Hi all, I'm looking to invest in my first property -- looking to see if this passes litmus test. Here are the owner's/broker's self-storage numbers..:
Rent: 51,780
Maintenance: $260
Water: $730.92
Electric:396
Taxes: $6,128.53
Insurance: $0
NOI: $44,264.55
Price: $840,000
CAP: 5.3%
Units: 40
13 vacant (68% occupancy)
Average Rent $/SF/Month: $.84
Market rent seems to be appx $0.94-$1
If I were to fill the vacant units up to $.94/SF and bring the under-market units up to rent, the gross rent roll would be >$85k.
The owner says the market rent is $1.25 but that's not what I was able to tell. I'm also not sure about those taxes, not sure how much they would go up after a purchase.
He's willing to offer seller-financing at 5% amortized over 15 years (no prepayment penalty). This would make the debt service $5,457/month. He says he needs the mortgage payment to exceed the current income stream in order for a sale to be worthwhile. He also wants me in at $100k+ his broker fee, closing costs, etc. Therefore, he suggested $150k. I think I could negotiate the down payment a little further.
Therefore, my cash flow after debt service at the current #s equals negative ($21,219/yr). If I got the rent roll up to $85k, the cash flow would be $40,736. This would represent a 27% cash on cash return. However, again I'm not sure how much those taxes would go up and I think there's other OPEX #'s missing. However, I also think that $.94/SF in rent seems fairly doable and that may be even a little conservative.
Additionally, I like the location a lot. It's in a gentrifying part of Houston where it's historically been low/middle income but now the homes around it are trading for $500k-$1M. It sits on less than half an acre next to a gas station, auto dealer, etc. However, the owner claims the best and highest use is resi apartments. Therefore, I was thinking if this were true, it could also be a covered land play.
In short, I like the deal because it seems to have a decent shot at having good cash flow AND appreciation. I'm hesitant because of the negative cash flow going into it and the risk of what if I can't rent out the units like I think I can.
The owner answers all the calls currently to prospective renters and does all the leasing. The broker says it's not fully occupied because he has it at a low basis and just uses it primarily for storage for his cars/his friends, etc. He has a sign in front of the property with his phone number to attract renters, but he does not currently have the property listed anywhere on the internet (no yelp, google page, etc.).
What are your thoughts?