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All Forum Posts by: John Rooster

John Rooster has started 10 posts and replied 391 times.

Post: Myth No. 2: A penny saved is a penny earned

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105
Originally posted by @Duncan Taylor:
@John Rooster,

Check your history and your math.

The historical average performance of the S&P 500 is 12% per year. Any mutual fund tracking the S&P 500 will have that same average performance over a long period of time.


The only way you can claim a 12% annual return is by starting in 1970, and exploiting the big bull market of the 70s, imo that is not reflective of history, I find this 9.77% pre tax calculation accurate...

http://financeandinvestments.blogspot.com/2012/06/historical-annual-returns-for-s-500.html

But using your 12% number which does not factor in income taxes on gains, I come up with $1,440.011 after 50 years. Using your 12% but deducting 2% for income taxes (so 10%/year after taxes), I calculate $698,345 after 50 years. And by the way, my basing this on a 50 year working timeline is being very generous.

Post: Myth No. 2: A penny saved is a penny earned

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105
Originally posted by @Duncan Taylor:
Amassing wealth is not hard. There is no magic. It just takes time and discipline.
If someone entering the workforce at age 20 sets aside just $50 a month the entire time they are in the workforce and does nothing more than buy good low or no load mutual funds with that $50 a month...
They will be a millionaire SEVERAL times over by the time they retire.

That sounds amazing!!! But it is not close to being true. I set up an excel spread sheet and did a 50 year analysis. Assuming a $600/year contribution and an 8% compounded annually after tax rate of return on capital saved, I came up with a total after 50 years of $344,262. I did another calculation increasing the initial $600/year contribution by 4% per year, I came up with a total after 50 years of $595.924. In 50 years a decent new car will probably cost $200,000.

I agree with the general premise of what Cardone says. I do think a penny saved is a penny earned, but it is still just a penny

Post: How Does This Make Sense?

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105
Originally posted by @Joseph Corlett:

Firstly, the people that typically buy these properties, have rehab experience and full time crews, and could probably remodel for $10-$15K per side. Secondly there is the factor of leverage, if you can buy/refi at 80% LTV with a 5% loan, your roi goes up dramactically. Then there are the intangables, expected appreciation, your tax bracket, etc... Last but not least, a bull market in housing brings into play a lot of people that do over pay.

Post: First Last and Security?

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105

I have never even tried, I am sure it would be a hard sell in my market. I am guessing in my market asking for first, last and security would eliminate 70% of prospective tenants. I am further guessing that first, last, security is only common in markets with long eviction timelines.

Post: Who do you think will win: Zillow, Trulia, or ????

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105
Originally posted by @Patrick Connell:
John Rooster fair enough.
You're attempting to determine which company to invest money in by asking the consumer, end user, what they think of each individual site. This should account for very little in your decision making process in regards to investing.

You have no idea what research I do in addition to the question I posted on this board. Your assumption is invalid. This is a real estate investment board, I value the real estate related opinions and experiences of the people that post here, and I want to know their first hand experiences with Zillow and Trulia. This is not a stock investment board, I am not looking for stock investment advice from the people that post on this board. Any discussion of stock investment strategies is just a distraction from the question I posted to the board.

Post: Who do you think will win: Zillow, Trulia, or ????

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105
Originally posted by @Joe Delia:
I think we'll start to see a trend where the MLS around the country will start to cut these services off. It makes no sense to the agents to have these websites. I have to go to three different sites and pay to have my listing featured?

I don't know to what extent "cutting them off" would be doable or legal, since I don't know how they are getting their data. There is most likely already a legal precedent already establishing how 'public' MLS information is (which I do not know). Given that there are no large US markets that they do not service, I am inclined to think that there is not much the local MLS can do about, else some hard nosed MLS would have already done it. Please comment if you know specifics about any of this.

I conducted a test today, I changed the price on one of my listed properties. There was a 7.5 hour delay each between the execution of the change by my agent and the changes by Trulia and Zillow. I will conduct further testing in the coming week. I have been told the delay for recolorado.com, the local mls site, is 4-6 hours. So a few hours delay between the "insider" service and Trulia/Zillow seems not so important to me.

Post: Who do you think will win: Zillow, Trulia, or ????

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105
Originally posted by @Patrick Connell:
You're asking the wrong questions

You're not providing any useful feedback

Post: Who do you think will win: Zillow, Trulia, or ????

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105
Originally posted by @Matt M.:

PS - If you want the best data for Denver MLS, then goto recolorado.com. It is the public version of the mls.

I am not looking for the best data. I am looking for the best investment. Recolorado is not something I can invest in.

Post: How to Eliminate a Judgement on a house

John RoosterPosted
  • Denver, CO
  • Posts 409
  • Votes 105

What I would do depends on what the house is worth, and who the judgment creditor is, which you don't say. My personal opinion, based upon some assumptions, is that the worst thing you could do is call the judgment creditor and try to negotiate the judgment. They have probably forgotten about the judgment, calling them will only serve to alert them of the potential value of their judgement. Assuming there is equity, I would negotiate a purchase price attractive to me so that I could buy subject to the existing judgment, then hold the property till the judgment expired.

Originally posted by @David Egger:
My quality standards must be too high, in the video she says 'looks great to me', and I'm thinking 'it looks like crap!'. Give me 5 minute mud and I'll do it right.

I agree with this. I am not impressed.

You still have to texture and paint to make it look good."wait 48 hours to cure"= Fail! HD and Lowes sell small fiber mesh covered 0.005" thick steel squares for $3 or so specifically made for that type of hole patch already that do the same thing as that specialty product. I am guessing the shark tank investors don't spend a lot of time in home improvement stores.