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All Forum Posts by: Chris Mason

Chris Mason has started 100 posts and replied 9561 times.

Post: Is online shopping causing the death of Malls - What does that say for Commercial RE?

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790
Quote from @James Wise:
Quote from @Jay Hinrichs:
Quote from @Chris Mason:

Indoor shopping malls as they existed in the 1990s are dying, but retail is not. It's shifting to a model of a big anchor, a Target or a Costco, and lots of little businesses in that same shopping center. 

Anyways, I think @Caleb Brown hit the nail on the head. If the trade value of an old shopping mall is less than the build cost of a new storage space or warehouse, then it doesn't make sense to build a new storage space or warehouse, just buy an old shopping center. I do see lots of self storage and warehouses going up, so my default assumption would be that the old shopping malls do NOT trade for less than build cost, but it's possible that the marketplace is not perfectly efficient. 

There would potentially be some weight issues with the 2nd+ floors of some shopping malls, depending on what the potential tenant wants to store in the upstairs unit. 

The Hilltop Mall (standard shopping mall, Macys, JC Penny, escalators, if you were alive in the 90s you know),  in Richmond CA was purchased in 2021, but the buyers aren't doing any of our brilliant peanut gallery suggestions. They are tearing it down to build a logistics facility. Given it's location not far from the ports of Richmond and Oakland, and that the Chevron oil refinery is nearby as well, some of that is likely be driving the highest and best use assessment.


chris in the deep south they turn the anchor store into a big church.. 

 We have the opposite problem up north in Cleveland. We've got tons of Churches in the ghetto where the pastor calls me trying to sell the building to me for 20x what it's worth.


 In Godless California the listing agents on churches are always certain to point out the flexible potential uses of the property. Office, event space, wedding venue, warehouse, etc. They usually sell for a really attractive price because investment property financing is (obviously) difficult, somewhat limiting the buyer pool to owner-operator small business owners (who in turn are typically great clients, as well). 

Post: Is online shopping causing the death of Malls - What does that say for Commercial RE?

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790

Indoor shopping malls as they existed in the 1990s are dying, but retail is not. It's shifting to a model of a big anchor, a Target or a Costco, and lots of little businesses in that same shopping center. 

Anyways, I think @Caleb Brown hit the nail on the head. If the trade value of an old shopping mall is less than the build cost of a new storage space or warehouse, then it doesn't make sense to build a new storage space or warehouse, just buy an old shopping center. I do see lots of self storage and warehouses going up, so my default assumption would be that the old shopping malls do NOT trade for less than build cost, but it's possible that the marketplace is not perfectly efficient. 

There would potentially be some weight issues with the 2nd+ floors of some shopping malls, depending on what the potential tenant wants to store in the upstairs unit. 

The Hilltop Mall (standard shopping mall, Macys, JC Penny, escalators, if you were alive in the 90s you know),  in Richmond CA was purchased in 2021, but the buyers aren't doing any of our brilliant peanut gallery suggestions. They are tearing it down to build a logistics facility. Given it's location not far from the ports of Richmond and Oakland, and that the Chevron oil refinery is nearby as well, some of that is likely be driving the highest and best use assessment.

Post: Community input on a small mobile home park, distressed with high vacancy

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790

I can run some numbers and share some options on the financing side if you like. No social or credit pull needed upfront. 

Post: Purchasing a small Office Building

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790

If you have a solid tenant lined up, like say Bigger Pockets HQ (yes, I put 2 and 2 together there, I'm sure you have too :), or some other business you  or someone you know personally runs, I think it's a no-brainer. You are buying at, or close to, the bottom of the market cycle for offices. 

The hypothetical six months to find tenants might actually be 3 years, we don't know (if it was so easy to place tenants in that building, why haven't the current owners done exactly that?!). But if you've got one or more day zero tenants to occupy all or part of the space, that could blunt the unknown in a big way. Having either tenants or a business lined up, that needs office space anyways, is the "office hack" (see what I did there? Given that this website invented the term "house hack," it's only appropriate that BP as a business pull off an "office hack" - and btw, yes, the financing is better for owner operated offices, as well) that blunts much of the risk.

We all know folks that purchased lots of SFRs in the aftermath of 2008, I also know some folks that purchased offices in the aftermath of 2008. There were 100% some rough years early on, to be certain, simply because it's hard to perfectly time the catching of a falling knife, but those that weathered the storm are sitting quite pretty today. The example that comes to mind are often are of folks that operated a dental practice, an accounting office, a bankruptcy lawyer and her staff that did quite well in the 2008 aftermath, and so on, during those first few years, taking up a portion of or all of the space.

Once you realize what a dumpster fire it is finding good financing for offices, if you need it, I'll be available. 

Post: 6 unit CT multifamily rent roll sheet help

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790
Quote from @Isadore Nelson:
Quote from @Chris Mason:

You are wasting your time. This property will require about 45% down to hit the 1.25 DSCR that is the median requirement for a commercial real estate loan.

If you want to be at that price point with that much for the downstroke, you need to be looking at higher risk properties with a higher cap rate. Or you need to adjust the price point down.

"45% down to hit the 1.25 DSCR"


What does this mean? Can one not get a DSCR loan with 20% down?


 If the property cashflows with 20% or (if you want good terms) 25% down, then yes it's doable. Key word there is "if." 

In the residential 1-4 unit space, efforts are earnestly underway to recreate 2008, for example by calling it a "DSCR loan" but not having any reasonable DSCR requirement. But OP is asking about a 6-unit which, to be fair, there are some residential "DSCR loans" that will dabble in the 5-10 unit space, so maybe it's out there, I can't speak to that.

Post: Looking to purchase our next MF

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790

You're constrained by capital. You're already at 90% LTV so a HELOC will likely not be viable. Just gotta go to work and earn more money. Real estate is capital intensive.

Post: Wedding Venue Growth

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790

If you want a double digit interest rate, that's easily enough done. I just had one of those partner lenders give me a hard time because I *did* provide tax returns as part of the credit package, and he didn't *want* to see them.

If you want appealing financing, however, the bottom line is you need to get right with the IRS. There's no "creative" about it, you need to give Uncle Sam his fully accurate pound of flesh if you want to borrow money under good terms. 

If you need a good small business friendly accountant in Tennessee, reach out to me and I'll connect you to one.

Post: 6 unit CT multifamily rent roll sheet help

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790
Quote from @Andy Bodrog:

Thanks a lot for the replies @Chris Mason and @Gregory Schwartz

Our lender said we can do a bridge loan but its around 11%.. id bring in 20% downpayment max, dont want to put too much personal assets into it and the issue is for yr1 w low rents and renovations its def a monthly -3-4k loss. def want an 8% or lower rate

Not sure if lenders are ok with an initial cashflow loss, once its renovated we can have market rents and its a great deal after. 

it listed at 1.495M and we'd offer 1.2-1.25M. 

i understand the living in part doesnt necessarily bide well with investment focus, but for us thats a big appeal that its in a nice area to even live in

 If all you are looking at is 5% annual rent increases, that's not actually enough to get that 11% bridge lender on board. Lenders that would do that already went out of business, and/or stopped offering it, in 2022/2023.

To get the 11% lender on board, you'd needing to be looking at a property with vastly more significant upside than a standard ho-hum annual 5% rent increase.

A 30% vacant mismanaged apartment building would be an example of where the 11% lender would step in, and ACTUALLY make it to the finish line.

What you are looking at right now is someone that's going to garner 20 applications with the hopes of finding 1 or 2, with enough upside, to actually fund. And this is CRE, so it's cutthroat, it's no one's problem but your own if you lose an earnest money deposit.

Post: 6 unit CT multifamily rent roll sheet help

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790

You are wasting your time. This property will require about 45% down to hit the 1.25 DSCR that is the median requirement for a commercial real estate loan.

If you want to be at that price point with that much for the downstroke, you need to be looking at higher risk properties with a higher cap rate. Or you need to adjust the price point down.

Post: How to analyze NNN properties and determine FMV

Chris Mason
ModeratorPosted
  • Lender
  • California
  • Posts 9,935
  • Votes 10,790
Quote from @Rud Sev:
Quote from @Chris Mason:

I'd suggest narrowing down a bit. Marketing material from commercial brokers in all 50 states, for all sorts of NNN, isn't useful, and you aren't going to really get insights until you narrow your focus a bit.

Starbuck is a nice easy thing to watch b/c they are all over and, since Americans have largely replaced their trans fat addition (McDonalds, Burger King) with a sugary caffeine addition (Starbucks), it's likely going to do well for a few decades. 

A Starbucks building in a suburban nice area in California is going to go for a 5% cap rate, and in Kentucky an otherwise identical building with a NNN Starbucks tenant is at a 6% cap rate. Bam, now I can in fact somewhat speak "in general," and I can say that with a fair degree of confidence BECAUSE I've zoomed into that one thing. Don't ask me about Dutch Brothers or Burger King or Target, as soon as that is in play, my "in general" commentary is right out the window. (If curious, my residential real estate investor clients from 10 years ago [you can find my 10 year old bigger pockets dot com posts :], at the time buying up 2-4 unit properties, a lot of them are now done with the 'human' tenants and want to 1031 into something that is ACTUALLY passive, so yes Starbucks comes up, thus I watch it).

In my case I zoomed all the way into a specific brand (which then allows me to make very sweeping generalizations across an entire state -- but still not the entire country), I'm not suggesting you do that, but SOME of the variables need to be narrowed down, before you can gain any useful insights. 

This is a great point, thank you! I've built a pivot table of brand name vs. cap rates per state, and I am starting to see some of those patterns emerge. So far I don't have enough data to make this analysis useful for more than a handful of brands and state combines, but I like this approach.

 Cheers, it's ballpark like algebra.

You can't easily solve this:

a + b + c + d + e = f

But you can easily solve this:

44 + b + 23 + 13 + 48 = 155

And, once you have solved that, you will likely be able to solve one with 2 unknowns, and work from there. But you can't just start with 6 unknowns.