Originally posted by Shane Woods:
4409 Tin top road, weatherford TX 76087
Would LOVE to know ARV of this house. Zillow says 78,000. I say HOGWASH.
Yea, not $78,000 but do you know why?
Zoom out twice. The house right around the corner is for sale. It is larger and newer with a price per square foot of $74.00
Subject property at $78,000 is $85.52 psf
Zillow's "Ziestmate" is automated. Not exact. You have to look at the data too.
As you zoom out, you see home prices are all over the price, partially because this is sort rural.
Subject property was built 1968 most of what you see is 1987 and newer with some in 2011.
4722 Chisholm Trl, Weatherford, TX is for sale for $59,900 it is of relative size but is newer by 20 years. PSF = $56.00
328 Surrey Ln, Willow Park, TX is the closest sold property - very far away - and sold for $100,000 on November 9, 2011; PSF = $39.00 it is larger and newer than subject property
208 Westridge Dr, Springtown, TX - next closest sale - April 5, 2011 also larger and newer sold for $76k at $47 PSF
So, the subject property has some issues. It is in the middle of no man's land and surrounded by a high concentration of homes for sale. The sales competition is newer in age and larger in size, many with comparable lots.
The subject PSF will likely range between $30 to $37 PSF.
That puts the value around $30k.
Since the property is so rural, I would consider running a comparion of the above properties and breaking it down by square feet of the lot. This will give you an idea of much the land value is out there. Subject property structure is 912 square feet, which is not much and the lot is less than an acre, so I would presume not too much of a list comes from that. But it would be good for you to know.
If you have been by the property, I would subtract any repair estimates from the $30k number as a basis of offer.
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