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All Forum Posts by: Christian Belleque

Christian Belleque has started 9 posts and replied 54 times.

Post: Anyone doing deals in Spokane county?

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21
Originally posted by @Patrick Britton:

talk to Matt Sewell.  he's the man for Spokane.  :)  i do some wholesaling in the area too.  feel free to drop me a line.  

 I will! Thanks for the point in the right direction.

Post: Anyone doing deals in Spokane county?

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21

I am looking at investing in Spokane County Washington because of the amazing deals you can find for relatively good houses. I was wondering if anyone does any investing in the area. If so, what are your thought? what are the challenges and perks of investing there? Any information would be wonderful. Also any stories you have to share will be appreciated. thank you all!

Post: Canadian, bought first property in US

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21

That's great to hear! I live on pricey California and I am planning on moving up to Spokane soon so it is nice to see that the prices are relatively cheap. That makes it a lot easier to actually do deals with your own financing. thanks for the update!

Post: Need a quick analysis PLEASE!

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21
Originally posted by @Blake Merrell:

Have you heard BP Podcast #86 with @Cory Binsfield. He was awesome, and discussed some of the details you are sharing here. If I were you, I would be very interested in his opinion on the matter.

 I just listened to it. I was working my way up the podcasts but skipped to that one. Thank you! His ideas are very similar to the ones that I was having with my potential tenants.

Post: Need a quick analysis PLEASE!

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21
Originally posted by @Chris Vail:

@Christian Belleque 

I am not sure where I got the idea that you would be living there (maybe from one of the other posts talking about you living there which might have meant the area and not the duplex itself) This solves item number 1.

item 2. so you are not renting the duplex by room ($600) but rather as unit 1 and unit 2.  This will be good for common area maintenance (security deposit) but you will need to find groups to rent to rather than individual's (this might make you pool of potential tenants smaller) something to keep in mind.

item 3. your statement is misleading "This is true for most students (frat guys, football players) but in my experience at many different houses in the area that are rented to college students, they generally take good care of the property if the owner takes good care of them and the property as well. If I left them a dilapidated house, they wouldn't take much pride in it. Another thing I would insist on is having females live in the house because they are generally less messy and less prone to parties every weekend." On one hand you say this is true for most students, and then you are applying your window of experience which is different.  In a previous post you have also stated that you are going to do minimal fix up (paint and minor landscaping) because it is for college kids.  So how much pride are you putting into the unit that you are expecting them to return to it?  If you are going to insist on having females in the unit, you are again shrinking your potential rental pool.  I agree with you that female roommates are better keepers of a unit I am just not sure how you then screen your applications or advertise (Only accepting applications with at least one female occupant?)

I am happy to see you really looking into this, I am just playing Devil's Advocate here to make sure you have thought of as many things as possible.  At 300k  do you know where you are going to come up with the down payment?  The closing costs? The fix up money? The holding costs until rented?

I have many different options that I would be able to use in finding tenants for the property. I realize that my "minimal fix up" was misleading. I would make the house look good but I would keep in mind my tenant demographic. I would not do the extra things like granite countertops or any extra amenities. I already know that people in the Long Beach area look for apartments as roommates and not separate entities. This makes attracting group tenants much easier. In my experience, the students police themselves. Nobody WANTS to live in a pig sty and nobody wants to study in one either. I would have to do great tenant screening and do random drive byes to check on the property.

I appreciate you asking me the tough questions. It makes me have to think about every single detail. I would have potential private investors to help with the down payment/closing/rehab funds. The unit is currently fully rented with month by month tenants. I would give them a notice before the summer ended so I could rehab quickly and rent it to students for next school year.

Post: Need a quick analysis PLEASE!

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21
Originally posted by @Matt R.:

Cool, LB State works too. I think there is way more wiggle room in LBC as compared. 

I do too. I think it has more potential than a property in Fullerton would, especially after living in both cities.

Post: Need a quick analysis PLEASE!

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21
Originally posted by @Ellis San Jose:
Originally posted by @Christian Belleque:
Originally posted by @Himanshu Jain:

I like the idea that you live there and can manage it on your own. I think the pro forma numbers (not actual) are very optimistic. I would use 10% vacancy rate,  that will bring your operating income to 38800, I would keep 3500 for repairs, 6000 for taxes and 2000 for insurance and another 2000 for utilities that would bring your expenses to 13500. That would leave you with 38800-12500=25300. I would also add 3300 for property maintenance as any other investor would, you can use this number for negotiations. Leaving you with 22000. Assuming you are putting in 20% down your loan amount would be around 288,000 (buying at 360000). That would leave your debt to coverage ratio of around 1.10 most of the banks ask for around 1.25% to get to that number you would need to buy around 320000. So depending on how you feel about the overall condition of the property I think anywhere in the range of 320 to 340 you should be able to cashflow positively if you manage it yourself.

 So according to your conservative numbers, if I get the property for close to 300 it should be a safe and cash flow positive investment?

 Price is only one factor, terms are critical as well.

I agree. Unfortunately, the agent said the sellers don't want to do any sort of terms. This kind of limits what I can do without a traditional mortgage.

Post: Need a quick analysis PLEASE!

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21
Originally posted by @Matt R.:

If you can get a duplex in Fullerton for 300k that could be a great score. The market is rapidly softening though and you will see sellers willing to take less very soon is my prediction. The huge appreciation wave is over for now IMO. You could do some driving for dollars with your 300k see who wants out of the next roof replacement etc...a burned out older mom and pop LL would be ideal.

The property is in Long BEach

Post: Need a quick analysis PLEASE!

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21
Originally posted by @Chris Vail:

@Christian Belleque Some things to think about:

1. How do you fair with other people, strangers? You have lived with team mates which is a completely different dynamic than living with people that respond to an add on craigslist. How will you be able to keep business separate from the living relationship?

2. You stated 6 total rooms (4 in one 2 in the other), you are going to live in one room so 5 left.  How are you going to do common area maintenance? If every person is on their own lease for their room ($600/month) how will you hold each separate tenant responsible for areas like the kitchen, bathroom, living areas? Especially if you have tenants leaving at different intervals?  Or do you plan to really have groups rent the unit as a whole unit and not individual rooms?

3. When I was in college I lived with teammates first and then friends after a couple of years.  As the more responsible person generally out of the folks that I lived with I can tell you that there are a lot of people out there that don't care one bit about "your" property and they don't know how to take care of something they are technically borrowing for a price.  Some of these kids have never been away from home and don't know the first thing about taking care of a house (their parents have always done it for them).

4. You keep looking for what others will pay for this property, so I will ask this... What would you pay for it and why?  What do your numbers tell you? 

Potential rent (5 not 6 rooms)- vacancy (this can vary based on how you do your leases basically is it going to be a vacant room or a vacant unit (up to 4 rooms in one unit))-all your expenses (Maintenance, insurance, taxes, utilities, cap reserve, advertising, & PM (even if you are doing it account for it))- Debt Service = Cash flow.

Quickly doing some back of the napkin numbers if your rent is 3000 a month, 10% vacancy, using the 50% short cut for expenses, and using a 30 year loan @ 4.5% you are looking at a purchase price of 335,000 if you just want to break even on your investment (meaning zero cash flow).  If you want to make 10% on your money invested (money in vested is down payment, closing costs (I am assuming 4% of purchase price), and Up front repairs (I am assuming 2.5% of purchase price) you are looking at a purchase price of around 217,500.  Again you need to run the numbers and find out what you are comfortable with when it comes to a return. 

1) I wouldn't be living at this property. It is strictly investment.

2) I will have everyone on the same lease for each separate unit with cosigners. I would rent out 1 unit for 2400/month and the other for 1200/month.

3)This is true for most students (frat guys, football players) but in my experience at many different houses in the area that are rented to college students, they generally take good care of the property if the owner takes good care of them and the property as well. If I left them a dilapidated house, they wouldn't take much pride in it. Another thing I would insist on is having females live in the house because they are generally less messy and less prone to parties every weekend.

4) with all the numbers that I have ran and from all the input, I would pay right around $300k for it.  

Post: Need a quick analysis PLEASE!

Christian BellequePosted
  • Fullerton, California
  • Posts 55
  • Votes 21
Originally posted by @Jeff Smith:

The first thing I see that is missing is Motivation. Is the seller motivated? Then ask yourself if this is such a hot market and such a great deal thats a cashflow king why are the sellers who are investors selling it? I buy all my properties for 50% of ARV. Is this $399k full retail? Here's one way you should look at it, you mentioned you might wholesale it but in order to do that you'll need to be in it at the right price. The price is $399,999 (call it $400k) well my experience tells me List price and Sold price are rarely ever the same so the average retail negotiation from a listed property is 5% so thats really retail at $380k How much money is needed for repairs? Call it $20,000 so back that out of the price $360k closing cost is $7200 Equity is minimum of 30% how many months til you get it fully rented, you still have to make a mortgage payment rented or not. so say 1 month on the positive side of live is still $2000 I would make a offer at $236k

In talking to the agent, the sellers seemed motivated because they are trying to invest in other properties. The property is in Long Beach, not Fullerton like others have assumed. The house isn't cashflowing a lot as it is now, but with using student housing it would cashlfow nearly 33% better by renting to students. 399k is the asking price, not retail. It needs some work leading me to believe it will go for a significant amount less. It has already been reduced from 459k to 399k. I would do simple repairs in the beginning, paint, minor landscaping and call it a day, especially for student housing. The property is on the fringe of the nice part of Long Beach and the not so desirable part. This fact alone makes me believe that it is why they are selling for cheaper than normal for SOuthern California. The property is fully rented on a month to month term. I could continue these terms until the next school year and then take off with the cashflow.