@Kevin Tang
I bought a STR in JT back in April 2021. It does well, but your concern of over saturation is true. There's so many new builds & construction going on out there & each getting nicer than the last. Getting a permit for San Bernardino is really easy, they haven't done an actual inspection since Covid started, they do a drive by supposedly.
My thoughts on the JT right now is this…
The air bnb boom started when the pandemic had travel restrictions at its peak. People couldn’t fly anywhere & were tired of being cooped up in the house. Joshua tree became the perfect drive up “staycation” place to go for the people in so cal. People were able to visit a place only 2 hours away from LA that was outdoors & safe. Visits to the park increased more than 100% year over year. Social media played a huge role in advertising as well. However investors like myself got wind of the increasing travel & extremely cheap real estate & took advantage. (It wasent really a secret, airdna.co ranked both yucca valley & JT top 10 in national mid sized markets for 2020-2021).
All that being said, if your not already in the market the ship likely has sailed. The prices for the homes are too high for a good enough return imo. With more rentals going up everyday, our nightly prices must come down. We’re currently in peak season for JT since it’s cooled down outside, but the pricing is about 30% less than this time last year. My advice find a bigger market with higher returns.
Las Vegas should be at the top of your list.