@Jered Sturm thank you for the thorough response. Over the last few months I have been analyzing several potential multi family and industrial properties through local brokers/loopnet/costar in an attempt to find a property that would yield somewhere near a 10% Cash on Cash return and a 15%+ internal rate of return (including NOI, depreciation, and a 2% assumed appreciation).
Using your numbers: $2.5M purchase price with $500K down and $127K debt service - 4% interest over a 25 year term; the property yields a $73K gross operating income which would equate to14.6% of the 500K down. However I don't think I can use that number to compare to a 12% private lending fee as I would also be required to figure in the operating costs of owning the property in order to calculate the real cash flow and my Cash on Cash return.
$200K gross rents (8 CAP) and $127K debt service leaves 73K before operating expenses. After I account for taxes, insurance, management fees (which I am finding cost between 5-10% of the gross income), maintenance, leave room for vacancy assumptions, and HOA fees in some cases, I have found these operating costs average about 25% of the gross income. In this example that would equate to $48K per year operating costs leaving only $25K cash flow per year after debt service. (200K - $127K - $48K = $25K)
I've read on BP that you should figure 50% gross rent operating costs when analyzing a property? If that's the case I would need to raise the rents, get a cheaper interest rate, lengthen the loan, or put more money down.
$500K down payment plus closing costs of 1.5% = $507.5K cash out of pocket
$25K net cash flow per year after all operating expenses and debt service only yields a 5% Cash on Cash return.
The 27.5 year deprecation helps with the internal rate of return and the potential appreciation is appealing for building equity. My numbers may be off, but the risk of vacancies, unforeseen maintenance and market fluctuations have me leaning toward a NNN (triple net lease) commercial deal where a 8 CAP gets you closer to that 8-10% cash on cash return as you have no operating costs. The down side I am finding in NNN industrial is that lenders require a 30% down payment, the appreciation is limited, and the vacancy can be a killer if you go 2-3 months without a tenant. (3 months out of 12 = 25% vacancy rate vs owning an apartment building where you have multiple units)
Maybe I haven't found the right property yet and I have been looking into lending with a MF syndication group with the goal of becoming an eventual property lead. Reading through several posts on BP has given me a lot of confidence that owning is that right way to go. Maybe I haven't found the right deal yet.
@Jered Sturm - if you get time I'd like to talk further maybe over the phone. Thanks again for the response.