I got into a discussion about expenses in an earlier post about the 50% rule and as many have said, history tends to run in line with it.
So I took that as a rule, and backwards calculated purchase prices using the 50% rule coupled with the 1% rule, the 2% rule, and what many on the podcasts tend to want to get which is $100 per door.
I made a spreadsheet with the various price points and below are images of what I received. For each I started with target rent, and 50% expenses, and then worked the various rules backwards from there to determine what the maximum purchase price would be and then calculated the ROI based on these rules for each scenario.
This is what I found.
First, one percent rule:
For the one percent rule with 50% expenses, the ROI will always be 4.7% if you are putting 25% down. If you buy cash, your return for year one (not shown on the graph) is always going to be 1.16% if the rules hold true.
Next the two percent rule:
For the two percent rule, you make a very nice 28% return, but of course, the purchase prices in many markets are cost prohibitive if you are over a rental price of $1,000 per month. I think this has long been understood that 2% is difficult to find unless you are dealing with lower priced housing.
In many cases, you'd need to purchase for all-cash. In that case, the ROI with the above rules is 7.1% if the rules stay true.
Finally, the $100 / door goal:
In this case, I plugged in rent, expenses at 50%, and the static profit of $100 per door to see if there was a price point that came out with a great ROI.
Of course, the rent at $500 per month provides 12.9% ROI which actually comes in at a 1.3% rule.
On rents of $1,000 per month, your purchase price would need to follow along the 1% rule with a purchase of $99,349 which would yield a 4.8% return.
So the questions comes to mind after analyzing this, if these rules are generally accepted as rules, are people really getting wealthy (not counting on appreciation) from these type of returns as illustrated above?