@Brian Gibbons
@Rick Harmon
@Mark Reynolds
Well tomorrow is the day. I will meet with the seller at the property and make him an offer. I decided to go without an appraiser, as I don't want to go through all of that (and pay) without knowing if this guy is in a different stratosphere with pricing. I will find a form on BP that has a checklist of things to look for and estimate repairs the best I can. My offer will be contingent upon any major issues with a pro inspector anyway.
I can't partner, as this is a home I will live in so that doesn't really work. Nor do I want to bring another investor to a property I do NOT have under contract. Another experienced person with the REICA I go to said the same. Too risky in a market with profits this high.
So here is where we are with price...
Owner "saw a house a few streets over" sold for $650K and was on the market for two days. And it's a 2 bedroom instead of 3 like his. Yeah ok buddy. I said "look, if you are looking for anything remotely close to that number, there is no need for me to even meet you at the property." He changed his tune and said he's seeing from $450-$600K. That's what I'm seeing too. $450K for homes in slightly worse condition than his, and $600K for homes completely remodeled with the latest everything. Looking at other homes in the area sold within last 6 months this is what I saw...I won't put a pic of the subject house, but I will say it is in condition similar to House 1, but less appealing than that even. Surely the less "retail ready" of any of these homes. Renters were in it, so imagine how a renter would leave it. Curb appeal is meh, inside is decent condition, but dated in areas, newer in others. Help me comp and make an offer :-)
I'm thinking his home in current condition is $479K at best, and ARV in this area to me would peak at $545K really done up nice, and $575K in peak buying season. But we are talking $60K to get it in pristine retail shape.
My thoughts on an offer...
Current condition value - $479K
Cash offer - $415K (.85 of current value is $420K)
Terms offer - $479K with at least $60K down payment and 4% interest on $419K.
Lease Option (last resort cause we would still rent it if we had to) - $20K option money to be applied toward down payment, 3 year term, $495K purchase price? Rent credits?
Guys remember, I don't know what the hell I'm doing here, but I'm trying damnit. I think I may even be too high possibly. Many of these homes are selling retail for $500K or so, and the subject house is in rental condition, albeit clean. I will mention the sales on most of these were earlier in the year. They seem to be creeping up now, but not much activity in that area.
Subject House (what I'm trying to buy)
1220 sq ft
3/1.5
6000 lot
House 1
$1018 Sq ft.
3/1
$505K on market for month
6311 lot
House 2 (the one he said sold for $650K in 2 days)
1443 Sq ft
3/2
7000 lot
$575K (over one month on market)
House 3
1171 Sq ft
2/1
$510K
6750 lot
House 4
1262 Sq ft
3/2
$496K
6750 lot
House 5
1485 Sq ft
3/2
$502K
6488 lot