Hi Tracy, you mentioned Cleveland as an option. I actually live in Cleveland and here in the $800-1.2Mil you are into 12 unit apartment buildings. I have 32-unit and 18-unit complexes in my portfolio so I have a team in place that can handle buildings like this. It would be a great opportunity for our vault yourself into the investor realm.
But, at the same time, there are so many things to consider if you are going to pick up a 12 unit building like how much of the utilities the owner pays (and in winter heat and hot water will take a bite out of your net), that the owner is responsible for all common areas (lawns, snow removal, pest control, common area cleaning, etc), and the amount of involvement required by you (approving applicants, approving charges over a certain amount and actively researching ways to keep those costs down, etc).
Not to mention the amazing amount of due diligence and number crunching required in order to analyze each property quickly so that you are ready to pounce on a good opportunity when it comes up. And you need to have a trusted contractor visit each property you are looking at in order to come up with a good estimate of initial repairs so you can factor that into your offer and that doesn’t happen for free. And you have to have your financing ready to go.
What I am getting at is if you want to pick up a 12 unit building at a good price and minimize risk, in any market, it will require a tremendous amount of research in coordination with a good team like many of us posting here know how to do and have in place or it will cost you a pretty penny initially to have someone do it for you.
A much less stressful option would be to consider duplexes, triplexes, or quads in Los Angeles or Honolulu (both of which I have teams I could refer you to) in the $800 to 1.2mil range. The monthly cash flow would not be nearly as high, but it would be a much easier deal to pull off, and like others have mentioned above, if you position yourself right the markest swings won’t hurt you as much, especially if you zero in on the best locations.
Either way you have to have your loan ready and be ready for some serious number crunching and have a steller on the ground team in place.
The easiest option would be to just throw it in a solid SFH in LA or Honolulu or even San Fran (and I have a team there as well if your Realtor doesn't do property management and invest in multi-unit complexes). If you pick a solid neighborhood with excellent schools you should fare well. For example in 2008, when places like Long Beach crashed as much as 60%, places in Los Angeles like Arcadia, Irvine and South Pasadena only pulled back 15% or so.
So, to buy yourself time, you could just grab a nice SFH and then work with a bank like East-West Bank in LA which can very easily open up a 60% HELOC or cash-out refi to let you put that equity when you need it, later on, to work in other places like Cleveland/Youngstown where you could then balance out that property in Los Angels that has not such great income but high appreciation potential with some other SFHs in Cleveland that don't have that great of appreciation potential but have high cash flow. I personally would go with the HELOC so I could just take out a little here and there as needed and start building a nice SFH portfolio one at a time. Those SFHs in Cleveland need to be bought with cash.
If I didn’t have any experience, I would probably just go with a strategic single-family home purchase right now to bide time before I would consider paying the capital gains. I think I would go that route before giving up and paying capital gains. Although if you do go that route, I know some advisors that can put you in funds that can bring in a very solid 6-8% with very little risk why you are waiting around for the bottom.
Good luck.