I live in and own three properties in Broward county; SF and duplexes (STR). As of July's Broward county YoY report:
Closed sales up 7.5%
Median sale price up 4.2%
Original list price received down only 1.5% to 96.3%
Inventory and median days to contract up 50%
Inventory and months supply up 56%
As far as a 20% price drop we are still going in the opposite direction down here. Inventory is growing but has a long way to go. SE FL is a bit of an anomaly however as we have a lot of international investment.
In regards to interest rate moves, when they drop do we really expect RE prices to trend down? Normally the opposite is true i.e. rates down/asset prices up. We shall see.
I am always a buyer and anything small multi in my area (Pompano Beach) goes quick and generally all cash. I can't compete as a finance investor in this market. The numbers don't add up.
I welcome a downturn but as we know from 2008, RE prices did not bottom until 2012 so it takes time.