The thought process is absolutely sound. However, there are some major economic factors at play. We have a serious supply and demand issue in Santa Cruz County (and the entire Bay Area). The combination of low-interest rates, new work-from-home norms, and massive cumulative wealth is greatly affecting demand. Combine that with the lack of supply due partly to the cost of construction and the limited land for new builds. Now, once supply chain issues are solved and interest rates begin to rise in Q2, we will likely see some leveling off but a "correction" or "bubble" is not likely imminent. Your right, the wages aren't keeping up with inflation but the prices that we are seeing reflect the income of the people buying them. The vast majority of Santa Cruz buyers are not from Santa Cruz. Money from silicon valley is rushing into Santa Cruz County. Compared to 2011, we are actually seeing a lower percentage of California homeowners spending 35% or more of their income on homes (by about 10%). All this to say, these buyers can afford to overpay for homes.