@James Cannon
There is no housing crisis in sight for at least 5 - 10 more years.
You cannot have a housing crash like 2008 with a shortage of housing inventory. It's not possible...
The only crisis right now is the shortage of new construction.
-Banks are in check as far as CDS, CDO and MBS volume.
-Government regulations aren't as toxic as they were in the early 2000's regarding housing.
-The Federal Reserve has been engaging in monetary policy but the excess cash seems to be inflating the stock market and not the housing market.
-Banks aren't making NINJ loans as it's now illegal to do so.
-Banks have much more strict underwriting standards regarding LTV and DTI than they did in the 2000s.
A lot of people speculate on yes there's a bubble or no there's no bubble. As far as it relates to a bubble that looks similar to 2008, there's no chance of that same thing happening because of just that... None of the same things are happening.
Of course it's possible that there's another event somewhere in the near future, I just don't think it will be a real estate event.
You're a banker right? Are delinquencies and 30+ 90+ derogatory accounts not at very low levels? I just don't see the risk right now.