broker who already covers it to make it easy.

30% down - Yes the 6.5% is high and I'm not thrilled with that especially when I know I can get around 4.25%. But it comes with getting the deal moving forward and I'm not locked into using the owner finance.

As far as the turnover I would fully agree but this is one of the unique things about this offering/location. There are very limited living options! We already were informed of someone giving their 60 days notice. The same day the property received 2 phone calls to take the space coming up. Additionally, When we were doing our walkthroughs a tenant asked if the rent was going up and explained yes it would be and they made it clear they have no issue and will be the increase. 


Originally posted by @Jonathan Bombaci:

Hi George, I guess the first question I have is what’s your risk tolerance? And what’s your experience with investing?

2nd have have you talked to an insurance carrier and are they able to bind a policy for you? If it’s really in bad shape getting insurance could be difficult. No insurance = no deal. 

If the 2nd contractor can be believed then based on your numbers $2.6M -$3.0M (assuming go over budget) for something you can sell for ~$4.5M puts you at +66% ARV with some upside. Worst cast scenario you sell it cheap for $3.5M and make some quick $$

I would get a 3rd contractor out to take a look and see which one is to be believed. Rebuilding from the ground up would, in my opinion, be a BAIL as fast as possible. 

Cash flow looks good and owner financing is great, even though 6.5% is a bit high. What are you giving him for a deposit? 

I’d be tempted to go with option 1.5. Close, put the $250k you planned into it to fix any health or safety concerns then use the cash flow to fix up the building or redo units as tenants turn over. Focus on the repairs you would need to do in order to get traditional financing. If you can get a bank to underwrite it then you’re securing your exit strategy should it turn out to be more than expected. 

No rent increases for 15-20 years means once you increase rents you’ll have a lot of unhappy tenants. Be prepared for plenty of turnover/evictions in the next couple of years and budget accordingly. 

One key item I have learned so far in my pursuit to build a real estate portfolio is finding deals takes time and energy, and to find great deals almost comes down to being in the right place at the right time.

With that said I found such a deal, I'm currently in escrow on a 9 unit property in California.

PROS - Fantastic location, Rents have not been raised in 15-20 years. Significant selling upside.

CONS - The building is very old and has been neglected.

Once I take possession of the property I can go in and invest around $50,000 for new appliances and small maintenance issues and raise the rents to current and it will cash flow $58,803 after all expenses. If we make some additional changes to make the building more efficient turning some 2 bedrooms into 3 we are confident it would cash flow around $73,000 and has the potential to be around $98,000.

The current interest rate is 6.5% and that is being carried by the owner due to the bank not being able to qualify the property due to the low rent roll.

Owner terms are 6.5% - with a 10-year balloon over 30 years amortized.

Once I refi I can save around another $1,900 a month.

The purchase price is $2,000,000 and other properties around it that will have the same cashflow are selling for $4,200,000- $4,700,000 but our plan is to buy and hold.

I know many of you will ask for more details and I have no issues answering those questions, but to keep this post somewhat short I'm going to jump right to my challenge.

The big challenge is this. I have had two contractors come look at the property. With the deferred maintenance, one recommended demoing the entire building and start from scratch.(to build this building new would be around $2.7M+) The other provided a bid for nearly $600,000 to fix all the KNOWN issues.

I had budgeted $250,000 when I first looked at this deal and had no plans to tear down and build up. Still, do not.

The last item that is concerning is the property does not sit fully on a concrete foundation. The back part of the building has sunk into the dirt and will eventually need to be addressed by being lifted and pouring a new foundation. I have been given a very large range of what this could cost.

So my questions are these.

In the excel spreadsheet when you take in all the numbers the property looks amazing. Cashflows very strong and upside sales opportunity is significant. But with so many issues with the building what would you do?

1. Close - Fix little and enjoy the cash flow - Worry about the big items later or sell?

2. Close - Enjoy the cash flow but fix items over the long term and hold.

3. Walk - To much risk with so much deferred maintenance + the unknowns.

My overall question is: Does this much-deferred maintenance scare anyone or do you feel this is just part of the deal/process for opportunities like this?

I should add the owner is in their late '80s and as some here might have experienced it can be difficult to justify/explain/work with someone in the mindset of "I do not care".  I have tried to get additional drops in the price due to these issues and it is a nonstarter.

Thanks,

GB 

Post: Promissory Note with 15% return

George BrutonPosted
  • Posts 11
  • Votes 1

Not sure what state this is happening in.  But in California, a person/company can not charge that type of % and would be considered predatory lending and is illegal.  I believe the max is 12% or 13% and I sure other states have the same or similar laws. 

Ty, Why not just call the owner directly?   His contact number and name is right on the LoopNet listing.

A close friend of mine's family has a 11 acre plot of land in a large city in Southern California.   Back in 2008, Lennar was going to purchase the land for a housing development due to location(city) and it was directly across the street from a public elementary School.  Due to the downturn, that deal fell thru.    The family never sold and now due to a death in the family, the kids are discussing what to do with the land.   Being close to the family they asked if I would be interested in buying or working with them on developing it.  (something I know nothing about but I do have strong relationships with large developers who I could take the deal to eventually).

It is currently zoned for 1-acre parcels for residential and they just had the land appraised at $1.9 Million.    

I know the land would have to be rezoned to build significantly more homes to make it worth it, but how would one go about valuing the land? And valuing the land if the cost to rezone has to be included?

Essentially, I have the opportunity to work an off-market deal that could turn into a decent return if I can structure the land purchase correctly.    

How does one go about valuing the land?  Homes are selling for around 400-600k in nearby developments.  

They are open to seller finance or would like to be included in the potential upside of the development with their contribution being the land if they could receive around $300,000 up front due to the fact they are not financially well off and the cash would help them significantly. 

If anyone has experience with this What/How would you structure this deal and What would be your view on the purchase price of the land?

I would like to point out I understand development can take years and have no expectations for this to be built or completed in any short period.  

Thank you,

GB

Thank you for sharing Jason.   How many units are you looking at?   4plex?   Or larger buildings?

Our of curiosity what made you choose Allentown?   Some of my family is from Jim Thorpe and when I was visiting over the summer they where talking about Allentown etc.  Sounded like it has some positive momentum going on.   

Multi-Family? 

Best,

George

Thanks, everyone for the quick responses and information.    I apologize for the example I used comparing beach property to midwest.  It just happened to be a deal I was looking at before I wrote the post.    Let me amend that by providing the comparison of a 30+ unit in Riverside, CA for $5M+ to the Dallas, TX property for $3m.  

I can fully grasp and understand the bottom line is NOI and trust me there is no emotion involved when looking at these opportunities.

What I was looking for is to have better insight and understanding to your mindset and business decisions on why you might put cash to work in a state with the very high cost to acquire vs buy out of state were the dollar appears to go much further.    

From what Michael stated it sounds like it comes down to the time frame and potential acceleration of appreciation?  For me personally, the appreciation is great but not the first item on the checklist which is cash flow as we are planning on holding these investments for 20+ years. 

Best,

George

Hi Everyone,

I'm looking to invest in multi-family properties within the range of 2-5M.   I currently live in Southern California and have been searching for opportunities here but find that many deals are overpriced and make it a challenge to cash flow.   With that said after reading on this site and others, many contributors discuss deals in midwest and east coast that have very low door rate vs California.    There was a post I was just reading about investing in Indy and buying 4 plexs for under $300k.   I could only dream of finding that type of deal here.

I can pick up an 8 unit property near the beach for $2.9M currently.   If I take that $3M to Dallas Tx.  I found a 38 unit property for less than $2.9.  I understand rents would be lower on the Dallas opp. vs the Beach opp. but I would be making it up with units.   Clearly, there are big investors here in the California markets so there is money to be made.   But what would be the business case to stay and invest here vs outside in states where you get much much more for your $?     

I apologize if this is a basic question and I did try searching the forum with no luck.

Thank you,

George