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All Forum Posts by: Collin Hays

Collin Hays has started 117 posts and replied 2437 times.

Post: Smokey Mountains current situation on the ground

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455
Originally posted by @Julie McCoy:
Originally posted by @Alan Ford:

@Gerald Pitts which is totally valid but just proves the point. Not everyone is speaking the same language. I tent to like the profit approach. How much hard cash do I get to spend re-invest etc. after paying for literally every expense in a year on average for a given property.

So on my 4 bedroom property - I put 10% down, purchase price of $395k = 39,500. Pure profit for 2019 after all (literally all) expenses was $14,365 (doesn't include equity gain) - works out to a 36% or so ROI (for my initial down payment). This was a better than normal year because I didn't have any major repairs to deal with or appliances to replace etc. Last year it was $12,567 profit - had to replace some decking and a dishwasher. This year I have it earmarked for new staining - so I expect to finish the year around $11,000 in profit or so. Although - on a four bedroom - one random *** weeklong vacation in an off season month can really bring it back up. My PM just put someone in my cabin for two weeks starting Valentine's Day. Was a nice reservation during the traditionally worst month.

I get a lot of questions about what a property is going to "cash flow" (or what you're terming profit).  It's an impossible question to answer, because it depends on too many variables that are subjective to the buyer.  One thing I DO know is that your profit will NOT be the buyer's profit because their purchase terms will be different - they're almost always paying a (much) higher price for the cabin, financing terms are individual, they might choose to spend more or less on the cable bill, might generate more income, cut expenses, etc. etc. etc.  

 Every buyer should know how to estimate their own cash flow, but it's a meaningless metric if the information is coming from the seller.  Gross income is far more useful (and yes, specifying whether or not that includes cleaning fees/taxes/etc) since that allows the buyer to make their own cash flow projections - but that still assumes performance remains the same, when often it does better with the new buyer if they self-manage.  (not always, but often)

 This is so true.  I purchased a cabin for my mother in the Blackbear Falls subdivision in Gatlinburg last summer.  It's 900 square feet and she paid $270K for it.  $300 psf!   Does it "cash flow"?  Absolutely it does.  It generates about $41K a year.  She paid cash for it, but here are her yearly fees (approximate):

HOA $2600

Utilities  $3000

Insurance $2000

Repairs/maint $2000

Taxes $700

CC fees (her portion) $872

So about $11,200 in expenses, with a net income for her of approx. $30,000 from an investment of $270K.  That's an 11 percent annual yield.  Even if I was charging her a 25% management fee, her yield would still be approximately 8 percent annual, just on the income alone  Find me a CD paying that!

Post: Smokey Mountains current situation on the ground

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455
Originally posted by @Gerald Pitts:

I am very jealous of that / happy for you!  Feb has been rough!

@Alan Ford

 An actively managed property should be renting for 12 to 18 days MINIMUM, even in January and February.

Post: Smokey Mountains current situation on the ground

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455

Numbers are always fuzzy because "profit" means different things to different people.  I don't include a mortgage in measuring profit, because it's not the property's fault that I am having to borrow to buy it.  Whether a property is a good deal shouldn't be contingent upon your financing terms.  That's a bank and personal finance issue.  

Now, I would still expect it to cash flow after a mortgage personally, or it wouldn't work for me.

Post: Smokey Mountains current situation on the ground

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455
Originally posted by @Alan Ford:

@Malgrum Holley totally agree on the gross rents comment. Most people here seem to include the money collected for cleaning fee for example

Which makes sense when self managing.

When I say gross rents of $73k for my 4/4 - it does not include cleaning fees because that goes straight to the cleaner. My PM nor I make profit on it.

 Your PM is likely making a profit on the cleaning fee.  Also, go to their website and try to make a sample booking for a couple of nights.  What extra fees are they charging?   Booking fee, hot tub fee, administrative fee, Damage waiver fee.  You might be surprised.  They aren't sharing any of these fees with you, and in fact are shifting $$$ away from rents into their fees.  It's called rent shifting.  I have a video on youtube exposing this.  I can't provide a link because I it might be construed as promoting my own co., so you will need to do your own search for it.  It's very eye-opening.  Go to youtube and use the term vacation management exposed and it should pop up.

Post: Smokey Mountains current situation on the ground

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455
Originally posted by @Todd Goedeke:

@Collin Hays when you give out numbers  and say a property "does" so much, you are referring to gross correct?

Top line. Gross.   

Post: Smokey Mountains current situation on the ground

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455

This was a screaming bargain, producing over $57K in rent last year. Was going to put an offer in on it when I got back home this week but too late. Literally right on the Pigeon River.  You just don’t find these any more.  Sheesh.

https://www.realtor.com/reales...

Post: Smokey Mountains current situation on the ground

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455

Cherokee NC isn’t going to have RE for sale unless you are Cherokee Indian.  That is a reservation.

And just because a 4br house is priced at $750K doesn’t mean it is “high”.  High relative to what?   If it produces $75K a year in rent, it’s high.  If it produces $150K a year in rent, it’s a bargain.


It’s all about the yield!

Post: Smokey Mountains current situation on the ground

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455

It really all depends on the investor.  Some folks want to invest and get their checks.  We have clients in TN from thousands of miles away who have seen their property maybe once.  Several are executives who aren’t interested in taking calls about not being able to get the TV to work or that there’s a snake in the dryer.

These types are glad to pay the 25% and move along.

But if you are wired in such a way that you like to get “down into the weeds” to squeeze out some of that 25%, self management is for you.

But...it’s not really a 25% savings, as when you are self managing, you likely have 12-16% in overhead on the VRBO or ABNB platforms.  

So at the most, you are saving 13-14% to self manage.  Most likely, a self manager will lose that plus some in lost bookings due to slow responses alone.

I’m not pushing management cos, but I think that self managers need to know the true cost of time and money of self managing.  I’ve done both.

Post: What is a good STR ROI in your opinion?

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455

All of mine are around 20-22% when factoring in tax depreciation, annual price appreciation, and net rents.

That said, a 12% return from an STR is far superior to the same return from a mutual fund, because you are using your own money to buy the mutual fund, and someone else's money to buy your STR; the guests pay for the investment.

I always prefer to let perfect strangers fund my living rather myself.  

Post: What is a good STR ROI in your opinion?

Collin Hays
#2 Short-Term & Vacation Rental Discussions Contributor
Posted
  • Property Manager
  • Gatlinburg, TN
  • Posts 2,472
  • Votes 3,455

If you could give a little more detail on what “positive cash flow” means, it would help ascertain the quality of your investments.

What are the gross annual rents on each of your STRs?